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Don't Bet on This All-Time High

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Thu, Oct 3, 2024 11:32 AM

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This year's best-performing sector recently hit its first new all-time high since 2022 – but in

This year's best-performing sector recently hit its first new all-time high since 2022 – but in this case, that isn't good news... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Don't Bet on This All-Time High By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- It has been a great year for stocks... with all kinds of companies performing well. In this kind of environment, we'd expect the most exciting stocks to be leading the way. But the exact opposite has happened. The best-performing sector this year has been the most boring of them all... utilities. These are simple companies. They don't sell flashy new products or innovations. Yet they've managed to lead the market higher this year. The sector recently hit its first new all-time high since 2022 – and it's still making new highs. But in this case, a new high isn't good news... Instead, we should expect the recent rally to end soon. --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: ['I Haven't Been This Worried Since 2007']( If the recent run-up in stocks following the Federal Reserve's historic rate cut has you feeling bullish... you're likely falling into a massive and dangerous trap. According to Altimetry founder Joel Litman, the situation is far worse than almost anyone realizes... yet, it's the perfect time for ONE strategy – completely outside of stocks – that almost nobody knows about. [Click here for full details, before they go offline](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Financial Nightmare Coming After Election]( In 2018, one independent research firm predicted Kamala Harris was on her way to becoming the president of the United States. "Frankly, she scares us to death... and she should scare you," they wrote. [This is why you need to check out their newest prediction immediately](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Utilities can't grow to the sky. These companies are in the business of picking up trash and keeping the lights on. That's why most investors think of these stocks as a boring part of the market... something you only think about buying if you want to collect a safe dividend. That reputation hasn't proved true in 2024. Again, utility stocks are up 29%. That makes them the best-performing sector by far this year. Not only that, but utilities just staged a major breakout. They hit a new all-time high last month. You can see this on the chart below, based on the performance of the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU). Take a look... Most sectors that have hit new all-time highs did so earlier in the year. The fact that utilities are doing it just recently – even after an incredible year of gains – shows the boring nature of these companies. It's clear the trend is in the sector's favor right now. But according to history, that might not be enough... You see, utility stocks have hit nine other new all-time highs over the past two decades. And overall, those proved to be terrible times to invest in the sector. Take a look... Utilities might be boring, but that doesn't make them bad investments. The sector has returned 5% a year over the past two decades... And that excludes dividends. Once you include dividends, the sector nearly keeps up with the overall market, and with less volatility. Still, buying at new highs isn't a great entry point for utilities. Similar setups led to 0.8% gains in six months and 2.6% losses over a year. Worse, the sector was down over the next year in nearly half the cases. This doesn't mean utility stocks will crash from here. But they likely won't be the top-performing sector for much longer. Boring sectors can win big... but only for so long. And according to history, the biggest gains in the utility boom are likely behind us. Good investing, Brett Eversole Further Reading The Federal Reserve recently slashed interest rates... Some analysts take this as a bearish sign that stocks will fall from their all-time highs. But history shows a less fearful picture... [Learn more here](. "If you buy the wrong bonds at the wrong time, you can still lose your shirt," Brett writes. One popular bond fund recently rose to a new 52-week high for the first time in years. History shows this rally isn't over yet – but it won't last much longer, either... [Read more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2024 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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