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Why You Should Pass on These New 'AI Stocks'

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Thu, Jun 13, 2024 11:34 AM

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Utility stocks have soared at an extreme rate this year. But according to history, a major slowdown

Utility stocks have soared at an extreme rate this year. But according to history, a major slowdown is likely in the months ahead... [Stansberry Research Logo] Delivering World-Class Financial Research Since 1999 [DailyWealth] Why You Should Pass on These New 'AI Stocks' By Brett Eversole --------------------------------------------------------------- "The Unlikely Stocks That Became a Hot Bet on AI"... The Wall Street Journal ran that headline last month. The article described a dull sector that's full of companies most tech and AI investors wouldn't have thought twice about before this year. Now, everyone is hoping that the stock market's most exciting trend will scoop up its most boring sector: utility stocks. I'm not sold on this idea. And as I'll explain, you shouldn't be either... The reason is simple. Regardless of their role in tech, utility stocks have already soared at an extreme rate. And according to history, we should expect a major slowdown in the months ahead... --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Links: [Ending TONIGHT: 'The Strongest BUY Recommendation of My Career... Just Got Even Better']( The analyst who has delivered 14 different 10X winners in the past five years just stepped forward with a critical new update, including multiple chances at 1,000%-plus gains. [See his new buy alert here, before it goes offline at midnight](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [America's First Dictator]( While the Left celebrates Trump's conviction and the Right rallies around him... the average American is not prepared for what happens next. It will be even more shocking... surprise Americans of all political leanings... and could ultimately result in the first American dictator. [Click here for access to the important details](. --------------------------------------------------------------- Why are boring utility stocks suddenly joining the AI mania? It's all about power... The new AI data centers coming on line will need a lot of electricity. And as the AI industry develops, folks believe we'll see a huge, long-term increase in demand for utilities. This story makes sense... But that doesn't mean we should expect utility stocks to soar hundreds of percent. For one thing, these are still highly regulated, boring businesses. What's more, these stocks have already soared much further – and faster – than we typically see. Just look at how utility stocks have performed in recent months, based on the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU)... Stocks were a darn good investment this spring... But utilities crushed the overall market. The sector recently blew past a 16% return in just three months – more than triple the return of the S&P 500. It was a huge short-term gain. And by now, utilities are up 18% since late February, versus 6% for the broad market. Normally, this momentum would be a sign of a powerful uptrend. We'd usually expect these strong returns to continue. But utilities aren't like most other stocks... To see this, I found the rolling three-month returns for the utilities sector. That allows us to identify any short-term period where utility stocks soar – something that doesn't happen often. Then, I analyzed what happened after each new case of trailing three-month returns above 15%. Take a look... Boring or not, utilities have rewarded long-term investors. The sector has produced annual gains of 9.7% since 2003. But you don't want to buy these stocks after they've boomed... Similar setups led to 0.9% losses in six months and just 1.7% gains over a year. That's a far cry from the sector's impressive buy-and-hold results. So, even with a tie to the AI boom, utilities can only soar so much. And when you think about it, that makes sense... These stocks can't rise to the moon. Investors buy them for consistent dividends – not capital gains. Higher returns will push their dividend yields too low for folks to stay interested. We're at that point right now. The sector pays just a 3% dividend yield, thanks to its big run-up. That's low compared with history... And it's even worse when you can earn 5%-plus in money-market funds with no risk. Utility stocks have caught the attention of AI investors – for now. But don't let the hype suck you in. History says the biggest gains of this rally have already happened... And that means this is a sector you should avoid today. Good investing, Brett Eversole Further Reading Everyone is piling into tech-related investments right now. But that's not the only opportunity in the market. One overlooked sector has the potential to see outsized returns in the long term... [Read more here](. Billions of dollars are already going toward the AI revolution. This spending has helped fuel the current bull run – and opened up all kinds of opportunities in the market. That's a good reason to be bullish today... [Learn more here](. --------------------------------------------------------------- [Tell us what you think of this content]( [We value our subscribers' feedback. To help us improve your experience, we'd like to ask you a couple brief questions.]( [Click here to rate this e-mail]( You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to DailyWealth. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from DailyWealth [click here](. Published by Stansberry Research. You're receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. Stansberry Research welcomes comments or suggestions at feedback@stansberryresearch.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call 888-261-2693 (U.S.) or 443-839-0986 (international) Monday-Friday, 9 a.m.-5 p.m. Eastern time. Or e-mail info@stansberryresearch.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice. © 2024 Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Stansberry Research, 1125 N Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201 or [stansberryresearch.com](. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Stansberry Research does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Stansberry Research forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Stansberry Research (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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