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[Special Briefing](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/c8449e3e?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmExIiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cub3p5LmNvbVwvdG9waWNcL3NwZWNpYWwtYnJpZWZpbmc_dXRtX3NvdXJjZT1zcGVjaWFsYnJpZWZpbmcmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249MDQwMTIwMTkmdmFyaWFibGU9YzM1YjUwOTAyODlhMDMwZDVmNzE3MjNkYjg5ZGQyMzMifQ&jwtS=H_Q2zDpi8EY_MvglRz5iYOsjkmMDgT4uNENJc8c2byg)
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE PRESIDENTIAL DAILY BRIEF
['An Enormous Blow'](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/76a6524b?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmEyIiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cub3p5LmNvbVwvdG9waWNcL3NwZWNpYWwtYnJpZWZpbmc_dXRtX3NvdXJjZT1zcGVjaWFsYnJpZWZpbmcmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249MDQwMTIwMTkmdmFyaWFibGU9YzM1YjUwOTAyODlhMDMwZDVmNzE3MjNkYjg5ZGQyMzMifQ&jwtS=uljrLeBMeKiUvpYKyIziSXWSlNCJ2NJIAIrOxBP35YM)
[The Turkey Elections Dossier](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/74300101?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmEzIiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cub3p5LmNvbVwvdG9waWNcL3NwZWNpYWwtYnJpZWZpbmc_dXRtX3NvdXJjZT1zcGVjaWFsYnJpZWZpbmcmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249MDQwMTIwMTkmdmFyaWFibGU9YzM1YjUwOTAyODlhMDMwZDVmNzE3MjNkYjg5ZGQyMzMifQ&jwtS=5Dld1jnn4BopG_zu5MSNzdyeJ_-xcKlv-y08Q0D4gA4)
This is an [OZY Special Briefing](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/219d443e?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmE0IiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cub3p5LmNvbVwvdG9waWNcL3NwZWNpYWwtYnJpZWZpbmc_dXRtX3NvdXJjZT1zcGVjaWFsYnJpZWZpbmcmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249MDQwMTIwMTkmdmFyaWFibGU9YzM1YjUwOTAyODlhMDMwZDVmNzE3MjNkYjg5ZGQyMzMiLCJsaW5rVmFyaWFudCI6InskdmFyaWFudElkZW50aWZpZXJ9In0&jwtS=yUBgH35nvNWG1qaIj6fYvDxOarhOF7oFic-W2T8YeZ4), an extension of the Presidential Daily Brief. The Special Briefing tells you what you need to know about an important issue, individual or story that is making news. Each one serves up an interesting selection of facts, opinions, images and videos in order to catch you up and vault you ahead.
WHAT TO KNOW
What happened? The party of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has lost power in Ankara, the countryâs capital, and possibly Istanbul, the countryâs largest city. The Justice and Development Partyâs (AKP) defeat is an enormous blow to Erdogan, who has monopolized Turkish politics since becoming prime minister in 2003. Mansur Yavas, a member of the opposition Republican Peopleâs Party (CHP), won the mayoral election in Ankara with 51 percent of the vote, while Mehmet Ozhaseki (pictured) of the AKP came away with 47 percent. The opposition is also ahead in Istanbulâs election, according to the local state-run news agency. The AKP says it will challenge the election results in both cities.
Why does it matter? This is Turkeyâs biggest political upset since a failed coup attempt in 2016. Erdogan notoriously has little tolerance for criticism, and the AKP has already said it expects the election results to shift in its favor. While Erdogan still has a strong support base, around 44 percent, the country is struggling with corruption, inefficiency and a failing economy. Sundayâs voter turnout of more than 80 percent indicates that Turkish citizens could be ready for change.
HOW TO THINK ABOUT IT
What will he do now? After the 2016 coup, Erdogan ordered mass arrests and put the blame on foreign plotters, including the U.S. military. A similar response is expected again, though likely not on the same scale. Erdogan may take action in southeast Turkey, where the pro-Kurdish Peopleâs Democratic Party (HDP) made gains. The president says that the HDP maintains an alliance with the outlawed Kurdistan Workersâ Party, which the HDP denies. While Erdogan says he will begin work to detect his partyâs shortcomings, investors fear these losses will make him more defensive and encourage him to seek support via populist measures â a risky move for markets.
Formidable opponents. The CHPâs Istanbul mayoral candidate Ekrem Imamoglu (pictured) campaigned hard. For his party, this election wasnât about the international conflicts in Syria or Palestine â it was about who would take the cityâs sewage away. This is also the first election since the national currency, the lira, lost 30 percent of its value in August (it dropped another 2 percent Monday), cutting into votersâ savings and income. Many voters have cited economic conditions as a reason for supporting the CHP. But critically, the results â and Erdoganâs contrition upon hearing them â indicate that despite moves to consolidate power and silence dissent, the nationâs democratic framework clings to life.
Picking up the pieces. Luckily for Erdogan, his next election isnât until 2023, so heâll have time and opportunity to try and reassure a disaffected electorate with effective policy, especially along the lines of stimulating the economy in a sustainable fashion. That wouldnât mean reprising his easy lending policies, which helped sink the lira. Erdogan pledged Sunday to âcarefully enact a strong economic programâ while maintaining âfree-market rules.â But as one political risk consultant put it, his âaura of invincibilityâ was dealt a death blow by both the ailing economy and the electoral losses, so he and his party have plenty of work to do.
WHAT TO READ
Turkeyâs elections show Erdoganâs power is finally waning â and a new political star is born in Istanbul [by Borzou Daragahi in The Independent](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/0526db05?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmE1IiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWtcL3ZvaWNlc1wvZWtyZW0taW1hbW9nbHUtZWxlY3Rpb24taXN0YW5idWwtZXJkb2dhbi10dXJrZXktYW5rYXJhLWE4ODQ5ODM2Lmh0bWwifQ&jwtS=yBdW-2lzRfrBL6ps7IQ3x3SzrwizMXKxlG9t7ZZhXRY)
Despite the Turkish governmentâs authoritarian drift, the municipal elections also suggested some aspects of Turkish democracy remain intact.
Erdogan Made the Local Elections All About Himself. It Backfired. [by Zvi Barâel in Haaretz](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/2c883ea6?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmE2IiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cuaGFhcmV0ei5jb21cL21pZGRsZS1lYXN0LW5ld3NcL3R1cmtleVwvLnByZW1pdW0tZXJkb2dhbi1tYWRlLXRoZS1sb2NhbC1lbGVjdGlvbnMtYWxsLWFib3V0LWhpbXNlbGYtaXQtYmFja2ZpcmVkLTEuNzA4MTgyMiJ9&jwtS=l_zzr4V_p-q8I0MUtehd0WnXJF1Bjkbo_z_F-osBQwg)
Erdogan has already hinted that he means to learn the lessons of these elections, which is a nice way to suggest heâs planning a purge in the party ranks.
WHAT TO WATCH
Turkeyâs local elections seen as referendum on Erdogan
I believe the only reason we couldnât get the results we wanted in some cities is that we couldnât express ourselves enough to our nation, and we failed to win their hearts.
5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/6c861c5f?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmE3IiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cueW91dHViZS5jb21cL3dhdGNoP3Y9Wk9GcHNYenhGS0EifQ&jwtS=X5W7grczoD7xP18q8df-2gNpjAm36Dno9dbcH9eC2V0
[Watch on France 24âs YouTube:](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/6c861c5f?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjlhZWFkZGI4Mjk5MjNmNjU2NmE3IiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cueW91dHViZS5jb21cL3dhdGNoP3Y9Wk9GcHNYenhGS0EifQ&jwtS=X5W7grczoD7xP18q8df-2gNpjAm36Dno9dbcH9eC2V0)
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Erdoganâs party loses capital Ankara in Turkey mayoral race
Despite the winner being disputed (in Istanbul), signs like these have popped up all over the city. They say âThank you, Istanbulâ and they feature Erdogan and his partyâs candidate.
5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/a22078b9?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjllMTRkZGI4Mjk4ODUyNjU2NjljIiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cueW91dHViZS5jb21cL3dhdGNoP3Y9eGd2MUYzSy01ZlkifQ&jwtS=0wrtZxAphYYhHBwC9zMayHQcVn9DDR09HUkLGfnEIFA
[Watch on Daily Mailâs YouTube:](5ca29ae9ddb8299e3e65669a:ot:5a0a20039b139bcbda2e9bd6:1/a22078b9?jwtH=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9&jwtP=eyJpYXQiOjE1NTQxNjYzMTMsImNkIjoiLmVtYWlsLm96eS5jb20iLCJjZSI6ODY0MDAsInRrIjoib3p5bGl2ZSIsIm10bElEIjoiNWNhMjllMTRkZGI4Mjk4ODUyNjU2NjljIiwibGlua1VybCI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cueW91dHViZS5jb21cL3dhdGNoP3Y9eGd2MUYzSy01ZlkifQ&jwtS=0wrtZxAphYYhHBwC9zMayHQcVn9DDR09HUkLGfnEIFA)
WHAT TO SAY AT THE WATERCOOLER
Erdogan foes can toast. While electoral gains by secularist candidates may have stung the lira, one economic indicator saw a rise in the ferment: beer. The countryâs top brewer, Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii AS, saw its stock value increase 6.9 percent Sunday â this after shares have fallen 9.2 percent this year. Under the rule of Erdoganâs AKP, which has roots in political Islam, some city governments restricted outdoor drinking establishments and imposed high taxes on alcohol. From the time Erdogan came to power in 2003 to January 2018, the price of beer in Turkey increased 618 percent, according to the Turkish Statistics Institute.
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