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Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM), Trending Stock Report

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Fri, Jun 28, 2024 01:58 PM

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CM is on our radar! With low volatility and key events ahead, see why this stock could make a big mo

CM is on our radar! With low volatility and key events ahead, see why this stock could make a big move.͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ It is very interesting that Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) appeared on our list of compressed stocks this It is very interesting that Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) appeared on our list of compressed stocks this morning while the 1-month volatility expectations are very near a 2-year low. Why is it so interesting? Banks are extremely sensitive to interest rate policy. Not only will CM have an earnings report between now and September 20th, but there will be 2 important Fed events between now and September’s monthly options expiration. Also, there will be a load of inflation data that could be catalysts for the big moves in the entire banking industry. On top of that, CM has a strong history of making big moves after a compression signal. Just look at those charts below. Don’t let the name fool you. While CM is headquartered in Toronto, Canada, it is a multinational bank that operates branches and offices in the U.S. from New York and Massachusetts to Texas and California, and the stock is traded on U.S. exchanges. The bank will certainly be affected by U.S. interest rate policy.  [Get great trades every day--Click here]( This MDM graph compares the modeled expectations of current options prices (the orange line) to the actual movement of CM’s stock price over the past two years. You can see that the actual behavior (the blue histogram) made big moves more frequently than the modeled options prices expect. This graph tells us the CM options expiring on September 20th are inexpensive compared to the historical movement of CM’s actual stock price over the last two years. This [Volatility Cone]( shows us that the volatility expectations (the yellow dots) are all closer to the 2-year extremely low historical volatility than they are to the 2-year historical average. To learn more about the Volatility Cone, click [here](. This indicator confirms that options at all terms are relatively cheap if the stock continues to behave the way it has over the last 2 years. Looking at this [Volatility Term Structure]( chart, we can see that all volatility expectations are relatively flat. To learn more about Volatility Term Structure, click [here](. The September 20th expiration implied volatility of the at-the-money options is 17.49. The lowest implied volatility is 14.23 and the highest is 18.25. The previous page showed us that all volatility expectations are low, and this Term Structure chart confirms it. CM’s stock price has been trending flat enough that it showed up on our list of compressed stocks. The volatility expectations and relative options prices are very cheap. By going out to the September 20th expiration, we can buy cheap options that will have many potential catalysts that could help the stock make a bigger-than-expected move. To get the details on today’s trade, be sure to read today’s ODDS Online Daily Option Trade Idea. To access Odds Online Daily and be able to see any stock you are tracking in this software, click [here](. Thank you, Don Fishback --------------------------------------------------------------- See Related Articles on [TradewinsDaily.com]( [Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM), Trending Stock Report]( [Chart of the Day: Palo Alto Networks (PANW)]( [Momentum Behind ANET’s Recent Rally]( [Pinpointing Lucrative Reversals]( [OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF), Trending Stock Report]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [TradeWins Logo]( © 2024 Tradewins Publishing. All rights reserved. | [Privacy Policy]( | [Terms and Conditions]( | [Contact Us]( Auto-trading, or any broker or advisor-directed type of trading, is not supported or endorsed by TradeWins. For additional information on auto-trading, you may visit the SEC's website: All About Auto-Trading, TradeWins does not recommend or refer subscribers to broker-dealers. You should perform your own due diligence with respect to satisfactory broker-dealers and whether to open a brokerage account. You should always consult with your own professional advisers regarding equities and options on equities trading. 1. The information provided by the newsletters, trading, training and educational products related to various markets (collectively referred to as the "Services") is not customized or personalized to any particular risk profile or tolerance. Nor is the information published by TradeWins Publishing ("TradeWins") a customized or personalized recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or invest in particular financial products. The Services are intended to supplement your own research and analysis. 2. TradeWins' Services are not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial products, and the Services are not intended to provide money management advice or services. 3. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk. Trading on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. 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Subscribers should fully understand all risks associated with any kind of trading or investing before engaging in such activities. 6. Some profit examples are based on hypothetical or simulated trading. This means the trades are not actual trades and instead are hypothetical trades based on real market prices at the time the recommendation is disseminated. No actual money is invested, nor are any trades executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. Also, the hypothetical results do not include the costs of subscriptions, commissions, or other fees. Because the trades underlying these examples have not actually been executed, the results may understate or overstate the impact of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading services in general are also designed with the benefit of hindsight, which may not be relevant to actual trading. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. TradeWins makes no representations or warranties that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. 7. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing testimonial. No representation is being made that any person providing a testimonial is likely to continue to experience profitable trading after the date on which the testimonial was provided, and in fact the person providing the testimonial may have experienced losses. 8. The author experiences are not typical. The author is an experienced investor and your results will vary depending on risk tolerance, amount of risk capital utilized, size of trading position and other factors. Certain Subscribers may modify the author methods, or modify or ignore the rules or risk parameters, and any such actions are taken entirely at the Subscriber's own election and for the Subscriber's own risk. If you wish to unsubscribe from our newsletter, click [here](

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