Is a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve coming? November 08, 2024 [WEBSITE]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( Federal Bitcoin: The No Sales Plan CHRIS
CAMPBELL Dear Reader, The US government isn't new to stockpiling assets. Since the 1930s, they've been hoarding everything from water to gold to, if you believe my neighbor Rick, little green men and their spaceships. We've got strategic grain reserves (1930s), gold reserves (1934), petroleum reserves (1974), and even a strategic cheese reserve from 1933. Yes, cheese. So, heck, why not a Bitcoin reserve? That’s what Senator Cynthia Lummis proposed in her BITCOIN Act (Boosting Innovation Technology and Competitiveness through Optimized Investment Nationwide). The plan? Accumulate 1 million Bitcoin over five years, with a cap of 200,000 BTC per year. Indeed, the US government already holds roughly 200,000 Bitcoin from various seizures. But this would be different. This would be strategic, intentional accumulation with a 20-year minimum hold period. So WHY would we do it? Let me lay out the case made by the advocates… And then show you why a Trump-led “quasi-reserve” is far more likely. And what it means for you. 5 Coins for Trump’s Presidency Trump has won the presidency. Regardless of whether you voted for him, his win has just opened a massive new opportunity in the crypto market. We’ve already seen an 8% jump in Bitcoin, but that’s NOTHING compared to the melt-up that’s coming. James Altucher has pinpointed 5 coins with the potential to gain 1,000% in the next 12-18 months due to Trump’s friendly crypto regulation. But you need to act fast. [Click here to get the details now.]( The Case For a Bitcoin Reserve The case is pretty simple. The Federal debt has surpassed $35 trillion, with interest payments alone exceeding $1 trillion annually -- second only to Social Security payments. Traditional solutions aren't cutting it. Austerity? Political suicide. Tax increases? Even worse. Money printing? Eh… That's what got us here. Game theory suggests that once one major nation establishes a significant Bitcoin reserve, others will follow. El Salvador was first, but they're small potatoes. When a superpower like the US makes this move, it changes everything. And the tension is increased by one simple fact: the supply dynamics are brutal for late-adopters. So it pays to be early. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoin, with an estimated 2-3 million already lost forever. So let’s say the US locks up 1 million in a strategic reserve -- that's roughly 5% of the total supply off the market. Forever. If this were to happen, the market implications would be profound. Just MicroStrategy's relatively modest $20 million daily Bitcoin purchases are moving the needle. Imagine systematic purchasing of 200,000 BTC annually by the US government. Some analysts project this could establish a price floor around $173,000 per Bitcoin, potentially doubling after the next halving. But WILL it happen? Yes, no, and kind of. Realistically, Lummis' plan to buy 1 million Bitcoin faces massive hurdles and we’re just not there yet. In contrast, Trump will likely embrace a simpler approach: just not selling the seized Bitcoin. This requires no new spending or legislation, making it a far more likely "easy win" for the administration's first moves in crypto policy. However, one thing remains true: The first major nation to embrace Bitcoin whole hog could rewrite the script entirely. The clock is ticking. The pieces are moving. The biggest risk now is getting left behind. Until next time, Chris Campbell
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