Opinion Today: Will Harris win over begrudging Trump voters?

Here's what the polls say about them. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP4QzAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS9keW5hbWljL3JlbmRlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmaXNWaWV3SW5Ccm93c2VyPXRydWUmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZwYWlkX3JlZ2k9MCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXJpPW55dDovL25ld3NsZXR0ZXIvZDMwYWI0YjQtMmM3OS01NDA4LThiZjUtZTgzNjQzZWZlNDFlJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SxaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SlaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMTM5JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDI0MDkxMCZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwVwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Opinion Today](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TAaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9vcGluaW9uP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) September 10, 2024 [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SmaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTA4MDgzOSZsaT1UWSZtPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3JnA9VFlfMjAyNDA5MTAmc3RwZT1kZWZhdWx0JnRlPTEmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMFcDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [An illustration that includes a photo of Kamala Harris.] Illustration by The New York Times [Author Headshot] By Kristen Soltis Anderson Ms. Anderson, a contributing Opinion writer, is a Republican pollster and a moderator of Opinion’s series of focus groups. The race for the White House couldn’t be much closer. With less than two months to go until Election Day, the latest New York Times/Siena College polling has Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in a campaign with [no clear front-runner](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOC91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1hbmQtaGFycmlzLXRpbWVzLXNpZW5hLXBvbGwuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). Beyond the national numbers, there are key battleground [state polls](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY2JzbmV3cy5jb20vbmV3cy9oYXJyaXMtdHJ1bXAtcG9sbC1wZW5uc3lsdmFuaWEtbWljaGlnYW4td2lzY29uc2luLWRlYmF0ZS8_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) that suggest the same state of play, with Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump essentially evenly matched. In a race this tight, even a seemingly small development could matter a lot. Swaying a few thousand voters in the right places could make all the difference. In a race with a [large portion](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly9lY2hlbG9uaW5zaWdodHMuY29tL2luLXRoZS1uZXdzL2F1ZzIwMjQtdmVyaWZpZWQtdm90ZXItb21uaWJ1cy8_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) of voters saying they’ll never vote for Mr. Trump and a nearly-as-large portion saying they’ll never vote for Ms. Harris, the range of potential movement in the electorate is limited. Love him or hate him, people already know how they feel about Mr. Trump. In the Times/Siena poll, only 9 percent of likely voters say they still need to learn more about him. If you like him today, you’re almost certainly choosing him. However, there’s a small group I’ll call “begrudging Trump voters” — those who dislike him but plan to vote for him anyway. In the Times/Siena poll, about 7 percent of those who said they would vote for Mr. Trump fell into this category; he gets their votes even though they also say they think of him unfavorably. These begrudging Trump voters are the most important audience for Ms. Harris to speak to when the candidates debate on Tuesday night. What does she need to do to sway them? I believe the key will be credibly conveying a sense of confident moderation, as a matter of both ideology and temperament. On temperament, it should be easy to out-moderate Mr. Trump. He has spent years branding himself as a wrecking ball and portraying his unpredictability as a feature, not a bug. Yet while 54 percent of voters think of Mr. Trump as a “risky choice” for president, a remarkably similar 52 percent say the same of Ms. Harris. Much of this comes down to policy. Some 28 percent say they need to learn more about Ms. Harris, and their questions are largely about her policy views. The Biden administration has not been seen by voters as a good model to follow, and Ms. Harris isn’t seen as representing a significant departure from the administration’s approach — she’s part of it, after all, and in the Times/Siena poll, 55 percent said they see her as offering “more of the same.” Furthermore, as my newsroom colleagues Jonathan Weisman and Ruth Igielnik [write](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOC91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1hbmQtaGFycmlzLXRpbWVzLXNpZW5hLXBvbGwuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~), “47 percent of likely voters viewed Ms. Harris as too liberal, compared with 32 percent who saw Mr. Trump as too conservative.” On the other hand, when voters in CNN’s recent battleground state [polls](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TpaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25uLmNvbS8yMDI0LzA5LzA0L3BvbGl0aWNzL2Nubi1wb2xscy1iYXR0bGVncm91bmQtc3RhdGVzL2luZGV4Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) were asked about the two candidates’ agendas, not in terms of left-right but in terms of mainstream-extreme, Ms. Harris held a slight edge, with slim majorities across these states saying her views are mainstream, while for Mr. Trump, voters leaned more toward viewing him as extreme. [Ad] [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SkaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NTk3ODUmbGk9VFkmbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPVRZXzIwMjQwOTEwJnN0cGU9ZGVmYXVsdCZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTBXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SkaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NTk3ODUmbGk9VFkmbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPVRZXzIwMjQwOTEwJnN0cGU9ZGVmYXVsdCZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTBXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) For the voters who don’t much like Mr. Trump but lean toward supporting him on policy grounds alone, Ms. Harris will need to convincingly establish herself as an acceptable alternative, a true turning of the page from Mr. Biden, if she’s going to be the candidate for whom they can ultimately get to “yes.” Odds and Ends Gen Z just wants a paycheck, please: I’ve studied millennials and Generation Z for some time now, and in the last few years noticed that it was younger people who were most likely to consider their job a part of their identity, saying that what they do for work “[says a lot about who I am as a person](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TRaHR0cHM6Ly94LmNvbS9FY2hlbG9uSW5zaWdodHMvc3RhdHVzLzE4MzE3NjI0OTkzNTM2MzczNjU_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD).” This is part of why employers in recent years have found it challenging at times to incorporate young employees who want to bring their politics to the office. But in the last few months, my firm’s research has found that this dynamic, particularly among Gen Z members, has changed, and now it is younger Americans who are the [least likely](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TRaHR0cHM6Ly94LmNvbS9FY2hlbG9uSW5zaWdodHMvc3RhdHVzLzE4MzE3NjI0OTkzNTM2MzczNjU_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) to connect jobs to the sense of self, instead opting more for the view that jobs are just what they do to earn money. Swing voters just want wine, please: If you haven’t taken a look yet, my Opinion colleagues Patrick Healy’s and Adrian Rivera’s [write-up](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0T9aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wOS8wNS9vcGluaW9uL3BvbGl0aWNzL2ZvY3VzLWdyb3VwLXBlbm5zeWx2YW5pYS12b3RlcnMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) of our focus group of Pennsylvania moderate voters is worth your time. In particular, I was struck by our respondent, Kay, who described the experience of being a swing voter in vivid terms. When she reported that she wanted to simply abstain from voting but was persuaded to vote for Ms. Harris lest her absence constitute a vote for Mr. Trump, she said: “I’m not going to love it. I’m not going to enjoy it. I’m not going to have fun. There might be wine afterward.” Here’s what we’re focusing on today: Editors’ Picks [[Article Image] Illustration by Rebecca Chew/The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL2hhcnJpcy10cnVtcC1kZWJhdGUtaXNzdWVzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [The Editorial Board A Clear Choice on the Issue Voters Care About Most Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have plans to address the high cost of living. The differences between them are stark. By The Editorial Board](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL2hhcnJpcy10cnVtcC1kZWJhdGUtaXNzdWVzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Ad] [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SlaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MjAxODEyJmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDI0MDkxMCZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwVwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SlaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MjAxODEyJmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDI0MDkxMCZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwVwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) More From Opinion [An illustration showing photo images of Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump facing each other as they make remarks. ](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TcaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWhhcnJpcy1kZWJhdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)[Jamelle Bouie, Ross Douthat, David French, Michelle Goldberg and Tressie McMillan Cottom ‘It’s Not Pandering When You Tell the Truth’: Five Columnists Game Out the Debate What does success or failure look like for Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in Tuesday’s debate? By Jamelle Bouie, Ross Douthat, David French, Michelle Goldberg and Tressie McMillan Cottom](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TcaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWhhcnJpcy1kZWJhdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [An illustration including images of several crumpled $100 bills and a $100 bill folded neatly.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLXRhcmlmZnMtcmVzZXJ2ZS1jdXJyZW5jeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~)[Paul Krugman Donald Trump on the Dollar, in His Own Words Another day, another bizarre tariff proposal. By Paul Krugman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLXRhcmlmZnMtcmVzZXJ2ZS1jdXJyZW5jeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [An illustration of three dice. One has the X symbol on each face, another features TikTok’s logo, and a third blue die features Telegram’s logo. All three are covered by a net. ](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RlbGVncmFtLXRpa3Rvay14LXNvY2lhbC1tZWRpYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~)[GGuest Essay The End of Impunity for Tech Giants Telegram, X and TikTok face legal pushback that may signal a new era of accountability for social media titans. By Alexander B. Howard](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RlbGVncmFtLXRpa3Rvay14LXNvY2lhbC1tZWRpYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Graffiti of the Gaitanistas criminal group is scrawled on a wall on a hillside in Colombia.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0T4aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL2NvbG9tYmlhLWdhaXRhbmlzdGEtZ3VsZmNsYW4tY2xhbmRlbGdvbGZvLXBldHJvLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)[Guest Essay How to Talk to Colombia’s Largest Criminal Group Cautious negotiations with the Gaitanistas could be the country’s best chance at safety for its people. By Elizabeth Dickinson](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0T4aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL2NvbG9tYmlhLWdhaXRhbmlzdGEtZ3VsZmNsYW4tY2xhbmRlbGdvbGZvLXBldHJvLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Donald Trump, looking out, gesticulates with his right hand. ](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLXNwZWVjaC1kZWJhdGUtcmFsbHkuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)[Jamelle Bouie Trump Makes No Sense and Is Full of Meaning On the question of his political opponents, he’s clear. He will punish them, if we give him the power to do so. By Jamelle Bouie](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLXNwZWVjaC1kZWJhdGUtcmFsbHkuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [A person wearing a gold crucifix necklace and a beaded and sequined top with an American flag design.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWFudGktYWJvcnRpb24tZXZhbmdlbGljYWwuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)[Michelle Goldberg Why Trump Can Afford to Disrespect His Anti-Abortion Voters The ex-president has remade the religious right in his image. By Michelle Goldberg](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWFudGktYWJvcnRpb24tZXZhbmdlbGljYWwuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWZpc3QtZ2VzdHVyZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~[Guest Essay Donald Trump and the Meaning of a Raised Fist A history of the appropriation of a political gesture. By Liz Magic Laser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWZpc3QtZ2VzdHVyZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEzMzg5NyZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzczNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [The 23 Words Harris Needs to Say to Win It’s OK to admit that reality has changed her mind on the big issues. By Thomas L. Friedman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wMy9vcGluaW9uL2ZyaWVkbWFuLWhhcnJpcy1kZWJhdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Ad] [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SlaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzI2NTM3JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDI0MDkxMCZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwVwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0SlaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzI2NTM3JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDI0MDkxMCZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjQwOTEwVwNueXRCCmbPEDXgZlUWVetSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL2dlb3JnaWEtc2Nob29sLXNob290aW5nLW1lZ2FuLXN0YWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD[The Opinions Why Charging Parents in School Shootings Protects Gun Culture Focusing on parental responsibility allows the state to shift blame from weapons laws to families.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8xMC9vcGluaW9uL2dlb3JnaWEtc2Nob29sLXNob290aW5nLW1lZ2FuLXN0YWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyNDA5MTAmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTMzODk3Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3NzM3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZs8QNeBmVRZV61IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [play button] 8 MIN LISTEN [Sex Trafficking Is Not a Hoax, Even if the Conspiracies Usually Are The overblown fears of crimes committed by immigrants often overshadow the real dangers of American men abroad. By Jeneen Interlandi](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDI0LzA5LzAzL29waW5pb24vdGhlcG9pbnQvc2V4LXRyYWZmaWNraW5nLWhvYXgtcmVhbGl0eT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [The Lonely Anger of Democratic Women in North Carolina At a Harris-Walz event, many said they are outnumbered and ostracized. By Mara Gay](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TxaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDI0LzA5LzAzL29waW5pb24vdGhlcG9pbnQvbm9ydGgtY2Fyb2xpbmEtZGVtb2NyYXRpYy13b21lbj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [[Side-by-side pictures of Donald Trump, opening his mouth to talk, and Kamala Harris, with a serious look on her face.] Doug Mills/The New York Times, Jamie Kelter Davis for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TcaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWhhcnJpcy1kZWJhdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [letters Advice for the Trump-Harris Debate Readers discuss strategies, the debate rules and possible questions. Also: Migrants in New York schools; household chores; exploiting animals, and humans.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRowroQP0TcaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wOS8wOS9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWhhcnJpcy1kZWJhdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDI0MDkxMCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMzM4OTcmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTc3Mzc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmzxA14GZVFlXrUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) We hope you’ve enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. 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