Fed Day: The Market's Moment of Truth

[] Will the Rate Decision Set the Course for the Rest of 2024？ [] [] [] [] Today’s the day the market’s been waiting for: the Fed’s rate decision. After a week filled with speculation, volatility, and mixed signals from retail sales data, it’s time to see how this all plays out. So far, the market has been riding a wave of anticipation, closing above key levels and flirting with new trends. But the big question on everyone’s mind today is: What’s next? Well, despite yesterday’s brief all time high, we’ve seen the market churn, looking for direction, and a lot of that churn was due to speculation about what the Fed will do. Yesterday, I discussed how retail sales figures showed mixed signals, adding another layer of complexity to the market's outlook. Now, with the announcement just hours away, we’re about to get the clarity we’ve been craving — or at least a glimpse of it. How the Market Could React If the Fed cuts rates, we might see a surge of optimism, with stocks potentially rallying off the back of that news. On the flip side, if the Fed holds steady or doesn’t deliver a “big enough” cut, we could see a sharp market correction. In these final minutes leading up to the announcement, I’m watching the market closely. Volatility, as measured by the VIX has already spiked today. Will it continue after the Fed announcement or continue spiking? In the middle of this increased volatility is where traders can find opportunities. No matter what the Fed announces today, the market's initial reaction is just the first act. The real story will unfold in the coming days and weeks as traders digest the news and decide on the market's next direction. Keep an eye on the S&P futures; how they close today will give us some clues. If we see a rally that pushes us beyond the recent highs, that could signal a new uptrend. On the other hand, if the market pulls back sharply, it might indicate that more volatility is on the horizon. Playing the Volatility Yesterday, I recommended members in my Profit Links program buy a SPY call and a QQQ put, both slightly out-of-the-money and both expiring about 2 weeks ago. Out of respect to my paying members, I can’t post the exact trade, but that should give you an idea of how I’m playing this volatility I’m expecting. Today, with the market not having moved very much yet, we’re about breakeven. I expect that as soon as the Fed announces their decision, markets will go nuts in one direction or the other and one of those trades will pay off big time. Whether you decide to take a trade or not, keep an eye on the market and watch how it reacts. It’s a great opportunity to learn how to play volatility during events like today’s Fed announcement. — Geof Smith P.S. One thing that I’m not worried about is nuclear. No matter what the Fed announces, I see a surge in nuclear coming and [here’s exactly how I plan to play it](. [] [] Today’s the day the market’s been waiting for: the Fed’s rate decision. After a week filled with speculation, volatility, and mixed signals from retail sales data, it’s time to see how this all plays out. So far, the market has been riding a wave of anticipation, closing above key levels and flirting with new trends. But the big question on everyone’s mind today is: What’s next? Well, despite yesterday’s brief all time high, we’ve seen the market churn, looking for direction, and a lot of that churn was due to speculation about what the Fed will do. Yesterday, I discussed how retail sales figures showed mixed signals, adding another layer of complexity to the market's outlook. Now, with the announcement just hours away, we’re about to get the clarity we’ve been craving — or at least a glimpse of it. How the Market Could React If the Fed cuts rates, we might see a surge of optimism, with stocks potentially rallying off the back of that news. On the flip side, if the Fed holds steady or doesn’t deliver a “big enough” cut, we could see a sharp market correction. In these final minutes leading up to the announcement, I’m watching the market closely. Volatility, as measured by the VIX has already spiked today. Will it continue after the Fed announcement or continue spiking? In the middle of this increased volatility is where traders can find opportunities. No matter what the Fed announces today, the market's initial reaction is just the first act. The real story will unfold in the coming days and weeks as traders digest the news and decide on the market's next direction. Keep an eye on the S&P futures; how they close today will give us some clues. If we see a rally that pushes us beyond the recent highs, that could signal a new uptrend. On the other hand, if the market pulls back sharply, it might indicate that more volatility is on the horizon. Playing the Volatility Yesterday, I recommended members in my Profit Links program buy a SPY call and a QQQ put, both slightly out-of-the-money and both expiring about 2 weeks ago. Out of respect to my paying members, I can’t post the exact trade, but that should give you an idea of how I’m playing this volatility I’m expecting. Today, with the market not having moved very much yet, we’re about breakeven. I expect that as soon as the Fed announces their decision, markets will go nuts in one direction or the other and one of those trades will pay off big time. Whether you decide to take a trade or not, keep an eye on the market and watch how it reacts. It’s a great opportunity to learn how to play volatility during events like today’s Fed announcement. — Geof Smith P.S. One thing that I’m not worried about is nuclear. No matter what the Fed announces, I see a surge in nuclear coming and [here’s exactly how I plan to play it](. [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](