Plus: Who would benefit from Harris's plans
â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â [The Fisc]( By Yuval Rosenberg and Michael Rainey Itâs Friday! With 25 days to go until the election, former President Donald Trump wasnât campaigning in a swing state but instead visited Colorado, a reliably Democratic state, to deliver remarks about immigration in Aurora, the Denver suburb that he helped put in the national spotlight with [disputed claims]( about Venezuelan gangs taking over apartment complexes. At his rally Friday, Trump promised to launch an âOperation Auroraâ if he is re-elected âto expedite the removals of these savage gangs.â Trump said he would invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, which allows the president to deport any noncitizen from a country that the U.S. is at war with, âto target and dismantle every migrant criminal network operating on American soil.â Here's what else weâre watching as we wait to find out who the Yankees and Mets will be playing next. (Reuters) Biden Calls on Congress to âStep Upâ With Hurricane Aid
President Biden and other administration officials warned Friday that Congress will soon need to provide more funding to aid the response to hurricanes Helene and Milton. âWeâre going to be going to the Congress,â Biden said. âWeâre going to need a lot of help, going to need a lot more money as we identify specifically how much is needed.â Biden said that he has not spoken to House Speaker Mike Johnson but has spoken with other Republicans, indicating that they may press the GOP leader. âI think Speaker Johnson is going to get the message that heâs got to step up, particularly for small businesses. The Small Business Administration oversees a disaster loan program and the agencyâs leader, Isabel Casillas Guzman, said Friday that funding would run out in âa matter of days.â âWe have been advising for months that the SBA needed to replenish its disaster program so that we could continue to carry through hurricane season, and of course, with the devastation of Helene across those six states and now Milton, SBAâs resources are going to be tapped to be able to help these communities rebuild,â she told [CNN](. FEMA disaster fund dwindling quickly: Biden and others have emphasized that the Federal Emergency Management Agency has the funding it needs to respond to the two hurricanes that hit the Southeast. As part of the spending bill it passed late last month, Congress provided just over $20 billion in disaster relief funding for the fiscal year that began on October 1 and runs through next September. FEMA quickly spent [half of that]( money. FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell said Friday that the agency has spent $10 billion of the $20 billion in just a matter of days, in part because it restarted some $8 billion in recovery projects it had temporarily halted in August to ensure it would have enough funding for life-threatening emergencies. She told reporters Friday that she is continually tracking her budget to make sure that she has enough funding in case of another disaster. âWe need to watch this very closely. Hurricane season is not over,â she said. âAnd so every day weâre having a conversation about how much is being drawn down from the Disaster Relief Fund.â For a third straight day, Biden repeated his criticism of the misinformation and âmalarkeyâ about the federal response to the storms. âAgain, let me say that the misinformation out there is not only just disgusting, but itâs dangerous and itâs misleading,â he said, adding that âthe truth is weâre providing all the resources that are needed.â Biden said he believes that the truth is breaking through to people as he and Republican officials call for an end to the misinformation. âI think those who have been spreading these lies to try to undermine the opposition are going to pay a price for it,â he said. Asked if he thinks Donald Trump is singularly to blame for the lies, Biden said: âNo, heâs not singularly â but heâs just the biggest mouth.â Harris Tax Credits Would Benefit Low and Middle-Income Households Most
Vice President Kamala Harris has proposed to boost tax credits for families with children, low-income workers and first-time homebuyers, and according to a new [analysis]( by the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, the benefits of those changes in the tax code would flow mostly to low and middle-income households. TPC modeled three of Harrisâs major proposals, which would cost about $2 trillion over a decade: an increase of the Child Tax Credit to as much as $6,000 per child, an expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit to include childless workers, and a $25,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers. The analysis found that about 70% of households earning $113,000 or less per year â the bottom half of all households â would benefit to some degree from the tax credits, with an average tax savings of about $750 per household. The biggest winners would be households earning $33,000 or less, or the bottom 20% of all households. That group would see a 3.6% increase in household income on average, or about $700 in 2025. At the upper end, the top 1% of households would get no benefit, while the top 20% would see an 0.1% increase in income, or about $350. Number of the Day: 1.8%
In another positive sign in the battle against inflation, the Producer Price Index registered an increase of just 1.8% for the 12-month period ending in September, according to [data]( from the Labor Department released Friday. The annual results were above expectations of 1.6%, but a revision of the previous monthâs numbers means the PPI inflation rate declined from August (1.9%) to September. On a monthly basis, the PPI, which measures changes in wholesale prices, was flat, as falling goods prices offset a slight increase in services prices. In a research [note]( Friday, RSM economist Tuan Nguyen said the PPI numbers imply that the personal consumption expenditures index, which the Federal Reserve sees as the most reliable measure of inflation, grew at a rate of 0.2% in September. âThat would bring the year-over-year PCE inflation for all items to 2.1%, the lowest since February 2021,â Nguyen said, adding that those results would confirm âthat a soft landing has been achieved.â Chart of the Day: A Growing Reliance on Government Income
Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen of [Axios]( argue today that a dramatic rise in Americansâ reliance on government income over the past 25 years helps explain the Trumpification of the Republican Party. They point to a recent study that found that as the American population has aged and many areas suffered economic strains, 53% of U.S. counties drew more than a quarter of their income from the government as of 2022, up from 10% of counties in 2000 and fewer than 1% as of 1970. That study was published by the [Economic Innovation Group]( a bipartisan think tank, and highlighted recently by [The Wall Street Journal]( which noted that the counties that rely heavily on government assistance are home to nearly 22% of the U.S. population. âEIG used a government definition of income that includes spending on programs that Americans pay into, such as Medicare and Social Security. Another major government health programâMedicaidâis also counted,â the Journal explained. âThe analysis also includes unemployment insurance, food stamps, the earned income tax credit, veterans benefits, Pell grants, Covid-era payments and other income support. States help pay for some of these programs, such as Medicaid, but the federal government covers roughly 70% of the total cost.â VandeHei and Allen say that trend explains the remaking of the Republican Party under Trump. âRepublicans spent decades railing against welfare recipients. Now, they're deeply reliant on them to win elections,â they write, equating programs like Social Security with welfare. âThis helps explain the massive surge in government spending under Trump, his continued opposition to trade agreements, his scorn for GOP ideas to gut Social Security and Medicare, and his us-vs.-them rhetoric.â --------------------------------------------------------------- A programming note: Weâll be back in your inbox on Tuesday. Send your feedback to yrosenberg@thefiscaltimes.com.
--------------------------------------------------------------- Fiscal News Roundup - [Biden Warns Hurricane-Relief Funding Needed Soon as He Calls on Congress to âStep Upâ]( â CNN
- [SBA Will Exhaust Disaster Relief Funds by Next Week, Chief Says]( â Washington Post
- [Helene, Milton Wreckage Puts Spotlight on Disaster Loan Program]( â Roll Call
- [On Drug Prices, Harris Pushes for Deeper Cuts While Trump Offers Few Specifics]( â New York Times
- [Trump Blames Immigrant Surge for Housing Crisis. Most Economists Disagree]( â New York Times
- [Obama Sends Stark Warning Message to Democrats]( â The Hill
- [JPMorgan Calls It: The U.S. Economy Has Made a Soft Landing]( â Wall Street Journal
- [The Ex-Soros Executive Who Is Trumpâs New Obsession]( â Wall Street Journal
- [Vance, Given 5 Chances to Say Trump Lost in 2020, Takes None]( â New York Times
- [Most Voters Say Harris Will Concede â and Trump Wonât â If Defeated in the Election]( âPew Research Center
- [The Life-or-Death Consequences of Killing Congestion Pricing]( â New York Times Views and Analysis - [Eight Years Ago, Trump Vowed to âDrain the Swamp.â Now He Swims in It]( â Isaac Stanley-Becker and Josh Dawsey, Washington Post
- [âEverything Is Politicizedâ: Chris Christie on Trump, Harris and Hurricane Lies]( â Frank Bruni, New York Times
- [Trump Has a Sweet Deal for American Tax Dodgers Overseas]( â Timothy Noah, New Republic
- [Help vs. Lies: Hurricane Relief Is a Microcosm of the Election Stakes]( â Jennifer Rubin, Washington Post
- [Understanding Disaster Appropriations: Funding and More]( â Erin J. Greten, Law.com
- [AI Is Threatening the Social Safety Net]( â Ami Fields-Meyer and Alexander Hertel-Fernandez, American Prospect
- [Social Security: Why It Matters for Young People, Not Just Retirees]( â Mark Miller, New York Times
- [Behind the Curtain: The Republican Welfare State]( â Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen, Axios
- [Why âCall Her Daddyâ Got More Time With Kamala Harris Than CNN]( â Erik Wemple, Washington Post Copyright © 2024 The Fiscal Times, All rights reserved.
You are receiving this newsletter because you subscribed at our website or through Facebook.
The Fiscal Times, 399 Park Avenue 14th Floor, New York, NY 10022, United States
Want to change how you receive these emails? [Update your preferences]( or [unsubscribe](