Does tonight’s debate matter?

[] A lot of people have been asking if it matters… Here are my thoughts… [] [] [] Does Tonight’s Debate Matter? Tonight marks the first debate between the Democratic Nominee and the Republican Nominee. Now, that might be confusing since the first debate already happened, but in case you haven’t heard, there have been a few shake ups as of late. The big question is whether the debate will impact the market. As a spoiler alert, let me say up front, I don’t think it will have a major effect unless one of the candidates proposes something significantly outside their expected policy point of view. In reality, the election is close to a coin flip based on recent expectations so even if one side made a big push for a policy that would impact certain stocks, we can only price that in so much given that candidate would have about a 50% chance of winning to even make such a policy matter. On top of that, the scenario where one party has complete control of the White House, House and Senate is quite unlikely so the more extreme the policy, the less likely it would be to make it through. There are a couple of things to keep an eye on though. If Trump makes the RFK campaign issues front and center, that will be very interesting and could affect some sectors like big pharma. If Kamala takes a more aggressive stance on energy, we could see some impact there. If we get any kind of synergy among the two candidates, pay close attention to that. An example of this would be that they surprisingly align on using the military in a certain conflict… Keep an eye on defense stocks if that happens. In my opinion, most of these scenarios have 3 things going against them: 1. They’re not extremely likely 2. They can only be priced in to a certain extent when only one party can win 3. The likelihood that they go from talking points to real policy months from now is not high So “will the debate impact the market?” … Sure, it will cause some gyrations here and there. I don’t expect it to set the tone for the overall stock market in a meaningful way. But, hey, it should be entertaining – at least we have that going for us in recent years. Nate P.S. If something surprising does happen with a bigger impact in the market, it will be overnight like most big moves. You may not realize it, but avoiding overnight chaos is actually a key part of the $100 Challenge approach Chris laid out this week. If you haven’t seen his special presentation, [tap here to watch it now!]( [] Does Tonight’s Debate Matter? Tonight marks the first debate between the Democratic Nominee and the Republican Nominee. Now, that might be confusing since the first debate already happened, but in case you haven’t heard, there have been a few shake ups as of late. The big question is whether the debate will impact the market. As a spoiler alert, let me say up front, I don’t think it will have a major effect unless one of the candidates proposes something significantly outside their expected policy point of view. In reality, the election is close to a coin flip based on recent expectations so even if one side made a big push for a policy that would impact certain stocks, we can only price that in so much given that candidate would have about a 50% chance of winning to even make such a policy matter. On top of that, the scenario where one party has complete control of the White House, House and Senate is quite unlikely so the more extreme the policy, the less likely it would be to make it through. There are a couple of things to keep an eye on though. If Trump makes the RFK campaign issues front and center, that will be very interesting and could affect some sectors like big pharma. If Kamala takes a more aggressive stance on energy, we could see some impact there. If we get any kind of synergy among the two candidates, pay close attention to that. An example of this would be that they surprisingly align on using the military in a certain conflict… Keep an eye on defense stocks if that happens. In my opinion, most of these scenarios have 3 things going against them: 1. They’re not extremely likely 2. They can only be priced in to a certain extent when only one party can win 3. The likelihood that they go from talking points to real policy months from now is not high So “will the debate impact the market?” … Sure, it will cause some gyrations here and there. I don’t expect it to set the tone for the overall stock market in a meaningful way. But, hey, it should be entertaining – at least we have that going for us in recent years. Nate P.S. If something surprising does happen with a bigger impact in the market, it will be overnight like most big moves. You may not realize it, but avoiding overnight chaos is actually a key part of the $100 Challenge approach Chris laid out this week. If you haven’t seen his special presentation, [tap here to watch it now!]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Jeffry Turnmire Trading provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Jeffry Turnmire Trading are for your informational purposes only. Neither Jeffry Turnmire Trading nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Jeffry Turnmire Trading is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Jeffry Turnmire Trading provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Jeffry Turnmire Trading are for your informational purposes only. Neither Jeffry Turnmire Trading nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Jeffry Turnmire Trading is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](