Delusions of grandeur
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Saturday, February 23, 2019
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[After their summit last year, President Trump asserted that Kim Jong-un had sent him âbeautiful lettersâ and that âwe fell in love.â](
After their summit last year, President Trump asserted that Kim Jong-un had sent him âbeautiful lettersâ and that âwe fell in love.â Doug Mills/The New York Times
President Trump will meet in Vietnam in a few days with Kim Jong-un, and they have something in common. Each looks in the mirror and sees a Nobel Peace Prize winner. North Korea is abuzz with Nobel talk, and Trump has boasted that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe nominated him for a Nobel (he didnât mention that the White House asked Abe to write the letter, and Abe seems mortified that his effort to stroke Trumpâs ego became public).
This is of course delusional. Neither Trump nor Kim will win the Nobel Peace Prize (I hope it will go to [Loujain al-Hathloul]( who has been imprisoned and tortured in Saudi Arabia for advocating womenâs rights). But the [upside of delusion]( is that they may indeed be pursuing peace a bit more diligently, and I think itâs plausible that there will be a painstaking path ahead that reduces tensions and makes the world safer.
One reason for a bit of optimism is that Kim Jong-un seems to care deeply about galvanizing the economy. One person estimated to me that 60 percent of North Koreaâs economy is now shaped by the free market, and Kim is said to have told Chinese President Xi Jinping that North Korea should have joined China in the 1980s in opening up its economy to the world. There are lots of reasons for skepticism, but thatâs one for hope. [My column]( outlines what the path ahead may look like.
Saudi Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman visited China â and defended Chinaâs mass detention of 1 million Uighur Muslims in that country. âChina has the right to carry out anti-terrorism and de-extremization work for its national security,â he said on Chinese television. Sigh.
Drugs donât get enough attention in the United States, even though they kill 70,000 Americans a year â more than guns or cars. Most of those deaths are from opioids, but in recent years there has also been an explosion in the use of meth and deaths from the drug. Some 12,000 Americans now die annually from meth. One of my old friends in Oregon died recently after many years of wrestling with meth, so itâs on my mind. Unfortunately, there arenât nearly as good treatments for meth as there are for opioid addiction. More research funding is desperately needed.
And now [hereâs my column]( about the U.S.-North Korea summit and what we can expect. [Enjoy!](
Dumbest Lawmakers
North Dakota may have passed the dumbest bit of legislation so far this year: It bans gun buybacks, and makes it a crime for police departments to support buybacks. In fact, we donât really know whether gun backs are a cost-effective way to reduce gun crimes, but there is some logic to the idea that if fewer unwanted guns are lying around, there will be fewer murders, accidents and suicides. As Mike Weisser notes [on his blog]( we certainly shouldnât ban buybacks, which pay only about $100 per gun. Thatâs just NRA-style fanaticism.
Looking Ahead
Itâs not getting much global attention, but there is a risk of an escalating crisis between India and Pakistan. A Pakistani terror group claimed responsibility for a bombing that killed 40 Indian paramilitary troops in Kashmir, and this creates great pressure on Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to respond militarily. And any time you have cross-border military strikes between two nuclear powers, escalation is a great risk. Iâm sympathetic to India in its outrage that Pakistan lets a terror group operate, but I worry that Modi will push too far, perhaps with bombings of Pakistani territory, in ways that will lead to a Pakistani response, and so on.
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