Forget the polls, this is the best way to see who is going to win the election

[fstp, logo, header] Capitalize with Bombshells, Aftermaths, Fuse Trades and more heading into this earning season.[See the proof and learn the 4 trading styles and how we pick the perfect price to maximize the profits right here.]( [ag views, logo, header] Forget the polls, this is the best way to see who is going to win the election As a trader, sometimes politics gets into markets and I have to pay attention. Since running Cap Gains with Frank a lot of money goes into stocks from Uncle Sam. Just look at Palantir Tech Inc (Ticker: PLTR). Right now the election is in the VIX and I will explain that in my weekend posts for the OP newsletter and Vol Man, but the easy tell is much more basic. Donald J Trump’s media vehicle Truth Social or Trump Media and Tech Group Corp (Ticker: DJT) is on a run lately. I think in the bizarro land of the current election cycle two things are clear to me: There are no sellers of volatility past Nov08. When Trump has some media momentum, DJT soars. VP Harris peaked in the polls in late Sep but has since pulled neck and neck with Pres Trump. If DJT stock price is any indication, he is flying past VP Harris polls be damned. [ded] DJT 30 day stock price DJT was flying when The Donald was running against Biden and the stock started a long crater back to earth once VP Harris made the jump to media hyper speed. That move is now reversed and I believe the stock is a referendum on his chances. I think it is going higher. Frank and I will hit this on Tuesday. - AG [logo, pit profits] Want to find YOUR winning fit? Give our Customer Care Team a call at [1-888-872-3301](tel:/1-888-872-3301) Monday-Friday from 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. EST. Or email them anytime at [support@optionpit.com](mailto:/support@optionpit.com) [logo, fvix, header,] Live with BNN In this session with BNN, I break down the latest opportunities in tech[Watch here.]( Upsides still left in China's stock rally aftermath: analyst [Watch here.]( - Mark --------------------------------------------------------------- Want to get Mark's Trader's Edge updates directly to your inbox?[Click this link to sign up!]( [FOPI, logo, header] Overall State of the Market Hey Options Income Players, Hans here. Overall State of the Market Markets have been quiet lately with that GIANT JPM collar position at 5750 on the SPX pinning things down a bit. That probably means we watch the paint dry until about Monday morning. We’ve seen technology enjoy a resurgence as investors have rotated into, well… everything! This follows the Roaring 20s narrative I’ve been talking about for months. Utilities are enjoying newfound interest as nuclear and power generation for AI reinvigorates a sector that now enjoys both safety AND growth. Earnings Impact Semiconductors got a boost from Micron earnings, while small caps are stalling a little. I call the small cap trade my show-me-later trade, while big cap tech is my show-me-now trade. What’s the Rate Cut Impact? Rate cuts can help small caps, later. But real earnings right now can be found in Mag7. We may see a little tug of war between those two baskets as the rate cut narrative gets muddied ever so slightly. Why muddied? Well, markets are hoping for an awful lot of rate cuts, but GDP growth and consumer data is pretty darn good. Small caps need more cuts but if we don’t get them… well it’s back to the Magnificent7! On the Horizon What’s for next week? Markets could be free to roam about the cabin as big option positions are rolled away. That means a big move may be upon us. I’m tempted to think it’s up. Mutual fund and other asset managers are lagging the SPX performance YET AGAIN, and that could mean they scramble to catch-up in strong names. They don't want to tell clients "you don't own MSFT and NVDA"! So things look good to me but.... there’s just that little thing called The Election to worry about. In my income portfolio I’m leaning long but with some plays that can capture these juicy option premiums. In My Portfolio I closed my MSTR backspread for a 227% win. Closed my Micron calendar for a 70% gain in one day. Covered Dell puts for a 77% gain. Goldman Sachs puts for a 76% gain. And CRM puts for a 71% gain. Got called away early on META for a 12% gain but also covered some META put sales for a 65% gain in 3 days. Life is good. What to WatchWatching UBER, PYPL, BABA, and AMZN (very reasonable Mag valuation and an AI juggernaut that monetizes AI NOW). Talk Soon, - Hans --------------------------------------------------------------- Receive the Option Pit "Ticker of the Week" breakdowns as soon as they are released. [Click this link to sign up!]( [fpip] What’s Up (Down) With Bonds? Hi Shoppers, Have you been watching bonds? Ever since the Fed lowered interest rates on September 18th, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (Ticker: TLT) has gone straight down. Peaking at $101.64 on September 17th, TLT has dropped 8% trading down to and bouncing off my support level at $93.31: [FPIP] But wait, they lowered rates so bonds should go up right? A case of buy the rumor and sell the news or have the Bond Vigilantes returned? During the 1980s the large bond traders pushed bonds lower due to inflation and during the 1990s they sold bonds because they didn’t like the massive government spending. Oh and look what we have today … massive government spending and inflation. By selling bonds down, they are forcing the issuer (the government) to pay a higher yield on the new bonds issued. Has TLT found a bottom here? [Continue here to find out and how to play it.]( [P.S. If you missed Mark & Voz you can catch the replay here.]( - Licia --------------------------------------------------------------- Join Licia's trading community and start receiving her Profits In Pumps Newsletter. [Click this link to sign up!]( Don't miss when our traders go live! Get an alert everytime we open the live rooms to all of our readers for free by selecting the calendar you use below. Add Option Pit Live Events to Your Calendar [Apple]( [Google]( [Outlook]( [Outlook.com]( [Office 365]( [Yahoo]( [glossary, logo] There are plenty of terms in the trading world that need explaining. The Option Pit Glossary is here to help. Today's phrase is: Put fly - Shorthand for a put butterfly. The trader is long 1 put, short 2 puts, and long 1 put, with the distance between strikes being equal. Long put flies are taken for debit, and short put flies are taken for a credit. [ftsp] All the Right Options. The Option Pit Team brings more than 150 years of experience to you every day. From the trading pits of Chicago to the world's largest banks to the halls of power in DC -- they've done it all. Now they’re collectively focused on one thing: making YOU a better, more profitable trader. Click the button below to schedule a call with our concierge Customer Care Team to find your best fit today. DISCLAIMER: FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY; NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. The materials presented from Option Pit LLC are for your informational and educational purposes only. 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