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🤢 Why This Strong Market Could Lead the Next Recession

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tradingtips.com

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editor@tradingtips.com

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Mon, Feb 13, 2023 12:33 PM

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Good morning. The labor market continues to defy other economic data showing a slowdown... It’s

Good morning. The labor market continues to defy other economic data showing a slowdown... It’s the monthly jobs numbers today and they’re not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May. [Trading Tips] Good morning. The labor market continues to defy other economic data showing a slowdown. The danger? Strong job growth – as well as wage growth – is keeping inflationary pressures high. And the Federal Reserve looks to the job market as one of many signs for how their policy changes are working. With yield curves deeply inverted, it’s likely that if the labor market starts to truly flip to rising unemployment, things could change quickly. That’s a good reason not to chase the market rally since the start of the year, and why traders should continue to look for downside trades as well as upside ones. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content [FREE Ben Stein Retirement Guide]( There’s a new report just out from famed author, actor and economist Ben Stein… In this FREE REPORT, Ben reveals the lessons he learned from his late father and economist Herbert Stein. He covers… - Two critical lessons from his father about the financial crises he was forced to overcome. - How everyday Americans are currently ruining their retirements (and how they could stop the bleeding). - Plus, so much more! All you have to do is [request your Free Report today]( and a copy will be sent to your doorstep ASAP. [Click Here to Request Your Free Ben Stein Report Today!]( MARKETS DOW 33,869.27 +0.50% S&P 4,090.46 +0.22% NASDAQ 11,718.12 -0.61% *As of market close • Markets traded mixed on Friday, with tech continuing lower. • Oil rose 2.3 percent, closing at $79.82 per barrel. • Gold traded flat, going for $1,876 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies traded lower, with bitcoin at $21,745 at the market close. Today’s TOP TIPS [For Better Investment Results, Follow Companies Being Pushed to Improve]( Markets are cyclical, and often so are companies. A great product or service won’t last forever. Once the market has been saturated, new products or features are needed to keep revenues growing at a company. For tech companies, this constant iteration is fantastic. It’s inexpensive to develop new ideas and roll them out. And for many tech services, new features can be added while keeping customers on a monthly payment plan. » [FULL STORY]( [Insider Trading Report: PacWest Bancorp (PACW)]( William Hosler, a director at PacWest Bancorp (PACW), recently bought 3,750 shares. The buy increased his stake by 7 percent, and came to a total cost of $99,300. The director was the last buyer as well, with an 8,000 share pickup for $200,000 last June. The company’s CEO has sold shares twice since then, but still owns over 1 million shares of the company in total. » [FULL STORY]( [Unusual Options Activity: V.F. Corporation (VFC)]( Shares of apparel manufacturing company V.F. Corporation (VFC) are down about 55 percent over the past year. One trader sees further downside in the next three months. That’s based on the May $22.50 puts. With 95 days until expiration, 20,019 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 245, for an 82-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.98 to make the bearish bet. » [FULL STORY]( IN OTHER NEWS • [Russia to Cut Oil Output]( Russia will cut its production of oil. The country made the move following sanctions that were put in place against Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. The move caused oil prices to rise, which to some extent well help offset Russia’s reduced oil sales to Europe. • [Stock Buybacks Hit Record High in 2022]( Despite a declining market last year, corporations spent a record $1.22 trillion buying back their own shares. Based on current trends, the record could be on track to be broken again in 2023, as energy and tech companies are increasingly diverting cash flow to buying back shares. • [Hybrid Workers See Strongest Wages]( New research shows that hybrid workers – who spend between 1 and 4 days in the office each week—earn more than fully remote employees. Meanwhile employees who have 0 remote workdays per week earn the lowest. On average, hybrid workers earned $80,000 per year, fully-remote employees earned $74,000 per year, and fully in-office employees averaged $55,000. • [H1B Workers Hit Hard by Tech Layoffs]( An increasing number of H1B employees are under pressure amid a surge in tech layoffs. Under the H1B system, foreign workers in the U.S. who lose their jobs have 60 days to find a new one, or to return to their country of origin. • [Kraken Ends Crypto-Staking Services]( Cryptocurrency brokerage Kraken is ending its staking services. The move comes after the Securities and Exchange Commission settled with the company for $30 million, and is shutting down its on-chain staking program. Under the settlement agreement, Kraken neither admits nor denies the allegations the SEC has made. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP DXCM 9.931% MRO 6.200% VLO 6.115% APA 6.115% GPN 5.589% BOTTOM NWS 9.784% NWSA 9.374% EXPE 8.555% TSLA 5.031% NVDA 4.799% Quote of the Day We saw such a fast and furious pop in the market to start the year, with expectations kind of racing ahead that soft landing is now kind of the expectation… It’s not baked in, necessarily, that a soft landing is in the cards. - Stephanie Lang, chief investment officer at Homrich Berg, on why the market may be in for a decline in the weeks ahead following the strong performance since the start of the year. Sponsored Content [FREE Ben Stein Retirement Guide]( There’s a new report just out from famed author, actor and economist Ben Stein… In this FREE REPORT, Ben reveals the lessons he learned from his late father and economist Herbert Stein. He covers… - Two critical lessons from his father about the financial crises he was forced to overcome. - How everyday Americans are currently ruining their retirements (and how they could stop the bleeding). - Plus, so much more! All you have to do is [request your Free Report today]( and a copy will be sent to your doorstep ASAP. [Click Here to Request Your Free Ben Stein Report Today!]( Not sure the best way to get started? Follow these simple steps to hit the ground running. › Step #1 - Get These FREE Reports: [Warren Buffett's Top 5 Stocks]( | [10 Great Stocks Under $10]( | [7 High Yield Dividend Stocks]( › Step #2 - Join Our Premium Advisory: [The Next Superstock]( › Step #3 - Claim Your Free Copy Of: [Big Book Of Chart Patterns]( | [How to Trade Weekly Options For Weekly Income]( We just wanted to take a moment and say thank you so much for being part of our family! We are dedicated to teaching people how to make the world a better place so we can all thrive, together. We love sharing stories and featuring past learners who have applied our teachings and changed their situations. It’s our passion to build a strong community centered around fun and mindset! We love to discover extraordinary and useful tools and share them with the world! We create a space where people can discover how to enjoy their lives by simply choosing to learn. Every day we are building and strengthening partnerships with our customers and clients and we do so in the most ethical way possible. We particularly love working with artisans, makers, and small businesses because through their passion and their craft they help make the world a better place.. Without all of you we wouldn't be able to do what we do on a daily basis and for that we say thank you. We've been living our dream for many years now and that wouldn't be possible without every single one of you. The idea of going from a typical nine to five life to a life of freedom doesn’t seem real to most people, but we want you to know it is definitely possible. We’ve done it. You have the power to control your life, your actions, and what you choose to focus on. We’re here to help you along that journey to achieve whatever goals you set out for yourself. However, we also care about keeping you and your privacy safe. We are committed to advising you of the right to your privacy. We strive to provide a safe and secure user experience. Our Privacy Policy explains how we collect, store and use personal information, provided by you on our website. It also explains how we collect and use non-personal information. By accessing and using our website, you explicitly accept, without limitation or qualification, the collection, use and transfer of the personal information and non-personal information in the manner described in this Privacy Policy. Please read this Policy carefully, as it affects your rights and liabilities under the law. If you disagree with the way we collect and process personal and non-personal information, please do not use this website. This Policy applies to this website as well as all webpages Company hosts. It regulates the processing of information relating to you and grants both of us various rights with respect to your personal data. It also informs you of how to notify us to stop using your personal information. We are located in the United States of America. You may be located in a country that has laws which are more restrictive about the collection and use of your personal information. However, by using our website, you agree to waive the more restrictive laws and agree to be governed by the laws of the United States of America. If you wish to view our privacy policy, you can find it below. Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. 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While a potential for rewards exists, by investing, you are putting yourself at risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in any type of security. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell securities. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.  This email was sent to {EMAIL} by editor@tradingtips.com TradingTips.com | 3435 Ocean Park Blvd. Suite 107-334 Santa Monica, CA 90405 [Manage Subscriptions]( | [report SPAM]( Â

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