The Hidden Indicator Behind My 24-Hour 30% Gain

(plus what it's predicting for tomorrow)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 September 05, 2024 | [Read Online]( [fb]( [fb]( [fb]( [fb](mailto:?subject=Post%20from%20Don%27s%20Trading%20Desk&body=The%20Hidden%20Indicator%20Behind%20My%2024-Hour%2030%25%20Gain%3A%20%28plus%20what%20it%27s%20predicting%20for%20tomorrow%29%0A%0Ahttps%3A%2F%2Fdon-kaufman.beehiiv.com%2Fp%2Fhidden-indicator-behind-24hour-30-gain) Don Kaufman here. Tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payrolls is going to be HUGE for the market… This isn’t my opinion, it’s what the market is telling me. How do I know this? The auto expected move for tomorrow in the SPX is 72 points! It has to be the largest NFP expected move I’ve ever seen… Today I’ll explain to you what the auto expected move is, and how I used it to score a 30% profit in WFC in 24 hours… Understanding the Auto Expected Move Indicator in Greater Detail The Essence of Expected Moves When we talk about expected moves, we're essentially discussing what the market anticipates will happen to a particular asset's price over a specific time frame. This expectation isn't just a random guess – it's derived from options pricing, specifically the implied volatility embedded in option premiums. How the Indicator is Calculated The auto expected move indicator uses complex mathematical models to interpret options data. It looks at factors like: - Current price of the underlying asset - Option strike prices - Option premiums - Time until expiration By analyzing these elements, the indicator can determine a range within which the market expects the asset to trade by a certain date. Forward-Looking and Historical Analysis One of the most powerful aspects of our auto expected move indicator is its dual functionality: Forward Projection It calculates where the market expects the asset to move in the future. This is invaluable for planning trades and setting realistic targets. Historical Regression The indicator also applies this analysis to past data, allowing traders to see how accurate previous expectations were. This historical context can help refine trading strategies over time. Practical Applications in Trading Identifying Potential Breakouts or Reversals When an asset's price approaches the edge of its expected move, it often signals a critical decision point. A break beyond the expected move could indicate a significant trend continuation, while a reversal at this level might suggest a potential trend change. Options Strategy Selection Understanding the expected move can guide options strategy selection. For instance, if the expected move is small, it might suggest using strategies that profit from low volatility, like iron condors. Conversely, a large expected move might favor strategies that benefit from significant price changes, such as long straddles. Risk Assessment The expected move provides a data-driven basis for assessing trade risk. It helps answer questions like: "What's the probability of the asset moving beyond this point?" or "How much could I potentially lose if the market moves against me?" Why It's a Game-Changer for Traders Objectivity in a Subjective Market Trading often involves a lot of subjective analysis. The auto expected move indicator brings an element of objectivity, basing projections on actual market pricing rather than personal opinions or biases. Time Efficiency Before this indicator, I used to spend considerable time manually calculating and drawing expected moves. Now, traders can instantly apply this analysis to any optionable asset, freeing up time for other aspects of trade planning and analysis. Adaptability to Market Conditions The indicator automatically adjusts based on current market conditions. If volatility increases, the expected move will widen accordingly, providing real-time feedback on changing market dynamics. Advanced Usage Techniques Combining with Other Indicators While powerful on its own, the auto expected move becomes even more potent when combined with other technical indicators. For example, using it alongside support and resistance levels can help identify high-probability trade entry and exit points. Multiple Timeframe Analysis By applying the indicator to different timeframes – daily, weekly, monthly – traders can gain insights into both short-term swings and longer-term trends, allowing for a more comprehensive trading approach. Sector and Market Analysis Applying the indicator to sector ETFs or broad market indices can provide valuable context for individual stock trades, helping to align trades with overall market expectations. How I Used The Auto Expected Move To Profit 30% in 24 Hours Yesterday I bought an Oct 4 $59/$57 put spread in WFC utilizing [my In/Out Strategy.]( Now, it had nothing to do on my opinion of the company. What got me interested in the trade is WFC had 3 breaches of the expected move in 3 straight weeks. Statistically speaking, it’s unusual for a low-volatility stock WFC to trade like this. Sometimes momentum stocks like Tesla and Nvidia can blast through the upper edge of the expected move, and stay extended for some time. But when you see it happening to a low volatility stock like WFC, I’m willing to bet it pulls back, which is exactly what happened today, with shares dropping by 2%. Now, 2% might not sound like much…but it was enough to capture a 30% profit [utilizing my In/Out Strategy.]( How To Get The Auto Expected Move Indicator For FREE The auto expected move indicator is not just a tool, but a window into market psychology and expectations. It transforms complex options data into actionable trading information, providing traders with a significant edge in their decision-making process. By mastering its use, traders can enhance their ability to anticipate market moves, manage risk effectively, and potentially improve their overall trading performance. For a limited time you can get your hands on it for FREE… [CLICK HERE FOR THE DETAILS.]( To your success, Don Kaufman P.S. I also took profits on IWM today, 55% winner from a trade I put on in Aug 23. All thanks to the auto expected move indicator. [If you’d like to find out how you can get it for free, click here.]( [fb]( [tw]( [ig]( [yt]( Update your email preferences or unsubscribe [here]( © 2024 Don Kaufman - TheoTrade PO Box 24790 Christiansted, Virgin Islands 00824, Virgin Islands, U.S. [Terms of Service](