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The Market’s Up BIG But I’m Very Nervous Because the Fed Is Full of It

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rogerscott.com

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Roger@p.rogerscott.com

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Thu, Sep 19, 2024 01:25 PM

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[] That and more this morning’s “Premarket Must Watch” video! To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] [ON DECK FOR TODAY’S VIP TRADE ROOM:]( Monday-Wednesday: noon ET | Thursday-Friday: 11 a.m. ET A guest appearance by Kane, critical levels for the major indices and FANG stocks, sector analysis, seasonality, commodities, selling call premium and fast-moving stocks for the afternoon! [JOIN US HERE!]( [] _________________________________________________ [] [] The Market’s Up BIG But I’m Very Nervous Because the Fed Is Full of It Markets are up BIG on the heels of the first interest rate cut we’ve seen in four years after an aggressive rate-hiking cycle to combat inflation. I would call this a bit of a delayed reaction after Wednesday’s 2 p.m. ET announcement and subsequent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which had my head spinning. [There was no real justification given for a 0.5% cut,]( no matter how hard he tried to spin it. And no one was buying it — the market included because it didn’t do hardly anything after the cut until this morning. What we’re seeing today didn’t happen yesterday because not one institutional trader believed what he was saying. To say he contradicted himself would be an understatement. He’s been telling us we need to think about lowering rates a quarter-point because the job market was in trouble. But the fact is they didn’t need to do this rate cut, and he had no explanation for why they were going so big. He said yesterday the job market was great. We also know that inflation has barely gone down at all the past year, and the jobs reports have gotten worse. But according to him, everything is great — aye yi yi… We have a lot to talk about this morning, so I’ll cover all that, my daily hitlist of longs and shorts and more in this morning’s “Premarket Must Watch” video! [That and More in Today’s ‘Premarket Must Watch’]( [] [] _________________________________________________ [] The Pieces Are Falling Into Place… Inflation cooling... check. Job market slowing... check. Fed eyeing rate cuts... check and mate. Sounds like a recipe for smooth sailing, right? Wrong… DEAD WRONG… Because when these factors align, [we could be heading into the perfect storm...]( A storm that's wreaked havoc three times in the past 30 years. During the dot-com implosion… the 2008 Financial Crisis… and the COVID meltdown. Each time, investors saw billions in market cap vanish like a ship lost at sea. But this time? [You Can Take Steps to Strengthen Your Book]( [] ________________________________________________ [] Today’s Top S&P 500 Sectors Today’s S&P 500 CSI Leaders Homebuilder (XHB) 3M (MMM) Consumer Discretionary (XLY) Newmont Goldcorp (NEM) Utilities (XLU) Fair Isaac (FICO) [] _________________________________________________ [] 🎥 LIVE TRADE ROOM ACCESS 🎥 Join me and dozens of traders each day inside my [LIVE VIP Trade Room!]( Each day, we analyze the markets together, build relationships and, more importantly… go over market education and new trade ideas! With the VIP Trade Room, you’ll have the opportunity to multiply your trading knowledge and confidence as quickly as possible. I’ll take the time to answer all of your trading questions, so fire away! Make sure to join us LIVE each day! SCHEDULE: • Monday-Wednesday: noon to 1 p.m. ET • Thursday-Friday: 11 a.m. to noon ET. JOIN US HERE: [( [] _________________________________________________ [] CUSTOMER STORY OF THE DAY Matt my avg win rate from Jan 01 2024 in my smaller account is 74.8% its an account i work for my daughter. Thats roger/your teaching/tools making a real life difference — Adam [] _________________________________________________ [] [] Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! • Telegram:[_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] Join the Conversation Give us a follow on your social media platform of choice, and make your voice heard! [] [] [] [ON DECK FOR TODAY’S VIP TRADE ROOM:]( Monday-Wednesday: noon ET | Thursday-Friday: 11 a.m. ET A guest appearance by Kane, critical levels for the major indices and FANG stocks, sector analysis, seasonality, commodities, selling call premium and fast-moving stocks for the afternoon! [JOIN US HERE!]( [] _________________________________________________ [] [] The Market’s Up BIG But I’m Very Nervous Because the Fed Is Full of It Markets are up BIG on the heels of the first interest rate cut we’ve seen in four years after an aggressive rate-hiking cycle to combat inflation. I would call this a bit of a delayed reaction after Wednesday’s 2 p.m. ET announcement and subsequent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which had my head spinning. [There was no real justification given for a 0.5% cut,]( no matter how hard he tried to spin it. And no one was buying it — the market included because it didn’t do hardly anything after the cut until this morning. What we’re seeing today didn’t happen yesterday because not one institutional trader believed what he was saying. To say he contradicted himself would be an understatement. He’s been telling us we need to think about lowering rates a quarter-point because the job market was in trouble. But the fact is they didn’t need to do this rate cut, and he had no explanation for why they were going so big. He said yesterday the job market was great. We also know that inflation has barely gone down at all the past year, and the jobs reports have gotten worse. But according to him, everything is great — aye yi yi… We have a lot to talk about this morning, so I’ll cover all that, my daily hitlist of longs and shorts and more in this morning’s “Premarket Must Watch” video! [That and More in Today’s ‘Premarket Must Watch’]( [] [] _________________________________________________ [] The Pieces Are Falling Into Place… Inflation cooling... check. Job market slowing... check. Fed eyeing rate cuts... check and mate. Sounds like a recipe for smooth sailing, right? Wrong… DEAD WRONG… Because when these factors align, [we could be heading into the perfect storm...]( A storm that's wreaked havoc three times in the past 30 years. During the dot-com implosion… the 2008 Financial Crisis… and the COVID meltdown. Each time, investors saw billions in market cap vanish like a ship lost at sea. But this time? [You Can Take Steps to Strengthen Your Book]( [] ________________________________________________ [] Today’s Top S&P 500 Sectors Today’s S&P 500 CSI Leaders Homebuilder (XHB) 3M (MMM) Consumer Discretionary (XLY) Newmont Goldcorp (NEM) Utilities (XLU) Fair Isaac (FICO) [] _________________________________________________ [] 🎥 LIVE TRADE ROOM ACCESS 🎥 Join me and dozens of traders each day inside my [LIVE VIP Trade Room!]( Each day, we analyze the markets together, build relationships and, more importantly… go over market education and new trade ideas! With the VIP Trade Room, you’ll have the opportunity to multiply your trading knowledge and confidence as quickly as possible. I’ll take the time to answer all of your trading questions, so fire away! Make sure to join us LIVE each day! SCHEDULE: - Monday-Wednesday: noon to 1 p.m. ET - Thursday-Friday: 11 a.m. to noon ET. JOIN US HERE: [( [] _________________________________________________ [] CUSTOMER STORY OF THE DAY Matt my avg win rate from Jan 01 2024 in my smaller account is 74.8% its an account i work for my daughter. Thats roger/your teaching/tools making a real life difference — Adam [] _________________________________________________ [] [] Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! - Telegram:[_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5]( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] Join the Conversation Give us a follow on your social media platform of choice, and make your voice heard! [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by The TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Roger Scott]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by The TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Roger Scott](

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