On Politics: The good mood in Milwaukee

The way Republicans at the national convention see it, somehow, everything is going their way. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~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)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SjaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMjExJmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDcxNSZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNVcDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [On Politics](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0S_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9wb2xpdGljcz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) July 15, 2024 [SUPPORTED BY EXXONMOBIL](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP4RkAWh0dHBzOi8vYWQuZG91YmxlY2xpY2submV0L2RkbS90cmFja2Nsay9ONzM1Ni42NDQwLlRIRU5FV1lPUktUSU1FU0NPTVBBTi9CMzExOTczNTYuMzkwOTMxMDQzO2RjX3Rya19haWQ9NTkwMDY4NjI1O2RjX3Rya19jaWQ9MjE4NTAxNTAyO2RjX2xhdD07ZGNfcmRpZD07dGFnX2Zvcl9jaGlsZF9kaXJlY3RlZF90cmVhdG1lbnQ9O3RmdWE9O2x0ZD07ZGNfdGR2PTE_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA3MTUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTI4ODUxJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzIyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [A wide shot of the crowd inside the arena for the Republican National Convention. The stage is at right, and a large video screen hangs above the crowd.] Aides with Donald Trump’s campaign insisted that the former president’s near-death experience would change nothing about their plans for the Republican National Convention. Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times The good mood in Milwaukee [Author Headshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0S-aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvamVzcy1iaWRnb29kP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) By [Jess Bidgood](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0S-aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvamVzcy1iaWRnb29kP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) Hello from Milwaukee, where there is So. Much. News. Read on for the top developments and a look at how the sobriety of the weekend has given way to jubilation at the Republican National Convention. Plus, the calculus behind Trump’s pick for veep. The latest - Former President Donald Trump [selected Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDI0LzA3LzE1L3VzL3RydW1wLXJuYy1uZXdzLWJpZGVuP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) to be his vice-presidential nominee, rewarding a loyal and TV-ready ally as he moved to ensure the future of the G.O.P. sounds just like him. - Trump clinched the number of delegates needed to become his party’s official nominee. - Judge Aileen Cannon [dismissed the federal charges](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDI0LzA3LzE1L3VzL3RydW1wLWRvY3VtZW50cy1jYXNlLWRpc21pc3NlZD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) he faced for taking classified documents from the White House after his presidency. An appeal is expected. - President Biden was set to sit for an interview with NBC, [which will run in full at 9 p.m.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9iaWRlbi1pbnRlcml2ZXctbGVzdGVyLWhvbHQtbmJjLXRpbWUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) Eastern time. ‘Trump just won’ As the Republican National Convention opened in the extraordinary shadow of the attempted assassination of the nominee, aides with Trump’s campaign insisted that the former president’s near-death “[changes nothing](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TpaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNC91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1hc3Nhc3NpbmF0aW9uLWNvbnZlbnRpb24uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)” about their plans or their focus here. Tell that to the Republican delegates and party stalwarts milling around in Milwaukee. “Talk about strength, right?” said Mark Morgan, a former acting head of Immigration and Customs Enforcement during the Trump administration, raising his arms as he spoke at a policy forum staged by the Heritage Foundation just outside the convention. “After President Trump was shot in the head, what does he do? Fist bump and say ‘Fight, fight, fight,” Morgan said as the crowd cheered. The bombast around the shooting — which killed one rallygoer and left two people in critical condition — may not be coming from the main stage tonight as the G.O.P. seeks to show some restraint. But in party breakfasts, bars and the baking sidewalks of Milwaukee, Republicans said they believe the episode would bring them a political boost. And they view it as just one more example of the way everything — everything — seems to be going their way. “Let’s be honest,” said the former Fox News host and Trump ally Tucker Carlson from the Heritage stage, according to my colleague Ken Bensinger. “Trump just won. He just won.” On Monday morning, Judge Aileen Cannon [dismissed the federal charges](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDI0LzA3LzE1L3VzL3RydW1wLWRvY3VtZW50cy1jYXNlLWRpc21pc3NlZD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) Trump faced for retaining classified documents after his presidency — a decision sure to be appealed that nevertheless removes a major legal threat against the former president. Battleground polls show Trump leading President Biden in states he would need to clinch the presidency. Trump has a three-point lead in Pennsylvania, [according to a poll from The New York Times and Siena College](~/AAAAAQA~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~), and is trailing by only three points in Virginia, which hasn’t backed a Republican for president since George W. Bush in 2004. And, of course, there is the fact that over the past two weeks, the Democrats have melted down, consumed with worry about the age and fitness of President Biden after his halting debate performance just over two weeks ago. “It kind of feels to me like Reagan coming in the 1980s,” said Jonathan Barnett, a Republican committeeman from Arkansas who was attending his 12th convention, comparing the recent developments to the release of hostages in Iran that helped lift the national mood after Ronald Reagan won the presidency in a landslide. A MESSAGE FROM EXXONMOBIL [Let’s deliver carbon capture for heavy industry ExxonMobil is working on solutions to reduce carbon emissions in its own operations – like carbon capture – that could help industries in manufacturing, commercial transportation and power generation deliver lower emissions, too. Learn More [ExxonMobil Logo]](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP4RkAWh0dHBzOi8vYWQuZG91YmxlY2xpY2submV0L2RkbS90cmFja2Nsay9ONzM1Ni42NDQwLlRIRU5FV1lPUktUSU1FU0NPTVBBTi9CMzExOTczNTYuMzkwOTMxMDQzO2RjX3Rya19haWQ9NTkwMDY4NjI1O2RjX3Rya19jaWQ9MjE4NTAxNTAyO2RjX2xhdD07ZGNfcmRpZD07dGFnX2Zvcl9jaGlsZF9kaXJlY3RlZF90cmVhdG1lbnQ9O3RmdWE9O2x0ZD07ZGNfdGR2PTE_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA3MTUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTI4ODUxJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzIyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) Barnett and other Republicans described the shooting on Saturday as a tragedy — but one that they nevertheless believe has left Trump stronger than ever. “He’s a survivor,” Barnett said, “and people like survivors.” A party on offense It has all fed a sense of bullishness — even inevitability — across a Republican Party that has in recent years often found itself on defense. Republicans did not expect to win the 2016 presidential election. They bled House seats in the 2018 midterms, lost the 2020 presidential election and were underwhelmed by their performance in the 2022 midterm elections. “This is like playing a football game in which you’ve been playing defense for seven years and suddenly they handed you the ball,” the Republican strategist Scott Jennings said in an interview last week, before the shooting. “It’s the first time the party has actually, truly been on offense.” [Ad] [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SiaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MzMzNTEmbGk9Q04mbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPUNOXzIwMjQwNzE1JnN0cGU9ZGVmYXVsdCZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SiaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MzMzNTEmbGk9Q04mbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPUNOXzIwMjQwNzE1JnN0cGU9ZGVmYXVsdCZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) To the Republicans here, it’s not just Trump who survived the shooting and emerged with a boost. Their party has, too. “We were very united before,” said Jason Chaffetz, a Republican who was a Utah congressman from 2009 to 2017. “But there’s an unbreakable bond now. He’s willing to put his life on the line to make America great again, and that is so baked into the D.N.A. of Republicans at this point — it makes us proud.” Maggie Sandrock, 68, a retired executive and a delegate from North Carolina, said she saw Trump’s survival as a miracle that showed “God’s hands on him.” But she also said she thought it would help Republicans mend internal divisions over party leaders’ decisions to soften the party platform’s position on abortion and to roll back its focus on longstanding values like fiscal conservatism. [Ad] [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SjaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMjA4JmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDcxNSZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNVcDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SjaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMjA4JmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDcxNSZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNVcDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) “There have been some really major differences,” she said. “I think as a result of what happened on Saturday, I think this party is more committed than ever to come out united, saying that ‘This is our president, we’re going to fight until there’s no fight left and we’re going to win.’” The unity on display here is a stark contrast from the last time the party gathered in person, in 2016, when Trump muscled his way to the nomination despite wide opposition. Now, he is the king of his party, with most of his opponents largely excommunicated. On Monday afternoon, the party also crowned a prince, when it nominated Trump’s vice-presidential pick, Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio. My colleague [Michael Gold](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0S-aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvbWljaGFlbC1nb2xkP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) was in the arena when Vance walked onto the convention floor to cheers. Michael said Vance seemed overcome with emotion as Ohio’s lieutenant governor, Jon Husted, read a speech that celebrated his conservative values and his adherence to Trumpism. With his wife, Usha, standing nearby, he beamed as the crowd started a chant of “J.D.! J.D.!” It was another moment of jubilation for a party that feels it can already taste victory. [Ad] [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SjaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzIzMjk3JmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDcxNSZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNVcDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0SjaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzIzMjk3JmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDcxNSZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNVcDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio is applauding on the floor of the Republican National Convention.] Trump’s choice of Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio for his running mate will invite speculation about the 39-year-old senator’s role in the future of the party. Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times THE VEEPSTAKES Why Trump chose J.D. Vance On Monday, Trump [elevated an ambitious ideologue](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TYaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC12cC1waWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA3MTUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTI4ODUxJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzIyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) to his ticket in a move that is likely to shape Republican politics for years to come. I asked my colleague Michael Bender, who has joined us periodically over the last couple of months to talk veepstakes, to tell us about a figure who could become the heir to Trump’s political movement. JB: Why do you think Trump picked Vance? MB: Vance fits better than any of the other contenders with Trump’s instincts. I think about, right after the attempted assassination, where Trump wanted to get up and tell everybody to keep fighting. Vance has really positioned himself as a fighter in Trump’s MAGA movement. JB: Vance went on X shortly after the shooting at the Trump rally and [blamed](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TOaHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9KRFZhbmNlMS9zdGF0dXMvMTgxMjI4MDk3MzYyODk2NTEwOT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) the Biden campaign’s rhetoric for the attempted assassination. Is that the kind of instinct you mean? MB: For sure. And that happened when Trump’s advisers and his wife, Melania Trump, were all urging Trump and the rest of the campaign to take it down a couple of notches, calling for unity and peace. Trump must see Vance as his best chance to win this November. JB: What does it mean that Trump has chosen a former critic to be his vice president? MB: Each of the final three contenders — Gov. Doug Burgum of North Dakota, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida and Vance — all have some Trump criticism in their background. You might have to go back to the post-Revolutionary era to find a vice president who has said so many divisive things about the person at the top of the ticket — go back to a time when the vice president was whoever came in second. There are just very few people out there who have always believed that Donald Trump was the right man for the job. JB: Does it say something about the way Trump is trying to shape the future of the party that he has chosen the youngest of his contenders? This is one of the most shocking elements of this pick to me. Trump is not someone who has ever shown any interest in finding a successor, whether that’s in his business, whether that’s as a reality TV show host, or in politics to this point. He doesn’t want to acknowledge the potential that the page could ever be turned from Donald Trump. By choosing an up-and-comer who’s barely beyond the age threshold to be president himself, he’s inviting speculation right now about what Vance’s plans are for 2028. MORE POLITICS NEWS AND ANALYSIS [[Article Image] Jamie Kelter Davis for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9lbGVjdGlvbnMvbWlsd2F1a2VlLWJsYWNrLXZvdGVycy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [In Milwaukee, Black Voters Struggle to Find a Home With Either Party We spoke to them about why they feel like their votes, while important, don’t seem to translate into the type of change they want to see in their daily lives. By Julie Bosman, Noah Throop, Kassie Bracken and Mark Boyer](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9lbGVjdGlvbnMvbWlsd2F1a2VlLWJsYWNrLXZvdGVycy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [[J.D. Vance stands at a clear podium, holding a microphone. He is wearing a dark blue suit with a maroon tie.] Nic Antaya for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy93aG8taXMtamQtdmFuY2UtdHJ1bXAtdnAuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [What to Know About J.D. Vance, Trump’s Running Mate The 39-year-old from Ohio was best known as the author of the memoir “Hillbilly Elegy” before his election to the Senate in 2022. By Maggie Astor](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy93aG8taXMtamQtdmFuY2UtdHJ1bXAtdnAuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [[Donald Trump, left, and J.D. Vance, right, stand on a rally stage and shake hands. They are in front of a lectern with a microphone, on a red carpet. In the background are American flags and members of the crowd.] Maddie McGarvey for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TYaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC12cC1waWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA3MTUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTI4ODUxJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzIyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [In Vance, Trump Picks an Ambitious Ideologue and First Millennial A political newcomer and former Trump critic turned ally, Senator Vance relishes the spotlight and has already shown he can energize donors. By Michael Gold](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TYaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC12cC1waWNrLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA3MTUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTI4ODUxJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNzIyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmaSGauVZhGHQxpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [[President Biden sits and looks ahead, viewed slightly in profile, as he delivers an address from the Oval Office.] Pool photo by Erin Schaff](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kZW1vY3JhdHMtdHJ1bXAtYmlkZW4uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [As G.O.P. Convention Begins, ‘the Vibe Is Grim’ for Democrats Worries about President Biden persist, and many see Donald Trump as electorally stronger after he survived an assassination attempt. By Reid J. Epstein, Lisa Lerer, Katie Glueck and Nicholas Nehamas](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kZW1vY3JhdHMtdHJ1bXAtYmlkZW4uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [[Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio speaking at a lectern with a sign that reads “Fighting for Fiscal Sanity” with the U.S. Capitol building in background.] Sarah Silbiger for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9qZC12YW5jZS1hYm9ydGlvbi1pbW1pZ3JhdGlvbi1pc3N1ZXMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [J.D. Vance on the Issues, From Abortion to the Middle East Like Donald J. Trump, the Ohio senator has been skeptical of American intervention overseas and argues that raising tariffs will create new jobs. By Adam Nagourney](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9qZC12YW5jZS1hYm9ydGlvbi1pbW1pZ3JhdGlvbi1pc3N1ZXMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDcxNSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjg4NTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpIZq5VmEYdDGlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) Read past editions of the newsletter [here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoeDAZP0TEaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc3BvdGxpZ2h0L29uLXBvbGl0aWNzP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNzE1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyODg1MSZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyMjQ3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmkhmrlWYRh0MaUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). If you’re enjoying what you’re reading, please consider recommending it to others. 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