Youâre receiving this email as part of your subscription to Andrew Zatlinâs Moneyball Daily [Unsubscribe]( [Moneyball Economics] How the Fedâs âBig Mistakeâ Will Impact You Tuesday, October 4, 2022 The Fedâs being fooled! Itâs still under the impression it can curb inflation without tanking the economy. But itâs ignoring a critical piece of data⦠And its mistake could have dire consequences for you. [CLICK HERE TO LAUNCH VIDEO OR READ THE FULL TRANSCRIPT BELOW »»]( > ADVERTISEMENT < How to profit from the coming boom in gold Gold passed $2,000/oz. earlier this year, and is set for a new bull run. Now a renowned precious metals firm is sharing the No. 1 way to play it for less than $10. [MORE here...]( For a transcript of this video, see below. This transcript has been lightly edited for length and clarity. How the Fedâs âBig Mistakeâ Will Impact You To assess the strength of the U.S. economy, the Fed looks at data including: - Consumer spending.
- Labor data.
- Jobless claims. Typically, it pays particular attention to jobless claims. Thatâs because jobless claims provide real-time data, with no lag. Furthermore, jobless claims are straightforward: they tell you, point-blank, how many new people are out of work. So theyâre a good proxy for the strength of the U.S. economy. But as it turns out, this data is misleading â and the Fed is getting it all wrong⦠Jobless Claims are a Ticking Time-Bomb As you can see in the chart below, jobless claims have been dropping recently: The Fed looks at this and thinks the labor market is strong. After all, fewer people are losing their jobs, right? So we must have a strong economy. Great. But the labor market isnât strong. Itâs a ticking time-bomb! Let me explain⦠Layoffs Arenât Happening⦠Yet You see, jobless claims primarily track workers in sectors like restaurants and retail. And right now, companies in these sectors arenât firing anyone. After all, they struggled like crazy to hire these employees in the first place! Furthermore, issuing layoffs just before or during the holiday season is a bad look. It makes for terrible PR. But when the new year rolls around, the situation will change. Companies wonât need so many workers, and theyâll worry less about keeping everything cheery⦠and more about their bottom line. And thatâs when weâll see horrible layoffs. So, what happens then? Iâll Show You How To Play It Mass layoffs will reveal that the Fedâs attempt at a âsoft landingâ isnât working. This will send the market in one of two directions: In the first scenario, the market will jump. After all, the Fed may need to lower interest rates if itâs facing a weakening economy â and the market loves low interest rates. But in the second scenario, the market will crash even further. After all, widespread layoffs indicate weaker company earnings, and thus, weaker stock prices. So investors will start dumping stocks. The thing is, for investors like you, either path could lead to big investment profits. You just need to know how to play it. And thatâs what Iâm here for: Iâm here to show you how to play it. So if youâre interested in making money from the coming turmoil, stay tuned. In the meantime, Zatlin out. Talk to you soon. FOR MONEYBALL PRO READERS ONLY
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