Dear Mauldin Economics Reader, [SIC 2022 Daily Updates] Dear Reader, The fourth day of the SIC 2022 ended with historian and biographer Niall Ferguson interviewing Dr. Henry Kissinger, former US secretary of state... a truly momentous event. Kissingerâs measured, diplomatic responses on how to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict presented a stark contrast to todayâs divisive rhetoric. He emphasized the importance of giving Putin a dignified and safe way out of the war: âWe need to give the Russians an opportunity to protect themselves [from NATO]âwe shouldnât turn this conflict into a purely technical, economic problem.â He believes that we may be close to a ceasefire and thinks itâs unlikely that nuclear weapons will be used, âas long as the US or NATO doesnât breach Russian borders.â [Get your Virtual Pass today to watch this riveting conversation...]( as well as all the others weâve already recorded, and the live ones yet to come. Investing legend Howard Marks talked to John Mauldin about his theory of a swinging pendulum: âHuman thinking usually doesnât stay at a happy medium; it swings from too much in one direction to too much in the other, especially in the markets. In the real world, things fluctuate from âpretty goodâ to ânot-so-hot,â but in the markets they go from âfantasticâ to âhopeless.ââ Marks noted that over time, the economic weight shifts to different factors. Not too long ago, it was all about getting things cheaply, then it was eco-friendlinessâbut now we also have to consider the safety and security of our supplies by bringing production back onshore and maybe reopening some shuttered nuclear plants. Macro wizard Felix Zulauf discussed his outlook for 2022 and beyond with Things That Make You Go Hmmm... writer Grant Williams. His prediction: âWeâre on a roller coaster and will be for the next 10 years.â He believes the stock market will go down sharply in the second half of this year and back up sharply early next year... but then âgo down brutally thereafter.â You can get the full explanation of his thesisâ[click here to get your Virtual Pass and watch yesterdayâs Zulauf/Williams conversation right now.]( Other highlights from yesterday: - Albert Edwards, global strategist at the Société Générale, discussed the Fedâs current experiment with MMT (modern monetary theory) and the disastrous possibilities. He believes the FANGs could become one of the worst-performing sectors in the coming recession.
- Mark Yusko, one of our SIC regulars, presented his contrarian mind game, â10 Potential Surprises for 2022.â He also thinks the FANGs could plunge: âThey have already lost $2.5 trillion since December, but thereâs still a whole bunch of downside.â
- On the âFuture of Energyâ panel, energy pros Jay R. Young, Stuart Turley, Charles McConnell, and Peter Snell talked about draconian climate change measures versus the more realistic goal of âreducing total emissions.â They all agreed that cutting out oil and gasâwhich still fill 78% of our energy needs, while renewables only fill 16%âis not feasible at this time. Also, âYou canât make plastics out of a windmill.â
- ARK Invest CEO and CIO Cathie Wood talked with Ed DâAgostino about her near-term optimistic view on disruptive technologies... and why vertical integration will become increasingly important for Big Tech. In tomorrowâs live sessions, youâll see Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale and Niall Ferguson in conversation with John Mauldin... former chief economist at the Bank of International Settlements, Bill White... HIMCO Executive VP Dr. Lacy Hunt... former Fed insiders Tom Hoenig and Danielle DiMartino Booth... and Johnâs legendary âFinal Panelâ to wrap up the main part of the conference. Friday will be our Plus-Day with hands-on, actionable investment guidance from Mauldin Economics and guest analysts. So much valuable contentâmake sure you donât miss it. [Click here to get your Virtual Pass now.](  Best, Mauldin Economics Copyright © 2022 Mauldin Economics. All Rights Reserved
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