Are You Ready For The Big Jobs Report?

JOIN OUR LIVE SESSIONS! Our LIVE session starts when the big institutions and elite traders do before the opening bell. We'll look at real-time dark pool data as the market movers position themselves for the trading day in secret off-market exchanges. [JOIN OUR LIVE TRADING SESSION @ 6am PT / 9am ET]( [Shadow] Hello investor, Are you ready for a HUGE jobs report due to be out this morning? Several Fed officials indicated that they would rely on the jobs report to decide whether to pause the rate-hiking cycle. Fed Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said “we should at least skip this meeting” for a rate hike. At the same time, his St. Louis counterpart James Bullard said in an essay that he believes the rates are at the low end of what could be sufficiently restrictive to clamp down on inflation. Fed Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker (Photo: CNBC) What to watch out for the jobs report: Economists expect job growth to be at 190,000 which would be a slight slowdown from 253,000 jobs added in April. It would also be the lowest monthly gain since December 2020. Certainly, that would be good news for the central bank. But the jobs reports have beaten consensus estimates 13 of 16 times since January 2022. A recent job openings report showed a big jump. The unemployment rate is still at a 50-plus-year low. So, the report could be slightly above the estimates, said Joseph LaVorgna of SMBC Nikko Securities America. - “The labor market still looks tight. Job openings are very high, unemployment is at a 50-plus-year low. We’re expecting further job gains... actually a bit above consensus,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities America. - “I would tell people to focus on whatever the trend is.” But LaVorgna believes we are close to an “inflection point.” After several rate hikes, the labor market could drop steeply based on historical data. - “Right now, we’re getting close to an inflection point,” said LaVorgna. - “I don’t think it’s going to happen in May, but given the amount of tightening in the economy that the Fed has engineered and given that lending standards have gotten more restrictive, the labor market should weaken. History tells us when it happens, it happens fast.” Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities America (Photo: CNBC) The Beloved Snacking Brand Is Made In Heaven For Consumers Struggling With Inflation Today’s Stock Pick: Hostess Brands, Inc. ([TWNK]( Having a strong brand is perhaps the most powerful way to build a wildly profitable business. The answer is simple – you can charge more than your competitors, and consumers still prefer your products. As a result, you have more money to invest in quality and research & development. This leads to a higher quality product that competitors cannot match. None is more important than the snacking category. Hostess is one of the most well-known brands that dominates the category of sweet baked goods. Despite being in this game for decades, Hostess increased its market share from 18.9% in 2019 to 20.8% in 2023. (Source: Hostess Brands) Strong revenue growth: Several retailers, including Walmart, said that consumers are trading down to select smaller sizes and cheaper options. That’s playing into Hostess’s strength as a value snack choice and offers different sizes like single-serve and multi-pack. Sure enough, its revenue grew by 14.1% 2-year CAGR. The company expects its adjusted EPS to grow double digits (10% - 15%) this year, making it a solid stock to bet on. Product innovation: Hostess strategies its new products based on specific occasions and channels, and it was exactly what it did with its new brand Bouncers. Have you heard of Twinkies? It is one of the most beloved snacks by Hostess, along with its chocolate flavor: (Photo: Hostess Brands) Now, Bouncers reimagined its Twinkie, Ding Dong and Donette products by making it “poppable” which is ideal for the lunchbox occasion. In other words, you can take one pack and put it in a child’s lunchbox. (Photo: Hostess Brands) Already, it is getting strong support from the retailers. This is another competitive advantage by Hostess. Its access to virtually every major retailer that offers snacking brings a quick way to distribute its new products. (Source: Hostess Brands) This will help Hostess maintain its impressive track record of revenue growth over many years. A compounding machine: Hostess expects to grow its EPS by 7% to 9% annually over the long term. It has repurchased $13.7 million in shares during the recent quarter. If it continues the pace, it would be about 1.5% of its market cap. If we combine share repurchases and earnings growth, we are talking about a double-digit percentage annual growth . Bottom line: Hostess is a safe pick for investors who are looking for reliable annual growth since its brand power is nearly unmatched. Plus, its market share is massive in the sweet baked goods category (and still growing). Lastly, its value pricing is made in heaven for consumers who are struggling with rampant inflation. FREE LIVE TRADING SESSIONS & TRAINING USING THE MOST COMPREHENSIVE DARK POOL MONITOR AVAILABLE TO THE RETAIL INVESTOR Join our LIVE Trading Sessions throughout the day where we will focus on how you can learn to master the markets through the use of advanced algorithms and AI to trade like the institutions. BEFORE THE BELL Starts 6am PT / 9am ET Our newest LIVE session starts when the big institutions and elite traders do, well before the market opens. We'll look at realtime dark pool data as the market movers position themselves for the tra ding day in the secret off market exchanges. LIVE TRADING SESSION Starts 8am PT / 11am ET Take advantage of Trade Algo's proprietary advanced algorithms for anticipating big market swings in our daily LIVE trading session. Trade Algo's Senior Analyst Luke Russell will walk you through the key tools and strategies that the institutional investors and top traders use to profit from high volatility in the market. THE FINAL HOUR Starts Noon PT / 3pm ET According to Wall Street Journal approximately 20% of the trading volume happens at the last 30 minutes of the day. Institutions make the majority of these trades in private dark pool exchanges -- away from the public’s eyes. The timing happens for two reasons: 1) Index funds make their trades to mimic the closing price of a stock. 2) Billionaires trade near the end of the day because they anticipate major news that will be released during after-hours. Because they trade in dark pools, the public doesn’t know about these trades until one day later. We’ve consistently spotted the correlation between a spike in dark pool volume at the end of the day and the next day’s price movement. In the Golden Hour we will identify and analyze these movements so you can trade with confidence. CATCH THE SPARK Starts 4pm PT / 7pm ET Catch The Spark is led by trading expert Luke Russell, starting at 4pm PT / 7pm ET. Open to all this session is a recap of the day and a prep for the next trading day with an emphasis on identifying and examining "spark" orders, those large institutional trades taking place behind closed doors in off-market exchanges, that drive stock movement. Bring the stock or options trade you've been waiting to make and we'll show you the information the hedge-funds, big institutions and top traders use to evaluate and time the trade. [REGISTER NOW! IT'S FREE]( OR [SCHEDULE A LIVE ONE-ON-ONE DEMO!](       © All Rights Reserved, Trade Alliance [Unsubscribe]( | [Manage Preferences](