Did We Just Time the Market?

Trying to time the market, any market, is a horrible investment strategy. Except maybe right now... SPECIAL OPPORTUNITIES [The Oxford Club Special Opportunities]( Note From Editorial Director Justin Fritz-Rushing: I'm regularly blown away by The Oxford Club's research department, and what you're about to see is no exception. Last week, Research Director Kristin Orman came to me with an interesting (although unusual) idea for an article. While The Oxford Club generally advises against trying to time the market, she discovered that there might be a way to do it successfully - but only during certain times... and only for a certain type of stock. I sent this to our Insight readers this week, which is reserved for paid Club Members. But I thought this was too useful not to share here. Scroll down to read what Kristin has to say. --------------------------------------------------------------- This Is the Only Occasion I'll Time the Market Kristin Orman, Research Director, The Oxford Club [Kristin Orman] Trying to time the market, any market, is a horrible investment strategy. Case in point... A friend of mine has been trying to time the South Florida housing market for more than 10 years. And all she has to show for it is a two-bedroom apartment and a bigger monthly rent than the mortgage on my single-family home. Over the years, she's always cited the same reason not to buy a house - home prices are going to fall. Spoiler Alert: Other than a quick blip at the beginning of the pandemic, South Florida home prices have not fallen. In fact, they've gone up... way up. The median home price is now 130% higher than it was 10 years ago, and my friend has been priced out of the market. I've seen the same thing happen in the stock market too. Too many investors stay on the sidelines because they believe the market is about to crash. Then, when stocks finally do fall, none of these investors swoop in to buy stocks before the market begins to rise. Then the cycle starts all over again. It's a costly mistake. Tons of research shows that the cost of waiting for the perfect moment to invest, more often than not, exceeds the benefit of perfect timing. Worse, timing the market perfectly is practically impossible. That's why it's best not trying to time the market at all. Usually... Some stocks or groups of stocks tend to trade in predictable and seasonable patterns. And, although I don't recommend trying to time the market, we're approaching a great time to buy small cap stocks. A 90% Chance of Success? Small cap stocks generally have market capitalizations between $250 million and $2 billion. The Russell 2000 Index is a broad representation of small cap U.S. stocks. It's used to measure the performance of 2,000 smaller companies It's underperformed the S&P 500 in recent years except during one particular slice of time... the fourth quarter. Over the last 10 years, the Russell 2000 has generated an average return of 6.89% during the last three months of the year. The S&P 500 has returned, on average, 6.03%. Let me put it another way, during the fourth quarter, the Russell outperforms the S&P 500 by 14.26% on average. Better still, the Russell has produced positive returns in nine out of the last 10 years. What's not to like about a 90% win rate?! [The Fourth Quarter Advantage] But there's another - and likely more profitable - reason to buy small cap stocks right now. It's courtesy of the Federal Reserve. Powell About to Give Small Caps a Boost On September 18, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates. In fact, traders are 100% sure of it. When that happens, markets are going to rip higher, and small cap stocks will lead the way. History shows us that small-cap stocks outperform large-cap ones in the three-, six-, and 12-months following rate cuts. [Small Caps Dominate After Rate Cuts] And the Oxford Club's Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green has identified a special group of stocks that are poised to outperform even more. He calls them "Power Stocks." And following interest rate cuts, Power Stocks have seen gins of 2,332%, 2,889%, and even more. Alex will be sharing his findings with investors during a special presentation on Wednesday, August 21 at 7 p.m. ET. [Click here to claim your spot now.]( You won't want to miss it. (Clicking the link above automatically registers you for Alexander Green's Emergency State-of-the-Market Summit, a free subscription to our e-letter Liberty Through Wealth, and offers from us and our affiliates that we think might interest you. You can unsubscribe at any time. [Privacy Policy]( Of course, it's always the right time to invest, but right now is shaping up to be one of the best times we've seen in years. Especially for small cap stocks. Good investing, Kristin OPPORTUNITIES OF INTEREST - [How to Profit From the Surge (Outside the Stock Market)...]( - [Can you guess these FIVE simple letters? _ _ _ _ _ They've been the key to beating the market by more than 550% -- > Answer revealed HERE]( - [See How to Claim a Free Year of The Oxford Club's #1-Ranked VIP Trading Service! Call 888.570.9830 or Click Here.]( SPONSORED Rate Cut Set to Trigger Massive Gains WHERE??? Alex Green has a warning for anyone hoping for big gains after the Fed cuts rates: "Investors who are completely focused on the same investments as everyone else are making a huge mistake." Over the past 75 years, rate cuts have been shown to power a small group of overlooked stocks to extraordinary heights. ... with the best stocks having soared as much as 30X or even 40X during a rate cut year. [When Rates Drop] He calls them "Power Stocks." Yet, chances are, you haven't heard of them. At Alexander Green's Emergency State-of-the-Market Summit, he's going to change all of that. You'll discover who the biggest beneficiaries of the Fed's decision is set to be... and how you can play it. PLUS you'll hear a shocking prediction from Alex. [REGISTER HERE NOW.]( (Clicking the link above automatically registers you for the Alexander Green's Emergency State-of-the-Market Summit, a free subscription to Liberty Through Wealth, and offers from us and our affiliates that we think might interest you. You can unsubscribe at any time. [Privacy Policy.]( [The Oxford Club] You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Oxford Club Special Opportunities. 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