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[Danger Ahead] A Boom No Investor Needs

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manwardpress.com

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manward@mb.manwardpress.com

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Fri, Dec 6, 2024 07:00 PM

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This quietly growing market could be trouble Source: Manward Press Chief Investment Strategist And S

This quietly growing market could be trouble [Total Wealth] BROUGHT TO YOU BY MANWARD PRESS This Quietly Growing Market Could Be Trouble SPONSORED ["Second Trump Stockwave Imminent"]( [Trump Tower Clock]( Source: [Wikimedia Commons]( Manward Press Chief Investment Strategist And Star Fox Business Contributor predicts massive gains ahead. Learn how some stocks could skyrocket 1,000%+ or more when Trump returns... Just like they did during his first term. [See the shocking forecast now that could make Americans rich.]( [Shah Gilani] Shah Gilani Chief Investment Strategist I've been watching financial markets long enough to spot when something doesn't add up. Right now, there's a $1.5 trillion elephant in the room that few people are talking about: private credit. Let me explain... Private equity firms - the people who buy companies using borrowed money - are finding themselves in a tight spot. Their usual exit strategy of taking companies public through IPOs has practically disappeared. Deal volumes have plummeted by half since late 2021. These firms are sitting on companies they can't sell, watching the clock tick on their investors' money. Enter private credit, their new favorite solution. SPONSORED [Trump to send Dow to 75,000? Details here]( [Trump During the 2016 Inauguration]( The weekly Fox Business contributor who famously predicted the first Trump Stockwave back in 2016 expects the DOW could soon soar to 75,000... Giving Smart American Patriots an opportunity to build generational wealth after four years of failed Biden-Harris policies. It's all thanks to a Trump document codenamed "Document 20". [See the explosive "Document 20" details here]( Think about this: In 2020, the private credit market was worth $1 trillion. Today? $1.5 trillion. And it's projected to hit $2.8 trillion by 2028. That's explosive growth. "But isn't this just normal business lending?" you might ask. No. Here's what's concerning... These private credit funds are lending money to companies that are already loaded with debt. Imagine taking out a high-interest loan to pay off your existing high-interest loans - not exactly a winning financial strategy, right? In August, the default rate in the private credit sector was 5%. With a $1.5 trillion market, we're looking at $75 billion in troubled loans. And remember, this market is growing like wildfire. What's even more worrying is what private equity firms are doing to stay afloat. They're creating "continuation funds" - essentially new vehicles to hold onto companies they can't sell. They're taking out loans against their entire portfolios (called NAV loans). They're doing partial sales just to generate some cash flow. This has "subprime mortgage" written all over it. Each of these moves adds another layer of complexity - and risk - to an already opaque system. Again... this capital comes with high interest rates, and it's being piled onto companies that already have significant debt loads. With traditional banks stepping back from these risks, private credit funds are stepping in, often with less oversight and higher rates. The regulatory response? Minimal at best... and not likely to get bigger in a pro-deregulation White House. SPONSORED [The 'Law and Order' Portfolio: Trump Stocks Set to Surge]( [Trump Border Wall]( Source: [Wikimedia Commons]( These defense and security stocks could EXPLODE during Trump's Second Stockwave... Thanks to a special plan outlined in Trump's "Document 20" that aims to secure our border and make America safer. [Click here to see details on what stocks could soar.]( I'm not saying the private credit market will collapse tomorrow. But when a market grows this fast, with this much leverage, while traditional lenders are backing away, it's worth paying very close attention. As we head toward that projected $2.8 trillion market size in 2028, the question isn't just whether private credit is too big to fail - it's whether it's too big to succeed. The next few years will tell us if this financial innovation is truly sustainable or if we're watching another bubble inflate in slow motion. Either way, it's a story that deserves far more attention than it's getting. Cheers, Shah Want more content like this? [YES]( [NO]( Shah Gilani Shah Gilani is the Chief Investment Strategist of Manward Press. Shah is a sought-after market commentator... a former hedge fund manager... and a veteran of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He ran the futures and options division at the largest retail bank in Britain... and called the implosion of U.S. financial markets (AND the mega bull run that followed). Now at the helm of Manward, Shah is focused tightly on one goal: to do his part to make subscribers wealthier, happier, and freer. You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Total Wealth. To unsubscribe from Total Wealth, [click here](. Need help with your account? [Click here](. Have a question or comment for the editor? [Click here](mailto:mailbag@manwardpress.com). Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. To cancel by mail or for any other subscription issues, write us at: Manward Press | Attn: Member Services | [14 West Mount Vernon Place | Baltimore, MD 21201](#) North America: [1.800.682.5210](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4263](#) [Website]( | [Privacy Policy]( Keep the emails you value from falling into your spam folder. [Whitelist Total Wealth](. © 2024 Manward Press, LLC | All Rights Reserved Nothing published by Manward Press, LLC should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed personalized investment advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after publication before trading on a recommendation. Any investments recommended by Manward Press, LLC should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Manward Press, LLC, 14 West Mount Vernon Place, Baltimore, MD 21201.

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