Fed Week Volatility

[] it’s not just the rate announcement… [] [] [] [] On Friday, I mentioned that the market had closed above the 5570 level and was continuing to push higher, but with the Fed meeting this week, the big question remains: Will this momentum hold? I said it then, and I’ll say it again — the answer isn’t as straightforward as we’d like it to be. Back on Friday, I talked about how the markets often go where they want to, no matter what’s going on in the news. Yet, this week could be an exception. With the European Central Bank cutting rates recently, pressure is mounting on the Fed to follow suit. If they do, we could see a pop; if not, we might face a correction. Now that we’re here at the start of the week, it really does feel like a 'wait-and-see' moment. But that doesn't mean there's nothing to do. This week could provide a prime opportunity to capitalize on market volatility leading up to the Fed's announcement. Here's how I’m thinking about it… The 'Wait and See' Game Despite the up and down churn we’ve seen for the past 2 months, overall, the market has been pretty directionless. Almost like it's biding its time until the Fed makes its move. And while I generally believe that financial news only has a temporary impact before markets revert to their own course, the Fed's decision this week has the potential to be a true market mover. Think of it this way: we’re at a critical juncture where a major catalyst could trigger a new trend, either up or down. The market is basically holding its breath, and in this period of indecision, volatility can be our friend. Capitalizing on Volatility Now, you might be asking, “Does this mean I should sit on my hands until the Fed’s announcement?” Not necessarily. This week is a classic setup for a volatility play, where you can take advantage of the market swings in either direction. The key is to stay nimble and be ready to move as soon as a trend becomes clear. If the market starts moving up or down significantly before the announcement, it could signal that investors are positioning themselves for a specific outcome. That's something worth watching, and it could present an opportunity to get in on the action before the rest of the market catches on. What I’m Watching Right now, it’s not just the Fed meeting that has my attention. Today’s contract rollover — when traders move their positions from expiring futures contracts to new ones — is already adding some volatility to the market. This can cause a lot of back-and-forth movement as traders adjust their strategies. Tomorrow, we’ve got retail sales data coming out, which could provide early signs of economic strength or weakness. And let’s not forget about Friday’s quad witching — a quarterly event where four types of financial contracts expire simultaneously (stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures). This usually leads to increased trading volume and market swings. With so many catalysts lined up, I’m expecting a bumpy ride this week. It’s not about pinpointing a specific level right now; it’s about navigating the volatility and understanding what each of these events could mean for the market's direction. — Geof Smith P.S. This headline says it all: “Uranium: Everything Points To A Strong High Season Decoupled From The Stock Market And Recession Fears” [Here’s how I’m planning to target these “Nuclear Trades!”]( [] [] On Friday, I mentioned that the market had closed above the 5570 level and was continuing to push higher, but with the Fed meeting this week, the big question remains: Will this momentum hold? I said it then, and I’ll say it again — the answer isn’t as straightforward as we’d like it to be. Back on Friday, I talked about how the markets often go where they want to, no matter what’s going on in the news. Yet, this week could be an exception. With the European Central Bank cutting rates recently, pressure is mounting on the Fed to follow suit. If they do, we could see a pop; if not, we might face a correction. Now that we’re here at the start of the week, it really does feel like a 'wait-and-see' moment. But that doesn't mean there's nothing to do. This week could provide a prime opportunity to capitalize on market volatility leading up to the Fed's announcement. Here's how I’m thinking about it… The 'Wait and See' Game Despite the up and down churn we’ve seen for the past 2 months, overall, the market has been pretty directionless. Almost like it's biding its time until the Fed makes its move. And while I generally believe that financial news only has a temporary impact before markets revert to their own course, the Fed's decision this week has the potential to be a true market mover. Think of it this way: we’re at a critical juncture where a major catalyst could trigger a new trend, either up or down. The market is basically holding its breath, and in this period of indecision, volatility can be our friend. Capitalizing on Volatility Now, you might be asking, “Does this mean I should sit on my hands until the Fed’s announcement?” Not necessarily. This week is a classic setup for a volatility play, where you can take advantage of the market swings in either direction. The key is to stay nimble and be ready to move as soon as a trend becomes clear. If the market starts moving up or down significantly before the announcement, it could signal that investors are positioning themselves for a specific outcome. That's something worth watching, and it could present an opportunity to get in on the action before the rest of the market catches on. What I’m Watching Right now, it’s not just the Fed meeting that has my attention. Today’s contract rollover — when traders move their positions from expiring futures contracts to new ones — is already adding some volatility to the market. This can cause a lot of back-and-forth movement as traders adjust their strategies. Tomorrow, we’ve got retail sales data coming out, which could provide early signs of economic strength or weakness. And let’s not forget about Friday’s quad witching — a quarterly event where four types of financial contracts expire simultaneously (stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures). This usually leads to increased trading volume and market swings. With so many catalysts lined up, I’m expecting a bumpy ride this week. It’s not about pinpointing a specific level right now; it’s about navigating the volatility and understanding what each of these events could mean for the market's direction. — Geof Smith P.S. This headline says it all: “Uranium: Everything Points To A Strong High Season Decoupled From The Stock Market And Recession Fears” [Here’s how I’m planning to target these “Nuclear Trades!”]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](