If stock market is booming why does it feel like everyone is getting poorer?
͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ Forwarded this email? [Subscribe here]() for more
--------------------------------------------------------------- [Is The US Economy Failing The Middle Class?]( If stock market is booming why does it feel like everyone is getting poorer? [𝐉𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐑𝐨𝐬𝐡𝐢, 𝐌𝐈𝐓 𝐏𝐡𝐃](jackroshi) Dec 3
jackroshi
[READ IN APP]( To Smart Investors, In an era where uncomfortable truths are often dismissed, there's a story about the American economy that needs to be told. While officials trumpet a "remarkably strong" economy, consumers aren't feeling it - and not just because of inflation. [1]( The disconnect between Wall Street's celebration and Main Street's struggle has never been more stark, hiding a troubling reality that threatens the foundation of American prosperity. Support me and get access to: The Telegram Signals Channel, The Best TradingView Indicator, and my Award-winning Stocks and ETF Portfolios. [Upgrade to paid](
The Illusion of Prosperity The U.S. economy is giving off weird vibes right now. Despite millions of job openings and historically low unemployment rates [2]( something feels fundamentally wrong. When 37.9 million Americans live in poverty in the world's richest nation - consuming 11% of the federal budget or $665 billion in poverty-related programs - we must ask ourselves: What's really going on here? [3]( The banking sector's fragility exposed this contradiction in dramatic fashion. The collapse of First Republic Bank - the second-largest banking failure in U.S. history - wasn't just an isolated incident. Leading money managers warn that additional bank failures could trigger broader economic turmoil, potentially exceeding the 2008 crisis. [4]( In an age where traditional values and fiscal responsibility are increasingly dismissed, these warnings take on added weight. The Perfect Storm Nobody Saw Coming The corporate world is revealing its vulnerability as the era of cheap money ends. After years of easy borrowing, America's best-known brands are falling like dominoes. From Bed Bath & Beyond to WeWork, companies built on cheap debt are facing a harsh new reality as interest rates rise. [5]( It's a symptom of a broader economic malaise. When the United States economy starts to shrink, American consumers stop spending. And when that happens, the entire global economy slows down with it. [6]( The ripple effects of American economic troubles don't stay contained within our borders - they trigger worldwide consequences. If the U.S. economy falters, orders for Chinese factories could dry up, global trade could contract, and international markets could tumble. [7]( The Federal Reserve's Impossible Choice The Federal Reserve faces a precarious balancing act: maintaining price stability while promoting maximum employment. These goals often contradict each other, forcing impossible choices. Some economists argue for a single mandate approach, highlighting how the current system creates inherent instability. [8]( The post-COVID economy has exposed multiple vulnerabilities simultaneously: over-expenditures and dwindling funds, corporate vulnerability, surging energy prices, and an inverted yield curve. [9]( This combination of factors creates a perfect storm that traditional economic tools may be powerless to address. The 2025 Warning Signs Leading economists are increasingly pointing to 2025 as a potential inflection point. Latest reports indicate that a U.S. recession could arrive then, potentially triggering major market corrections in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. [10]( It's a mathematical reality based on current trends and structural weaknesses in our economic system. The Social Security Time Bomb Perhaps most alarming is what's happening with Social Security. Without immediate action, the trust fund will be completely depleted by 2033, triggering automatic benefit cuts of 21% for all recipients. It's straight from the Social Security Administration's own projections. For the first time in U.S. history, older Americans are expected to outnumber children by 2034, creating an unprecedented demographic crisis that threatens the entire system's sustainability. The math is brutally simple: fewer workers supporting more retirees in a system that wasn't designed for modern demographics. When Social Security began in 1935, the average life expectancy was 58 years. Today, it's nearly 80. The system was never built to support millions of Americans living decades past retirement age. The Hidden Wealth Drain Most Americans have no idea how badly they're getting shortchanged. Let's run the numbers: If you make $70,000 annually and contribute 12.4% to Social Security from age 25 to 65, that's $8,680 per year. With even modest 6% returns - well below historical market averages - you'd have over $1.5 million by retirement. This could generate $5,000 monthly income indefinitely using the conservative 4% withdrawal rule. Instead, Social Security will pay you roughly $2,400 monthly - less than half what your money could have earned in even the most conservative investment portfolio. And that's assuming benefits don't get cut further. It's a systematic transfer of wealth that few understand or discuss. The Banking System's Fatal Flaw The recent banking crisis exposed a terrifying truth about our financial system. When Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in 48 hours, it revealed how quickly modern banks can fail in an era of social media and instant digital transfers. The FDIC's insurance system was designed for a slower-moving financial world. Today, a bank run can happen before regulators even know there's a problem. Regional banks are sitting on hundreds of billions in unrealized losses, largely due to rising interest rates devaluing their long-term bond holdings. It's a structural weakness that could trigger a cascade of failures if depositors lose confidence. The Global Ripple Effect America's economic problems don't stay contained within our borders. When U.S. consumers pull back, Chinese factories slow down. When American banks struggle, global credit markets freeze. When the U.S. dollar fluctuates, emerging market economies suffer. We're witnessing the early stages of what could become a global economic restructuring. What This Means For Your Money The coming years will likely bring higher taxes, delayed retirement ages, and reduced benefits. Neither political party wants to be blamed for cutting Social Security, so they'll likely wait until the last possible moment before taking action. When they do, it will probably involve some combination of tax increases on higher earners and gradual benefit reductions for future retirees. But here's the good news: understanding these challenges is the first step toward protecting yourself from them. While you can't control government policy or global economic trends, you can take steps to secure your own financial future. Your Financial Survival Guide Start by building a robust emergency fund - aim for 6-12 months of expenses in easily accessible accounts. Diversify your income sources; relying on a single paycheck is increasingly risky in today's economy. Invest consistently in broad market index funds, taking advantage of tax-advantaged accounts like Roth IRAs whenever possible. Most importantly, develop valuable skills that remain in demand regardless of economic conditions. The future belongs to those who can adapt quickly to changing circumstances while maintaining long-term financial discipline. The Path Forward The path forward is about clear-eyed realism and practical preparation. The American economy isn't doomed, but it is changing fundamentally. Those who understand these changes and position themselves accordingly will not just survive but thrive in the coming years. The window for preparation is closing. The time to act isn't next year or next month - it's now. Whether you're just starting your career or approaching retirement, understanding these economic realities is crucial for making informed decisions about your financial future. Remember: The goal isn't to predict the future perfectly but to be prepared for whatever it brings. The coming years will challenge our economic assumptions and test our financial resilience. The question isn't if major changes are coming - it's whether you'll be ready when they arrive. The choice - and the responsibility - is yours. God Bless, Jack Roshi, MIT PhD Join almost 1 Million Smart Investors and gain access to my Telegram Signals, ETF, and Stock Portfolios! [Upgrade to paid]( [Like](
[Comment](
[Restack]( © 2024 Daily Moat, LLC
1111b South Governors Avenue, Dover, DE 19904 US
[Unsubscribe]() [Get the app]( writing]()