Here are updated polls in the most pivotal states

NDLB is doing extensive research on the country's most important races at every level of government. Here are some of the most important races to keep an eye on. [logo] Here is an update on the 2024 election! As the 2024 election approaches, key battleground states are once again at the forefront of deciding the future of our nation. From the Midwest to the Sun Belt, these states hold the power to shape the outcome of not only the presidential race but also control of the U.S. Senate. Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Wisconsin will play pivotal roles, with narrow polling margins showing just how critical every vote will be. Here is your breakdown from our research team: Pennsylvania Once a reliable Democratic stronghold, Pennsylvania took a surprising turn in 2016 by supporting Donald Trump, only to swing back in 2020 with a narrow 2.2% margin for Biden. Polls today suggest a similarly close race, with Kamala Harris holding less than a 1-point lead over Trump. Pennsylvania’s importance cannot be overstated, with its 19 electoral votes making it the largest battleground state. Nate Silver highlights its significance: "No Democrat has won the White House without Pennsylvania since 1948." The Senate race mirrors this tight contest, as Democrat Bob Casey maintains a lead over David McCormick, setting the stage for a fierce fight in both the presidential and Senate races. Arizona Arizona’s recent political transformation from a deep-red state to a battleground is a story of shifting demographics and voter sentiment. In 2020, Joe Biden won by a razor-thin margin of 0.3%, marking the first time a Democrat won Arizona since Bill Clinton in 1996. Polls show Trump holding a slight edge in 2024, a significant change from the typical 8-10% Republican leads of past elections. Meanwhile, the Senate race sees Democrat Ruben Gallego maintaining a strong lead over Republican Kari Lake, with his margin growing in recent weeks. Arizona’s evolving political landscape makes it a state to watch. Michigan Michigan is part of the famed "blue wall" alongside Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, states that historically support Democrats but surprised the nation when Trump won in 2016 by just 0.2%. Biden reclaimed it in 2020, winning by 2.8%, and Harris now holds a narrow lead in current polls. The Senate race features Democratic candidate Elissa Slotkin leading Republican Tom Rodgers by 4.8%, positioning Michigan as a critical state for both the presidency and the Senate in 2024. Georgia Georgia’s political identity has transformed in recent years. Traditionally a Republican stronghold, Biden flipped the state in 2020 with a margin of just 0.2%, a monumental win for Democrats. In 2024, the race is once again razor-thin, with Trump holding a slight 1-point lead over Harris. Georgia’s diverse electorate and shifting political landscape will require Democrats to reenergize the coalition that led to their historic 2020 victory. Wisconsin Wisconsin’s political history tells a tale of unpredictability. It consistently backed Democrats from 1988 to 2012, but Trump flipped the state in 2016 by 1%, only for Biden to win it back in 2020 by 0.7%. The current polling indicates another close contest, with Harris hoping to maintain the Democratic streak. In the Senate race, Democrat Tammy {NAME} holds a 5% lead over Republican Eric Hovde, positioning Wisconsin as a key battleground for both races. Iowa Once a competitive "purple" state, Iowa has trended Republican in recent elections. Trump won by 8 points in 2020, and recent polls show him leading Harris by 5-6%. Despite its lean, Iowa remains a critical battleground due to its importance in shaping national trends. Trump dominates rural areas, while Harris performs well in urban centers like Des Moines. The Senate race leans Republican, with incumbent Senator Chuck Grassley firmly in place, though the down-ballot races remain competitive as Democrats look to regain ground in a shifting state. Nevada As a perennial swing state, Nevada is crucial to the 2024 election. While no Republican has won Nevada since 2004, current polls show Harris with a narrow lead over Trump, mirroring past close races. Nevada’s importance lies in its diverse electorate and its urban centers, where Democrats typically perform well, counterbalanced by Trump’s strong support in rural areas. In the Senate race, Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen holds a comfortable lead over Republican Sam Brown, further solidifying Nevada as a key state for Democrats. North Carolina North Carolina’s tight race between Harris and Trump highlights its importance as a battleground state. Polls show Trump with a slim lead, but Harris is performing well with key demographics, particularly women and Black voters. The state remains competitive, with both candidates targeting independent voters, who slightly lean toward Trump. In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Ted Budd maintains a strong position, emphasizing the state’s Republican trend in recent years, but Democrats are hopeful for down-ballot success. Montana Montana is solidly in Trump’s column for 2024, with polls showing him leading Harris by double digits. This aligns with the state’s history of supporting Republican candidates. The Senate race, however, is drawing national attention. Democratic incumbent Jon Tester faces a tough challenge from Republican Tim Sheehy, who currently leads by 6-7 points. Montana’s Senate race is pivotal for control of the U.S. Senate, with Tester needing to outperform the top of the ticket in a state strongly backing Trump. [→ Support Rural Democrats]( Let's stay informed and win these pivotal races. — No Dem Left Behind  No Dem Left Behind PAC P.O. 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