Stocks Ruined My Italy Trip

Trump? Kamala? The Next Bull Run is On Either Way October 30, 2024 [WEBSITE]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( If this chart makes instant sense to you, you probably get why I had a bit of a hard time focusing on my vacation in Italy. Stocks Ruined My Italy Trip Chris Campbell’s note: Despite all the election noise, we have our heads down, cooking up something new. And it has to do with our Paradigm colleague and microcap maven Chris Cimorelli. Today, we invite Cimorelli to give us the lowdown on Italy, microcaps, and the ONLY chart you need to understand today. (Also, he touches on crypto.) Is he bullish and charging in? Or is he bearish and running for the hills? What about the elections? See below. CHRIS Cimorelli Reader, I’m bad at traveling. I just spent the last two weeks in Italy. My father retired last year, and after years of hemming and hawing we finally decided to make the trip. We couldn’t have picked a better time to travel. It was an unseasonably warm second half of October in my surname’s country. The weather never touched about 70 degrees (Fahrenheit, since I’m still an American). The humidity was mild. And most of the time the skies were completely clear. So what was the problem? Well, it’s not that I dislike traveling. It’s that I’m terrible at “unplugging” when I’m away. That holds true even for “normal” periods in the U.S. stock market and political cycles. But what I am seeing now is far from normal. For a few weeks I’ve noticed an unusual pattern forming inside my favorite part of the stock market. And it’s leading me to believe we’re about to see a potential rip-your-pants-off rally after Tuesday’s election. The Isle of Capri's famous "Faraglioni” floating rock structure. Have you ever seen water this blue? 5 Cryptos That Could Skyrocket After the Election As soon as the new U.S. President is announced, we could see a historic melt-up in a small corner of the crypto market. That’s why James Altucher just issued FIVE NEW BUY ALERTS on five specific cryptos. Each has the potential to turn a $1,000 stake into a six-figure nest egg in the next 12-18 months. These buy alerts all have a buy-in deadline of November 5, 2024. After election day, it could be too late. [Learn how to get all five tickers right here.]( Win or Lose – Doesn’t Matter Depending on who you ask, the election is still too close to call. That’s my feeling, anyway. I won’t get into who I’m voting for or why. Even though I have very strong feelings about it. But for my purposes as an investor, I don’t think it really matters. Institutionally, I think Wall Street sees Harris as more “business as usual.” And although Trump is disruptive – some of his policy proposals could be great for the stock market. But personally – I think there’s a better than decent chance we’re about to see an absolutely insane stock market rally after the election no matter who wins. And it’s all thanks to this pattern I mentioned before. Let me show you. About the only thing more beautiful I’ve ever seen than the crystal clear blue waters along the Amalfi Coast is this chart I’m about to show you. Below is a chart of the iShares Microcap ETF (IWC). Most people who track small and micro-cap stocks prefer the Russell 2000 ETF “IWM.” I prefer this one because it actually went up more during the last microcap bull market cycle between 2020 and 2021. If this chart makes instant sense to you, you probably get why I had a bit of a hard time focusing on my vacation in Italy. If it doesn’t make sense, I’ll quickly explain what I’m seeing. You’ve inevitably heard some of us talking about how microcaps tend to outperform larger stocks in periods when the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates. When you look at that chart, you can see the clear spike in July when it became clear the Fed was preparing to cut. This was after we got some inflation news that suggested price increases were getting closer to the Fed’s 2% target. And then – you can see when the market gave up ALL of those gains. And then you can see what happened next. First, prices never went lower than they dropped before that euphoric jump in July. And what followed over the last two months was a series of higher and higher lows. Unlike July, it hasn’t been a straight shot up. Because that’s how you get a straight shot back down. Instead, the market has been “testing” prices gains in microcaps. They gain a bit, then drop – but not lower than the previous fall. Then the same pattern again. And again. And again. As you can see, we’ve seen four series of consecutively higher lows over the last three months. As well as three corresponding higher highs. Now, prices have now more or less returned to where they peaked in July. You’ll understand why I’m so excited about this setup once I show you the next chart. The New Market Leaders Big Tech has led the bull market higher since stocks bottomed out in October two years ago. (It feels like yesterday, right? Doesn’t that feel like yesterday?) And since microcaps have more headwinds with higher rates, investors haven’t given them much attention before now. But now that the Fed has entered a new rate cut cycle … once the big “what if” of the election passes next week, I suspect investors are about to start piling into these smaller stocks. This chart shows you how the Nasdaq 100 tech ETF (orange line) and the S&P 500 (blue guy) have performed relative to IWC (that black line at the bottom). They’ve absolutely beaten the pants off of it. Tech stocks as a whole have done five times better and the S&P has done three times. But markets are forward-looking. And as investors start searching for the real opportunities (i.e. the stuff that hasn’t gone up a bajillion percent already) they’re going to be forced to reallocate some money to microcaps. I’m not saying Big Tech is about to fall. Just so we’re clear. Nvidia has gone up 1,000% over the last two years. For all I know, it could still double over the next two. But that’s it. 100% gains in Nvidia from here – maximum. That’s my take. Some might disagree with me. Meanwhile, I suspect a lot of microcaps will make Nvidia-like returns of 1,000% or more over the next two years by virtue of the fact that they still haven’t gone up yet. I’ve found a lot of microcaps that are still trading below book value. That’s a market inefficiency that can happen when demand for these stocks hits dramatic bottoms. It’s also a sign that these stocks have bottomed and are gearing up for a big run. A few months ago, James and I launched a new product, Microcap Millionaire, where we share our top microcap stock ideas. We’re starting to see some good results. Two of our stocks are already up 20% and one position is up 50%. The overall portfolio is now showing a nice gain. But we’re not going for double-digit gains. We’re looking for massive, explosive, triple-digit winners or more. It’s Not Just in Microcaps, Though… By the way, I’m seeing this same pattern all over the market. I’m equally bullish on crypto. And it’s because the flagship coin for the “alt coin” universe, Ethereum, is showing the same pattern I’m seeing in microcaps. Higher and higher lows since September… Ethereum hit $4,000 in March. It’s trading for about $2,700 today. I personally believe it’ll return to its $4,000 price level by the end of the year. I personally don’t think financial markets care much who wins the U.S. presidential election. I think assets haven’t gone up yet because investors have been wary of any weirdness leading up to the election. After Tuesday, it’ll be game on, though. That’s my take, anyway. [Campbell’s note: Of course, Cimorelli isn’t the only one that’s bullish. If you haven’t yet seen James’ [massive election]( prediction, [check it out here](. FYI, it has EVERYTHING to do with crypto.] Best, Chris Cimorelli For Altucher Confidential Rate this email Like Dislike Thanks for rating this content! Looks like something went wrong. Please try to rate again. [[WATCH NOW] ELECTION MELTDOWN – YOUR FINAL MOVE]( Jim Rickards just went live with an URGENT election briefing, where he dropped an absolute bombshell on his readers. This major change to his election thesis will make you rethink everything you know about the markets. Make sure you are caught up on everything ASAP. This could dramatically change your election plan… your family’s wellbeing… and America’s future. [>> Go here now ]( ☰ ⊗ [UPDATE PREFERENCES]( [Contact Us]( © 2024 Paradigm Press, LLC. 1001 Cathedral Street, Baltimore, MD 21201. By submitting your email address, you consent to Paradigm Press, LLC. delivering daily email issues and advertisements. To end your Altucher Confidential e-mail subscription and associated external offers sent from Altucher Confidential, feel free to [click here,]( or manage your newsletter preferences [here.]( Please note: the mailbox associated with this email address is not monitored, so do not reply to this message. We welcome comments or suggestions at feedback@altucherconfidential.com. This address is for feedback only. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, [contact us here]( or call (844)-731-0984. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized financial advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication or 72 hours after the mailing of a printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended in this letter should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Altucher Confidential is committed to protecting and respecting your privacy. We do not rent or share your email address. Please read our [Privacy Statement.]( If you are having trouble receiving your Altucher Confidential subscription, you can ensure its arrival in your mailbox by [whitelisting Altucher Confidential.](