Rate Cut Roulette: Why the Fed's Decision Could Lead to Major Market Turbulence

[] And gold’s interesting position… To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( To view this email as a web page, go [here.]( [] [] [] [] Rate Cut Roulette: Why the Fed's Decision Could Lead to Major Market Turbulence I hope you received my welcome letter on Saturday... If not or if you’re new, we included it again here, so just scroll down a bit to learn a little more about my background! Now, let me take this opportunity to invite you to a live session called “Final Hour,” where I’ll be streaming at 3 p.m. ET on weekdays (except Wednesdays). We’ll cover everything happening in the markets that day — and how we can best position ourselves to succeed! [You can check out Monday’s live session here!]( The Fed is very likely to cut rates this week, which has been highly anticipated for over nine months now. So the question is if the market will sell the news or not... The Fed is generally restrictive when the official cash rate is greater than the running Personal Consumptions Expenditure data (year over year). You can find this information easily online, and the latest number for July was 2.5% while the current Fed funds rate is 5.25% to 5.5%. This tells us that current Fed policy is in fact restrictive. Aside from some downturns, the Fed has thus far jawboned the market into a soft landing while the economy looks resilient. So the Fed presumably has room to cut rates so long as the PCE doesn’t spike. Markets are currently looking at a 61% possibility that we see a 50-point cut, and a 39% chance we get a 0.25% cut. I’m concerned that if the Fed does cut 50 points, we’ll see a much more volatile reaction than compared to a smaller cut. In fact, the data shows a high probability for aggressive rate cutting this month, then again in November and again in December… Gold, meanwhile, is outperforming, which is very interesting… Check out my market closing live session so we can cover this and more in more detail! Also be sure to hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube channel! [Check Out Today’s Live Session Here!]( [] Have a question or something you’d like me to cover in a future newsletter or event? Just reply to this email! [] ____________________________________________________ [] Check Out This 9:35 Profit Window What do you usually do between 9:35 and 11 a.m. ET? Catch up on emails? Attend a meeting? Maybe grab a coffee? For me, it's the most important part of my trading day. 85 minutes. That's usually all it takes. Set up at 9:35 a.m., check back at 11… And when things work out, there's an extra $100 to $150 in my account (on a $1,000 starting stake). [Sounds too simple, doesn't it?]( Here’s the truth… The market has a rhythm, a subtle pattern that shows up day after day. Most miss it because they're too busy predicting where the market will end up by the closing bell. But in those 85 minutes? That's where the real opportunity lies. [Get the Complete Breakdown Here]( [] The trades expressed are from historical back teste] data from June 2022 through April 2024 combined with Chris's live money trading from June 2024 through September 1 2024 to demonstrate the potential of the system.The average winning trade during the backtested data was 11.5% while the average losing position was 74.5% per trade and a 90.9% win rate. The average winning trade during the real time data was 10.5% while the average losing position was 29.5% per trade and an 83% win rate. [] ____________________________________________________ [] How a PGA Pro Became a Pro Trader, and Our Journey to Winning Big in the Market Greetings and welcome to Chris Pulver Trading, my brand-new financial newsletter here with Prosperity Pub. This first edition is the perfect chance to say hello, and tell you a little about myself and what you can expect from me each day. First, a little about me… I've been trading the financial markets for almost 25 years now, including stocks, options, futures, forex and crypto — you name it. First and foremost, the main thing I care about is results. Here’s the secret to being a successful trader: Win more than you lose, and win bigger than you lose. While it may sound obvious, as many of you probably already know, it’s a lot easier said than done. But here’s some good news… There are infinite ways to achieve the results in the two binary keys to success I mentioned above. And I have a “whatever it takes” approach to finding ways to exploit market inefficiencies. And that’s why I’m here… To share my knowledge and deliver a first-class education based on timeless lessons about real-world trading, with risk-management always front and center. I want you to enjoy the journey and the process, so we’re going to have fun while doing it. In fact, the only thing that matches my passion and love for trading is golf, and I’ve been fortunate enough to travel all over the world as a player and instructor with the PGA of America, which I’ve been doing for 20 years. That’s right… I’m a golf pro turned pro trader. I’ve worked with other professional traders at public and private investment firms, honing my skills over many years, also helping manage capital for friends and family along the way. I’m also the Founder and Chief Information Officer at Streamwise Capital. And while I may not be able to have 1-on-1 sessions to help you with your short game, I will share everything I’ve learned about trading with you via this newsletter and my strategies — heck, we might even find some ways to incorporate golf into some sessions! A few things you can expect to learn from me aside from general trading are portfolio and risk management, income trading — [my go-to strategy targets $100 a day in extra cash!]( — proper diversification and more. I’m also open to topics readers and viewers would like me to cover. Just reply to my emails with topics or questions, and the team will pass your questions along! And it all starts on Monday after the close, when I’ll give my market analysis for the day, key levels, current momentum, leaders and laggards — everything you need to know to end the trading day. You can also get real-time insights, live class invites, trade ideas and more by joining my [free Telegram channel here.]( I'll see you in the markets. [] Chris Pulver Chris Pulver Trading P.S. If you’d like to learn more about me and my trading strategies, I’ll be live at noon ET TODAY, Sept. 14, to show everyone my $100 Challenge... [It’s how I target $100 from the market, each and every day!]( See you at noon! Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! • Telegram: [av20QmeKC5VjOTc5]( • YouTube: [ChrisPulverTrading]( • Twitter: [( • Facebook: [( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [] [] [] Rate Cut Roulette: Why the Fed's Decision Could Lead to Major Market Turbulence I hope you received my welcome letter on Saturday... If not or if you’re new, we included it again here, so just scroll down a bit to learn a little more about my background! Now, let me take this opportunity to invite you to a live session called “Final Hour,” where I’ll be streaming at 3 p.m. ET on weekdays (except Wednesdays). We’ll cover everything happening in the markets that day — and how we can best position ourselves to succeed! [You can check out Monday’s live session here!]( The Fed is very likely to cut rates this week, which has been highly anticipated for over nine months now. So the question is if the market will sell the news or not... The Fed is generally restrictive when the official cash rate is greater than the running Personal Consumptions Expenditure data (year over year). You can find this information easily online, and the latest number for July was 2.5% while the current Fed funds rate is 5.25% to 5.5%. This tells us that current Fed policy is in fact restrictive. Aside from some downturns, the Fed has thus far jawboned the market into a soft landing while the economy looks resilient. So the Fed presumably has room to cut rates so long as the PCE doesn’t spike. Markets are currently looking at a 61% possibility that we see a 50-point cut, and a 39% chance we get a 0.25% cut. I’m concerned that if the Fed does cut 50 points, we’ll see a much more volatile reaction than compared to a smaller cut. In fact, the data shows a high probability for aggressive rate cutting this month, then again in November and again in December… Gold, meanwhile, is outperforming, which is very interesting… Check out my market closing live session so we can cover this and more in more detail! Also be sure to hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube channel! [Check Out Today’s Live Session Here!]( [] Have a question or something you’d like me to cover in a future newsletter or event? Just reply to this email! [] ____________________________________________________ [] Check Out This 9:35 Profit Window What do you usually do between 9:35 and 11 a.m. ET? Catch up on emails? Attend a meeting? Maybe grab a coffee? For me, it's the most important part of my trading day. 85 minutes. That's usually all it takes. Set up at 9:35 a.m., check back at 11… And when things work out, there's an extra $100 to $150 in my account (on a $1,000 starting stake). [Sounds too simple, doesn't it?]( Here’s the truth… The market has a rhythm, a subtle pattern that shows up day after day. Most miss it because they're too busy predicting where the market will end up by the closing bell. But in those 85 minutes? That's where the real opportunity lies. [Get the Complete Breakdown Here]( [] The trades expressed are from historical back teste] data from June 2022 through April 2024 combined with Chris's live money trading from June 2024 through September 1 2024 to demonstrate the potential of the system.The average winning trade during the backtested data was 11.5% while the average losing position was 74.5% per trade and a 90.9% win rate. The average winning trade during the real time data was 10.5% while the average losing position was 29.5% per trade and an 83% win rate. [] ____________________________________________________ [] How a PGA Pro Became a Pro Trader, and Our Journey to Winning Big in the Market Greetings and welcome to Chris Pulver Trading, my brand-new financial newsletter here with Prosperity Pub. This first edition is the perfect chance to say hello, and tell you a little about myself and what you can expect from me each day. First, a little about me… I've been trading the financial markets for almost 25 years now, including stocks, options, futures, forex and crypto — you name it. First and foremost, the main thing I care about is results. Here’s the secret to being a successful trader: Win more than you lose, and win bigger than you lose. While it may sound obvious, as many of you probably already know, it’s a lot easier said than done. But here’s some good news… There are infinite ways to achieve the results in the two binary keys to success I mentioned above. And I have a “whatever it takes” approach to finding ways to exploit market inefficiencies. And that’s why I’m here… To share my knowledge and deliver a first-class education based on timeless lessons about real-world trading, with risk-management always front and center. I want you to enjoy the journey and the process, so we’re going to have fun while doing it. In fact, the only thing that matches my passion and love for trading is golf, and I’ve been fortunate enough to travel all over the world as a player and instructor with the PGA of America, which I’ve been doing for 20 years. That’s right… I’m a golf pro turned pro trader. I’ve worked with other professional traders at public and private investment firms, honing my skills over many years, also helping manage capital for friends and family along the way. I’m also the Founder and Chief Information Officer at Streamwise Capital. And while I may not be able to have 1-on-1 sessions to help you with your short game, I will share everything I’ve learned about trading with you via this newsletter and my strategies — heck, we might even find some ways to incorporate golf into some sessions! A few things you can expect to learn from me aside from general trading are portfolio and risk management, income trading — [my go-to strategy targets $100 a day in extra cash!]( — proper diversification and more. I’m also open to topics readers and viewers would like me to cover. Just reply to my emails with topics or questions, and the team will pass your questions along! And it all starts on Monday after the close, when I’ll give my market analysis for the day, key levels, current momentum, leaders and laggards — everything you need to know to end the trading day. You can also get real-time insights, live class invites, trade ideas and more by joining my [free Telegram channel here.]( I'll see you in the markets. [] Chris Pulver Chris Pulver Trading P.S. If you’d like to learn more about me and my trading strategies, I’ll be live at noon ET TODAY, Sept. 14, to show everyone my $100 Challenge... [It’s how I target $100 from the market, each and every day!]( See you at noon! Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! - Telegram: [av20QmeKC5VjOTc5]( - YouTube: [ChrisPulverTrading]( - Twitter: [( - Facebook: [( *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States This email was sent to {EMAIL} by The TradingPub [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States This email was sent to {EMAIL} by The TradingPub