Opinion Today: What China’s zero-Covid policy could mean for the U.S.

“The coronavirus is not going to disappear — the world will have to live with it.” [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP4QnAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDEyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD01MTI5OSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnByb2R1Y3RDb2RlPVRZJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD04MDc1MiZ0ZT0xJnVyaT1ueXQlM0ElMkYlMkZuZXdzbGV0dGVyJTJGYjU5NjdhMTYtY2M4NS01ZjIxLTlhMTUtYWE5MGRlOWYyZTU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYd_MRPFhHA060lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0SvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwMTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTUxMjk5Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTgwNzUyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgph38xE8WEcDTrSUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMTM5JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDEyNlcDbnl0Qgph38xE8WEcDTrSUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [Read more from Opinion](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0S-aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9vcGluaW9uP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwMTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTUxMjk5Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTgwNzUyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgph38xE8WEcDTrSUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) January 26, 2022 By Chris Conway Senior Staff Editor, Opinion China’s no-tolerance policy on Covid has served it well so far. The world’s most populous country, with more than 1.4 billion people, has had fewer than 140,000 confirmed Covid cases and fewer than 6,000 deaths since January 2020 according to the World Health Organization. Compare that to the United States, with more than a billion fewer people. The virus has claimed the lives of more than 860,000 Americans, and roughly 2,000 continue to die each day. China’s crackdown is typified by its no-nonsense approach to the coming Olympics, in which the athletes and their coaches will face severe restrictions and be confined to an Olympic bubble to prevent spread of any errant Covid variant. [In a guest essay this week](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL29seW1waWNzLWNvdmlkLWNoaW5hLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) two prominent health experts, Ezekiel Emanuel of the University of Pennsylvania and Michael Osterholm of the University of Minnesota, warn that China’s effort to seal off the country from the virus has set the nation up for disaster. Omicron is much more transmissible than previous variants, which will make it impossible to contain. They say China’s population does not have the immunity to fight off the Omicron variant, which is becoming endemic and will spread throughout the country, nor does it have effective vaccines or the health care system to deal with millions of virus-infected patients. But the implications extend beyond China’s border, Emanuel and Osterholm warn, as the pandemic strikes the country’s economy. “Declines in Chinese production would upend supply chains and the availability of goods everywhere, including in the United States,” they write. And that won’t be good for anyone. [Read the full essay here.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL29seW1waWNzLWNvdmlkLWNoaW5hLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [[Article Image] Kevin Frayer/Getty Images](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TVaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL2NoaW5hLWNvdmlkLTE5Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Guest Essay China’s Zero-Covid Policy Is a Pandemic Waiting to Happen The planet’s most populous nation cannot seal itself off from the world forever. By Ezekiel J. Emanuel and Michael T. Osterholm](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TVaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL2NoaW5hLWNvdmlkLTE5Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0RsaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NTk3ODUmbGk9VFkmbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPVRZXzIwMjIwMTI2VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~ Here’s what we’re focusing on today: Editors’ Picks [Guest Essay Treating Addiction as a Crime Doesn’t Work. What Oregon Is Doing Just Might. The promise of Oregon’s drug decriminalization plan. 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By Farhad Manjoo](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0ThaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNi9vcGluaW9uL3ZpcnR1YWwtcmVhbGl0eS1zaW11bGF0aW9uLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0ThaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNi9vcGluaW9uL3ZpcnR1YWwtcmVhbGl0eS1zaW11bGF0aW9uLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Jessica Grose The Narcotic Pleasures of #Cleantok Why is it so calming to watch someone organizing a fridge? By Jessica Grose](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNi9vcGluaW9uL3Rpa3Rvay1jbGVhbnRvay5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwMTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTUxMjk5Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTgwNzUyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgph38xE8WEcDTrSUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNi9vcGluaW9uL3Rpa3Rvay1jbGVhbnRvay5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwMTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTUxMjk5Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTgwNzUyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgph38xE8WEcDTrSUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-1) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MjAxODEyJmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDEyNlcDbnl0Qgph38xE8WEcDTrSUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Opinion Audio [‘Hell Hath No Fury Like a Voter Scorned’: What 14 Swing Voters Have to Say Independents are “just physically, intellectually, emotionally tired,” says the pollster Frank Luntz. By ‘The Argument’](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP4QEAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tLzIwMjIvMDEvMjYvb3Bpbmlvbi90aGUtdmlldy1mcm9tLXRoZS1taWRkbGUtMTQtc3dpbmctdm90ZXJzLW9uLWJpZGVucy1maXJzdC15ZWFyLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP4QEAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tLzIwMjIvMDEvMjYvb3Bpbmlvbi90aGUtdmlldy1mcm9tLXRoZS1taWRkbGUtMTQtc3dpbmctdm90ZXJzLW9uLWJpZGVucy1maXJzdC15ZWFyLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjAxMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NTEyOTkmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9ODA3NTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmHfzETxYRwNOtJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) What You’re Saying [letters Russia and Ukraine: How to Avoid a War Differing views on how the U.S. should respond to the Russian threat of an invasion. Also: Listen to the children; the “business” of the royals.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL2xldHRlcnMvcnVzc2lhLXVrcmFpbmUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDEyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD01MTI5OSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD04MDc1MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYd_MRPFhHA060lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRj08nMP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wMS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL2xldHRlcnMvcnVzc2lhLXVrcmFpbmUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDEyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD01MTI5OSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD04MDc1MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYd_MRPFhHA060lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) Subscribe Today New York Times Opinion curates a wide range of views, inviting rich discussion and debate that helps readers analyze the world. 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