Newsletter Subject

Market Mayhem: Analyzing the Stock Slide

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prosperitypub.com

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GeofSmith@e.prosperitypub.com

Sent On

Fri, Aug 2, 2024 11:01 PM

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Today has been a whirlwind in the markets, and there are a few key factors that contributed to the s

[] why markets are sharply down [] [] [] [] Today has been a whirlwind in the markets, and there are a few key factors that contributed to the sell-off. Let me explain what I’m seeing. Jobs Report and Economic Indicators The latest jobs report came in weaker than expected, with fewer jobs added in July and an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%. This data feeds investor worries that the Federal Reserve’s "higher for longer" interest rate policy might push us toward a recession. While the Fed held steady on rates earlier this week, there won’t be an August meeting, so the soonest they could cut rates would be September. Jerome Powell has hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in September, which is earlier than the previously stated November timeline. The first question that comes to my mind when I hear this: Does the Fed know something we don’t, or are they playing politics? In addition to the weak jobs numbers, Intel (INTC) announced 15,000 layoffs — a full 15% of their workforce — along with a missed earnings forecast and a suspended dividend. Meanwhile, Amazon (AMZN) also disappointed with its sales guidance, leading to a 12% drop, although it’s now recovered some of those losses. Meanwhile, wages have dropped even as inflation continues to rise, even if it is at a slower pace. All of this paints a less-than-rosy picture for the economy. Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment The market doesn’t like uncertainty, and today’s news brought plenty of it. As a result, we saw major indices — the Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P 500 — take a dive. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell into correction territory, more than 10% below its recent high. The VIX, a measure of market volatility, spiked to nearly 30, its highest level since March of last year. A high VIX usually indicates fear in the market, but as the saying goes, "When the VIX is high, it's time to buy." This might present a buying opportunity, but we’ll need to see how things unfold next week. Looking Ahead Despite today’s nosedive, it’s important to remember that the S&P hasn’t yet dropped below its June low. This could all just be another pullback, similar to what we saw heading into April before the market turned around again. However, with Kamala Harris moving up in the polls and economic reports not meeting expectations, there's still plenty of uncertainty. In times like these, it's crucial to stay informed and not let fear drive your decisions. We’ll keep an eye on the developments and look for opportunities amidst the chaos. Stay tuned, and keep your trading strategies flexible. — Geof Smith P.S. I just revealed the Oklahoma Trade — a brand new way I’ve discovered to target weekly income on one of the most powerful asset groups. [Click here to get all the details!]( [] [] Today has been a whirlwind in the markets, and there are a few key factors that contributed to the sell-off. Let me explain what I’m seeing. Jobs Report and Economic Indicators The latest jobs report came in weaker than expected, with fewer jobs added in July and an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%. This data feeds investor worries that the Federal Reserve’s "higher for longer" interest rate policy might push us toward a recession. While the Fed held steady on rates earlier this week, there won’t be an August meeting, so the soonest they could cut rates would be September. Jerome Powell has hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in September, which is earlier than the previously stated November timeline. The first question that comes to my mind when I hear this: Does the Fed know something we don’t, or are they playing politics? In addition to the weak jobs numbers, Intel (INTC) announced 15,000 layoffs — a full 15% of their workforce — along with a missed earnings forecast and a suspended dividend. Meanwhile, Amazon (AMZN) also disappointed with its sales guidance, leading to a 12% drop, although it’s now recovered some of those losses. Meanwhile, wages have dropped even as inflation continues to rise, even if it is at a slower pace. All of this paints a less-than-rosy picture for the economy. Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment The market doesn’t like uncertainty, and today’s news brought plenty of it. As a result, we saw major indices — the Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P 500 — take a dive. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell into correction territory, more than 10% below its recent high. The VIX, a measure of market volatility, spiked to nearly 30, its highest level since March of last year. A high VIX usually indicates fear in the market, but as the saying goes, "When the VIX is high, it's time to buy." This might present a buying opportunity, but we’ll need to see how things unfold next week. Looking Ahead Despite today’s nosedive, it’s important to remember that the S&P hasn’t yet dropped below its June low. This could all just be another pullback, similar to what we saw heading into April before the market turned around again. However, with Kamala Harris moving up in the polls and economic reports not meeting expectations, there's still plenty of uncertainty. In times like these, it's crucial to stay informed and not let fear drive your decisions. We’ll keep an eye on the developments and look for opportunities amidst the chaos. Stay tuned, and keep your trading strategies flexible. — Geof Smith P.S. I just revealed the Oklahoma Trade — a brand new way I’ve discovered to target weekly income on one of the most powerful asset groups. [Click here to get all the details!]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](

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