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The Swing Trader’s Secret: A High-Probability Pattern You Can’t Ignore

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rogerscott.com

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Roger@p.rogerscott.com

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Sat, Nov 30, 2024 02:06 PM

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To view this email as a web page, go The Swing Trader?s Secret: A High-Probability Pattern You Can

[] Wait for this signal… To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] The Swing Trader’s Secret: A High-Probability Pattern You Can’t Ignore One of the most reliable patterns I’ve observed over my decades in the market is also one of the simplest. Yet, too many traders ignore it — either jumping in too early or failing to recognize it at all. Let me walk you through it. This pattern starts with a strong stock. Imagine one that’s been on a tear — breaking out to new highs and attracting attention across the market. But, like all trends, it doesn’t last forever. Eventually, the stock pulls back, falling below its 50-day moving average and — in some cases — the 100-day moving average. At this point, most traders assume it’s a failed trend. But that’s where they’re wrong. Instead of collapsing, the stock starts to compress — a period of tight, sideways action between the 50- and 100-day moving averages. It consolidates for weeks, sometimes a month or more, as the market digests the prior move. This is where the magic happens. When the stock finally breaks out above the 50-day MA and closes there, it signals the start of the next leg up. That’s the moment to strike. Let’s break it down using a real example I discussed one day in my VIP Trade Room: eBay (EBAY). The stock had just crossed above its 50-day MA after weeks of consolidation. It’s a textbook case of this pattern. The breakout above the 50-day MA is your signal — not the earlier chop or the initial pullback. If you’re disciplined enough to wait, this entry point offers a high probability of success with the potential for strong, sustained momentum. Here’s why this setup works so well: • Consolidation builds strength. A stock that compresses after a strong move is shaking out weaker hands while institutions accumulate. This sets the stage for the next rally. • The breakout confirms momentum. By waiting for the close above the 50-day moving average, you avoid false signals and focus only on high-probability trades. • Timing is critical. Buying during the consolidation phase is tempting, but the real edge comes from waiting for that clear breakout. This pattern isn’t just about watching moving averages. It’s about understanding market psychology. After a strong rally, stocks need time to cool off — just like runners need to catch their breath after a sprint. When the consolidation ends, it’s a sign the stock is ready for its next move. I’ve seen this behavior time and again across sectors, from Technology (XLK) to Health Care (XLC). And while it’s not quantifiable in the sense of a strict formula, experience proves it works. So next time you spot a stock compressing between its 50- and 100-day MAs, pay attention. Watch for that breakout above the 50-day. And when it comes — be ready to act. That’s the kind of edge swing traders live for. I hope that helps! [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Target Extra Cash Weekly in LESS Time The BEST traders use [SIMPLE systems to target extra income.]( You don’t need to: • Be a 30-year veteran. • Start with a large amount of capital. • Know how to leverage complex options. All you need is a regular brokerage account… A few minutes a week… And a simple strategy that pays you every Friday… like this… We cannot promise future returns or against losses… But if you’re tired of trading systems that take up all your time… And you’d rather spend time doing something you enjoy — instead of staring at charts… [Discover the Simplest Way to Target Extra Cash]( [] [] Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! • Telegram:[_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] Join the Conversation Give us a follow on your social media platform of choice, and make your voice heard! [] [] [] The Swing Trader’s Secret: A High-Probability Pattern You Can’t Ignore One of the most reliable patterns I’ve observed over my decades in the market is also one of the simplest. Yet, too many traders ignore it — either jumping in too early or failing to recognize it at all. Let me walk you through it. This pattern starts with a strong stock. Imagine one that’s been on a tear — breaking out to new highs and attracting attention across the market. But, like all trends, it doesn’t last forever. Eventually, the stock pulls back, falling below its 50-day moving average and — in some cases — the 100-day moving average. At this point, most traders assume it’s a failed trend. But that’s where they’re wrong. Instead of collapsing, the stock starts to compress — a period of tight, sideways action between the 50- and 100-day moving averages. It consolidates for weeks, sometimes a month or more, as the market digests the prior move. This is where the magic happens. When the stock finally breaks out above the 50-day MA and closes there, it signals the start of the next leg up. That’s the moment to strike. Let’s break it down using a real example I discussed one day in my VIP Trade Room: eBay (EBAY). The stock had just crossed above its 50-day MA after weeks of consolidation. It’s a textbook case of this pattern. The breakout above the 50-day MA is your signal — not the earlier chop or the initial pullback. If you’re disciplined enough to wait, this entry point offers a high probability of success with the potential for strong, sustained momentum. Here’s why this setup works so well: - Consolidation builds strength. A stock that compresses after a strong move is shaking out weaker hands while institutions accumulate. This sets the stage for the next rally. - The breakout confirms momentum. By waiting for the close above the 50-day moving average, you avoid false signals and focus only on high-probability trades. - Timing is critical. Buying during the consolidation phase is tempting, but the real edge comes from waiting for that clear breakout. This pattern isn’t just about watching moving averages. It’s about understanding market psychology. After a strong rally, stocks need time to cool off — just like runners need to catch their breath after a sprint. When the consolidation ends, it’s a sign the stock is ready for its next move. I’ve seen this behavior time and again across sectors, from Technology (XLK) to Health Care (XLC). And while it’s not quantifiable in the sense of a strict formula, experience proves it works. So next time you spot a stock compressing between its 50- and 100-day MAs, pay attention. Watch for that breakout above the 50-day. And when it comes — be ready to act. That’s the kind of edge swing traders live for. I hope that helps! [] [] _________________________________________________ [] Target Extra Cash Weekly in LESS Time The BEST traders use [SIMPLE systems to target extra income.]( You don’t need to: - Be a 30-year veteran. - Start with a large amount of capital. - Know how to leverage complex options. All you need is a regular brokerage account… A few minutes a week… And a simple strategy that pays you every Friday… like this… We cannot promise future returns or against losses… But if you’re tired of trading systems that take up all your time… And you’d rather spend time doing something you enjoy — instead of staring at charts… [Discover the Simplest Way to Target Extra Cash]( [] [] Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! - Telegram:[_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] Join the Conversation Give us a follow on your social media platform of choice, and make your voice heard! [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by The TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Roger Scott]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by The TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Roger Scott](

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