On Politics: The ex-Bernie pollster with a warning about R.F.K. Jr.

A Democrat warns that the independent could siphon Latinos and young voters from Biden. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP4RIAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS9keW5hbWljL3JlbmRlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmaXNWaWV3SW5Ccm93c2VyPXRydWUmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcGFpZF9yZWdpPTImcHJvZHVjdENvZGU9Q04mcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVyaT1ueXQlM0ElMkYlMkZuZXdzbGV0dGVyJTJGYjU4ZGJhYzAtNTA3NS01MzY3LWEwZTktZjVlMTM3MDJkMWIzJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0SvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)[Continue reading the main story](#) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0SWaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMjExJmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDQxOSZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [On Politics](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0S_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9wb2xpdGljcz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) April 19, 2024 Happy Friday! Today, we’re looking at younger voters and other demographic groups who are generally crucial for Democratic victories in presidential elections — but who may back other candidates or sit out this year’s election in greater numbers than usual. I’ve asked my colleague Shane Goldmacher to kick things off. — Jess Bidgood [The pollster Ben Tulchin stands at his desk with his arms crossed.] Ben Tulchin, a Democratic pollster, says he is “raising the alarm” about Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Jim Wilson/The New York Times The ex-Bernie Sanders pollster raising alarms about R.F.K. Jr.’s appeal among Latinos and young voters [Author Headshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TCaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvc2hhbmUtZ29sZG1hY2hlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) By [Shane Goldmacher](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TCaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvc2hhbmUtZ29sZG1hY2hlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) Like many of his fellow Democrats, Ben Tulchin, a former pollster for Senator Bernie Sanders, is worried about President Biden’s chances against Donald Trump this fall. And like many Democrats, he is nervous about Biden’s current level of support among some core Democratic constituencies. But Tulchin is warning any Democrat who will listen about one particular thing they might not have thought of: the possibility that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will wind up siphoning off two traditionally Democratic voting groups — Latinos and younger voters — this fall. He’s so worried that he paid for his own polling in two key battlegrounds, Arizona and Pennsylvania, which showed Kennedy drawing some of those voters away from Biden. He recently presented those findings to a consortium of Democratic groups and super PACs. “I’m raising the alarm,” Tulchin said in an interview. Tulchin’s concern is basically this: Latinos and younger voters, who flocked to Sanders, an independent, in the 2020 Democratic primary, were never that into Biden in the first place. Sure, they sided strongly with Biden in the general election. But, as Tulchin put it, “they weren’t enthused.” Now he sees Kennedy, a former Democrat now running as an independent, as offering those voters a viable alternative outlet that is short of leaping all the way to Trump. Tulchin said that 2020 was a two-dimensional race. “Now we’re playing multidimensional chess, and it becomes a lot more complicated,” he added. A message that could appeal to crucial voters Kennedy, who is polling stronger than any third-party candidate in decades, [made the ballot in the critical battleground of Michigan this week](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOC91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9yb2JlcnQtZi1rZW5uZWR5LWpyLWJhbGxvdC1taWNoaWdhbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). Well aware of the growing threat, President Biden [appeared in Philadelphia on Thursday with a host of Kennedy family members](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOC91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9iaWRlbi1rZW5uZWR5cy1yZmstanIuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) — including R.F.K. Jr.’s sister — and received their endorsement. The Democratic National Committee has also mobilized a team specifically to combat Kennedy and other third-party candidates. But Tulchin, a veteran pollster from San Francisco who has worked for a wide range of Democrats including Mayor Eric Adams of New York City, is worried his party is too narrowly focused on using Kennedy’s ties to the anti-vaccine movement as a way to discredit him. He has been listening to what Kennedy is actually saying on the campaign trail, which he described as a heavy dose of anti-establishment, anti-corporate economic populism. In other words, Tulchin is hearing a variation of the Sanders message that sold so well to younger Democrats and Latinos. [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0SVaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MzMzNTEmbGk9Q04mbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPUNOXzIwMjQwNDE5JnRlPTEmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTlXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) “Young voters and Latinos respond really well to a hard-edge economic populist message — and that is not Biden’s message,” Tulchin said. “They’re dissatisfied about the political and economic status quo. And I see in that mind-set the potential opening to support a third-party candidate.” It’s important to note that Kennedy is not yet on most states’ ballots. But when he has been included in polls, he has often registered in the high single digits. The New York Times included Kennedy most recently in a survey of battleground states last fall. In that poll, [he was actually neck and neck with Biden and Trump among voters under 45](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP4QDAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tL2ludGVyYWN0aXZlLzIwMjMvMTEvMDcvdXMvZWxlY3Rpb25zL3RpbWVzLXNpZW5hLWJhdHRsZWdyb3VuZHMtcmVnaXN0ZXJlZC12b3RlcnMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD). Some national surveys seem to back up Tulchin’s concerns, because they show that Biden loses support among young and Latino voters when Kennedy is included as an option. A [national Quinnipiac poll](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TGaHR0cHM6Ly9wb2xsLnF1LmVkdS9wb2xsLXJlbGVhc2U_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImcmVsZWFzZWlkPTM4OTQmc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) in late March showed that Trump increased his edge over Biden among Hispanic voters, to seven percentage points from three, after Kennedy was included in the survey. Similarly, Biden’s edge among younger voters was 20 points in the head-to-head race with Trump — and only nine points when Kennedy and other third-party candidates were included. How Democrats are responding Team Biden is taking the president’s relative weakness among Latino and younger voters seriously. There have been early television ads intended to appeal to them. In March, Biden traveled to Arizona, accompanied by his campaign manager, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, to announce his “Latinos con Biden-Harris” coalition. “I need you,” Biden said to the crowd at the event.” I need you badly.” Some Democrats are also aiming to erode Kennedy’s appeal among younger voters, including by highlighting his more hawkish comments on Israel at a time when most young voters are opposed to the country’s war in Gaza. [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0SWaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMjA4JmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDQxOSZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) Sure enough, the hosts of the popular liberal show “Pod Save America” discussed that topic just this week. Allies of President Trump have concerns, too. The leading pro-Trump super PAC just [rolled out a website](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0S7aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucmFkaWNhbGYtaW5na2VubmVkeS5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) profanely mocking Kennedy’s famous initials and highlighting the former Democrat’s more liberal stances in an attempt to stop conservative voters from drifting his way. But at the start of the race many strategists believe that Kennedy, a scion of the country’s most famous Democratic dynasty, is more likely to lure votes away from Biden than Trump. “There is a permission structure created by the name and the legacy,” said Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, a Latino polling organization. “The question is whether it holds up under any kind of scrutiny.” [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0SWaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzIzMjk3JmxpPUNOJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1DTl8yMDI0MDQxOSZ0ZT0xJm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) Matt Barreto, a Democratic pollster who does some work with the Biden campaign, said that in his other research he had not seen Kennedy’s name popping among Latinos, a demographic that Barreto focuses on. And while he said the Biden campaign would need to sell itself to younger voters and Latinos, he predicted it would ultimately succeed. “R.F.K. is not a real candidate,” Barreto explained of Kennedy’s early appeal. “He is an idea.” He continued: “When the Biden campaign puts in all of the work to show the contrast between Biden and Trump, many of those progressive-leaning and younger voters will find it impossible to vote for Trump — or R.F.K.” But Tulchin says the belief that Kennedy will naturally fade away, as the choice between Biden and Trump becomes clearer for the public, is frustratingly misplaced. “That is magical thinking,” he said. [Brice Ballard stands with his arm around his mother, Tari Turner.] Tari Turner, 52, and her son Brice Ballard, 34, in Atlanta. Alyssa Pointer for The New York Times QUOTED AND NOTED A mother and son split over voting Democrats aren’t just worried about Latino voters. They are also concerned about waning enthusiasm for Biden among Black voters, especially younger ones. My colleague Maya King spotted a striking example of this for her [story about an emerging generational divide](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9ibGFjay1kZW1vY3JhdHMtYWdlLWdhcC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) among Black voters. Older Black voters who remember the civil rights movement, or their parents’ stories about it, appear more motivated to vote than the younger generation, Maya wrote. Tari Turner, 52, told Maya this about her 34-year-old son, Brice Ballard. “I make him vote. He votes. I don’t play about him voting. I’ll go pick him up to vote.” But Ballard told Maya he is not currently planning to vote in November. “I just don’t feel a connection with either candidate.” [Read Maya’s story here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9ibGFjay1kZW1vY3JhdHMtYWdlLWdhcC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). THE RUN-UP One more challenge for Democrats: Introducing the youngest voters to Trump Yes, President Biden’s approval rating has tanked among younger Americans. But his problem gets more acute with the very youngest voters, according to my colleague, Astead Herndon. This week, on his excellent politics podcast “[The Run-Up](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOC9wb2RjYXN0cy95b3VuZ2VzdC12b3RlcnMtb2xkZXN0LXByZXNpZGVudC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~),” Astead spoke with Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, the executive director of NextGen America, a Democratic group. In new polling, the group found that 18- to 24-year-olds were about equally likely to view Biden and Trump as a threat to the future. Here is an excerpt from their interview, edited for clarity. AH: What was it about 18- to 24-year-olds specifically that you think was driving them to be less supportive of Biden than other cohorts? CR: If you’re 18 years old, you were 10 years old when Donald Trump was elected. You probably had great parents that shielded you and didn’t want you to hear the sounds of crying babies’ being ripped from their mothers at the border, or the sight of Heather Heyer’s being run over by white supremacists in Charlottesville. AH: Interesting. So the thing that most moved this cohort wasn’t just saying, “Here’s some good things Joe Biden’s done,” but even more than that was, “Here are some bad things Donald Trump has done?” CR: Yes. We can tell the youngest voters: “You may have read news of Trump’s seeming to back away from an abortion ban. But little did you know that he was the president that nominated the Supreme Court justices to overturn Roe.” When you talk about his attacks on abortion, civil and human rights, that is a very big motivator for this generation. [Listen to the episode here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOC9wb2RjYXN0cy95b3VuZ2VzdC12b3RlcnMtb2xkZXN0LXByZXNpZGVudC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). MORE POLITICS NEWS AND ANALYSIS [[In two photos, President Biden, left, smiles and shakes the hand of a cafe clerk with Paige Cognetti, the mayor of Scranton, wearing a pink dress, at his side. At right, Donald Trump gestures with his hands as he speaks from behind barricades to reporters holding out microphones.] Al Drago for The New York Times, Anna Watts for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1iaWRlbi1jYW1wYWlnbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [News Analysis Trump on Trial vs. Biden on the Trail: An Unusual 2024 Stretch Begins President Biden’s push to transform the race into a binary choice between him and Donald Trump has been aided by blanket coverage of Mr. Trump’s courtroom appearances. By Lisa Lerer, Nicholas Nehamas and Michael Gold](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1iaWRlbi1jYW1wYWlnbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [[The dome of the U.S. Capitol, reflected in the windows of a nearby office building. ] Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9jb25ncmVzcy12b3RlLXVrcmFpbmUtYmlsbC1ob3VzZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Ukraine Aid Bill Clears Critical Hurdle in the House as Democrats Supply the Votes Democrats stepped in to support bringing the aid package to the floor, in a remarkable breach of custom on a key vote that paved the way for its passage. By Annie Karni](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9jb25ncmVzcy12b3RlLXVrcmFpbmUtYmlsbC1ob3VzZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [A picture of a large red barn.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kYXZlLW1jY29ybWljay1mYXJtLXBlbm5zeWx2YW5pYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [This G.O.P. Senate Candidate Says He Grew Up on a Family Farm. Not Exactly. David McCormick has often spoken about his modest upbringing on a farm in Pennsylvania. A close look at his past tells a different story. By Katie Glueck and Hannah Beier](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kYXZlLW1jY29ybWljay1mYXJtLXBlbm5zeWx2YW5pYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [[A close-up of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in a blue shirt and gray suit jacket. ] Kenny Holston/The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TZaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS9jbGltYXRlL3Jmay1qci1lbnZpcm9ubWVudC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [R.F.K. Jr.’s Environmental Colleagues Urge Him to Drop Presidential Bid Nearly 50 leaders and activists who worked with Mr. Kennedy at an environmental nonprofit group will run ads calling on him to “Honor our planet, drop out.” By Lisa Friedman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TZaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS9jbGltYXRlL3Jmay1qci1lbnZpcm9ubWVudC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [[Article Image] Jane Rosenberg/Reuters](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TZaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cHNob3QvdHJ1bXAtcG9sbGluZy10cmlhbC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [Was Trump Benefiting From Being Out of the News? His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change things. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TZaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8xOS91cHNob3QvdHJ1bXAtcG9sbGluZy10cmlhbC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) MORE POLITICS NEWS AND ANALYSIS [[President Biden during a visit to the John A. Blatnik Bridge in Superior, Wis., in January. Next to him, several construction workers and other people in dark clothing are clapping. ] Michael A. McCoy for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9iaWRlbi0yMDI0LWNhbXBhaWduLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Biden Waves His First-Term Résumé at a Skeptical America With increasing urgency, the president is trying to impress upon voters that he has accomplished quite a bit — even if they don’t see it in their lives yet. By Nicholas Nehamas](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9iaWRlbi0yMDI0LWNhbXBhaWduLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [[Donald and Melania Trump stand posing for photographs in front of a white mansion.] Lynne Sladky/Associated Press](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1pbW1pZ3JhbnRzLW5pY2UtY291bnRyaWVzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Trump, at Fund-Raiser, Says He Wants Immigrants From ‘Nice’ Countries At rallies, Donald Trump frequently laments migrants from a list of countries from Africa, Asia and the Middle East as he stokes fears around the surge at the border. By Maggie Haberman and Michael Gold](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1pbW1pZ3JhbnRzLW5pY2UtY291bnRyaWVzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [[Adam Siegel, wearing an apron, chops garlic in a commercial kitchen.] Kevin Miyazaki for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9yZXB1YmxpY2FuLWNvbnZlbnRpb24uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [In Milwaukee, Restaurants and Venues Worry of Seeing Limited R.N.C. Boost In Chicago, venues are booking fast for the Democratic convention in August. But Milwaukee, host of the Republican convention, is wondering if customers will come. By Jonathan Weisman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9yZXB1YmxpY2FuLWNvbnZlbnRpb24uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9jbl8yMDI0MDQxOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjEwNDQmbmw9b24tcG9saXRpY3MmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NDI3NCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZiAT6iJmE_9hOlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [[Article Image] Kenny Holston/The New York Times, Rachel Woolf for The New York Times, Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call via Getty Images](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TYaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYXJ0aWNsZS9ob3VzZS1yYWNlcy1jb25ncmVzcy1jb250cm9sLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Battle for the House: These Are the Races to Watch Democrats are targeting incumbent Republicans in a number of districts President Biden won in 2020 — but the general rule is, as goes the presidential race, so go House races. By Jonathan Weisman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TYaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYXJ0aWNsZS9ob3VzZS1yYWNlcy1jb25ncmVzcy1jb250cm9sLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTYmZW1jPWVkaXRfY25fMjAyNDA0MTkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIxMDQ0Jm5sPW9uLXBvbGl0aWNzJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjQyNzQmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmYgE-oiZhP_YTpSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [[Hundreds of pro-Palestinian demonstrators gathered outside President Biden’s high-dollar fund-raiser at Radio City Music Hall last month, and several made their way inside, repeatedly disrupting the event. ] Andres Kudacki for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kZW1vY3JhdHMtaXNyYWVsLWdhemEtcHJvdGVzdGVycy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [How Gaza Protesters Are Challenging Democratic Leaders From President Biden to the mayors of small cities, Democrats have been trailed by demonstrators who are complicating the party’s ability to campaign in an election year. By Lisa Lerer, Reid J. Epstein and Katie Glueck](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNC8wNy91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kZW1vY3JhdHMtaXNyYWVsLWdhemEtcHJvdGVzdGVycy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) Read past editions of the newsletter [here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoBW8TP0TEaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc3BvdGxpZ2h0L29uLXBvbGl0aWNzP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU2JmVtYz1lZGl0X2NuXzIwMjQwNDE5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMTA0NCZubD1vbi1wb2xpdGljcyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY0Mjc0JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmIBPqImYT_2E6Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). If you’re enjoying what you’re reading, please consider recommending it to others. 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