Youâre receiving this email as part of your subscription to Andrew Zatlinâs Moneyball Daily [Unsubscribe]( [Moneyball Economics] Why Iâm Recommending You Add Small-Cap Stocks Today Tuesday, November 1, 2022 When the marketâs in trouble, small-cap stocks typically perform the worst. So why am I recommending that you add them to your portfolio today? Let me tell you exactly why⦠[CLICK HERE TO LAUNCH VIDEO OR READ THE FULL TRANSCRIPT BELOW »»]( > ADVERTISEMENT < Gold is about to SOAR â here's what you need to do Everything is lining up perfectly for a historic gold bull run. One gold research firm says they've found the best way to get in, for less than $10. [MORE here...]( For a transcript of this video, see below. This transcript has been lightly edited for length and clarity. Why Iâm Recommending You Add Small-Cap Stocks Today As their name suggests, small-cap stocks are companies with relatively low market capitalizations â typically between $300 million and two billion dollars. Theyâre certainly not the biggest companies⦠But historically, theyâve outperformed large caps by a wide margin. And as youâll learn today, I believe theyâre set to surge⦠Bear Markets Arenât Kind to Small-Caps Small caps tend to struggle in bear markets, but shine in bull markets. Their struggles during bear markets are linked to three factors: - Most small caps donât have the brand-name or cachet that a larger company does, so theyâre not considered âsafe havensâ during bad times.
- When the market is a mess, investors crave dividends. But generally, small caps donât issue dividends.
- Small caps donât have big balance sheets or lots of cash. This makes them higher risk. But during bull markets, they can shine. Hereâs what I mean⦠Small-Caps Run with the Bulls During boom times, the value of many companies grows. But the value of a small cap often grows faster. Makes sense â itâs easier to go from a billion-dollar market cap to two billion dollars, than from $100 billion to $200 billion. As you can see below, over the past forty years (mostly boom times), the Russell 2000 (heavily weighted with small caps) has outperformed the S&P 500 (heavy with large caps): Bottom line: small caps can be dicey in bear markets, but perform well in bullish ones. But given that the marketâs been bearish for most of 2022, why scoop up small caps now? There are two key reasons⦠Two Reasons to Invest in Small Caps Now First, an inflection point may be on the horizon. Sure, weâre currently facing some sort of recessionary period, but itâs likely that a bullish period is right behind it â and thatâs great news for small-cap investors. Second, small-cap stocks are oversold right now. Let me show you: This is a two-decade snapshot of large-cap stocksâ Price-to-Earnings ratio. This is a useful metric for determining whether, historically speaking, youâre paying too much or too little for a certain level of earnings. See the orange arrow running left to right? Any time the P/E ratio is over that line, historically speaking, stocks are overvalued. And as you can see, currently, large caps are way above that line. Now look at small caps: The P/E ratio is currently below the line, meaning weâre in oversold territory. This is where you can make some money! Look at the Hiring Data Small caps are ripe with potential. But which ones should we target? Simple: Look at my hiring data! For example, hereâs a small-cap semiconductor company called Wolf (NYSE: WOLF). Its hiring is up, up, up: Helmerich & Payne (NYSE: HP), a small cap focused on drilling, is hiring, too: And Steel Dynamicsâ (Nasdaq: STLD) hiring is soaring right now: Earlier, I mentioned that small caps donât typically issue dividends. But Helmerich & Payne pays a two-and-a-half percent dividend. And Steel Dynamics pays around one-and-a-half percent. When Iâm looking for the ârightâ small caps to invest in, I look for accelerated hiring and dividends⦠But I also look for revenue growth. And sure enough, Wolf is forecasting forty-two percent growth in 2023, and Helmerich & Payne is forecasting thirty-five percent growth. Very good. Small Caps are Poised for Growth So now you know: small caps are poised for growth. And certain small caps are poised for the most growth. I showed you two examples of such small caps today. And if youâre a âProâ subscriber, check out one of my favorites below! Either way, consider adding small caps to your portfolio today. Weâre in it to win it. Zatlin out. FOR MONEYBALL PRO READERS ONLY
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