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Surprise! The Rate Cuts Are Here

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Fri, Jun 7, 2024 06:02 PM

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The Fed bit off more than it could chew. In 1999, Sutter Hill Ventures made a bold bet on Nvidia bef

The Fed bit off more than it could chew. [Total Wealth] BROUGHT TO YOU BY MANWARD PRESS Surprise! The Rate Cuts Are Here SPONSORED [The Mysterious VC Firm Behind Nvidia's Secret Weapon]( [Businessman in black suit]( In 1999, Sutter Hill Ventures made a bold bet on Nvidia before anyone had heard of it. Now, they're going all-in on Nvidia's hush-hush partner that's powering their new Blackwell chip. Discover the little-known company that's attracting massive investments from the visionaries behind Nvidia's 100,000% rise. [Unlock the hidden key to AI's future.]( [Shah Gilani] Shah Gilani Chief Investment Strategist In the high-stakes game of central banking, policymakers like to portray their decisions as carefully planned and well-telegraphed. But as any seasoned investor knows, these best-laid plans often go awry in the face of fast-changing economic conditions and market forces. Case in point: the Federal Reserve's recent shift away from quantitative tightening (QT). While central bankers talked tough about reining in inflation, their resolve crumbled in the face of some unpleasant realities. SPONSORED [The Final Piece of Nvidia's AI Puzzle]( [Missing piece of jigsaw puzzle]( Nvidia's Blackwell chip is set to redefine artificial intelligence, but it can't reach its full potential without one crucial component. That's where this secretive startup comes in. Their technology is the backbone of Blackwell's success, and as Nvidia aims for global AI dominance, this little-known company could be the key to unlocking untold riches. [Discover the hidden link in the AI supply chain.]( Unlike the so-called "experts," we understand that central bankers are reactive, not proactive. They don't set trends, they follow them (often too late). And their economic predictions and prescriptions are wrong as often as they're right. So while the mainstream media was fixated on central banks' inflation-fighting rhetoric, I told my readers to prepare for the inevitable pivot... And yesterday we learned that the European Central Bank would cut rates even while admitting that wages were still rising and inflation was picking up steam. A head-scratcher to some, but not to us... As I told Manward Money Report subscribers in their just released June issue ([Not a subscriber? You should be!]( the Federal Reserve beat the ECB to the punch by executing a "stealth cut" last month. It did so by cutting back on the $60 billion it allowed to run off the balance sheet each month. Only $25 billion a month will run off starting June 1. That means if $60 billion is supposed to run off the balance sheet in June, the Fed would replace $35 billion by buying bills, notes and bonds worth that much. If $100 billion runs off in July, the Fed would then buy $75 billion worth of government-issued debt. This is huge... SPONSORED [Nvidia's Secret Partner... This Is The New AI Chip Powerhouse]( [Chatbot conversation]( I bet you've never heard of it... but this newly public company is set to become key to Nvidia's seat on the AI throne. And for now... you can get in while it's still cheap. [Details Here!]( Can't Be Tamed QT is supposed to withdraw liquidity and raise interest rates to tame inflation. With QT, central banks aren't in the market buying government bills, notes and bonds. Other buyers have to step up to buy government-issued debt. Those other buyers are a lot more price sensitive than central banks (who ultimately don't care about price). You'll remember that following the global financial crisis of 2008, central banks embarked on unprecedented QE programs to support struggling economies and stabilize financial markets. However, as economic conditions improved and inflationary pressures began to mount, policymakers had to tighten their policies to prevent overheating and curb inflation. As inflation soared, the Fed, the ECB and the Bank of England each kicked off QT measures to unwind their bloated balance sheets. By not replacing maturing securities on their balance sheets, central banks sought to put upward pressure on interest rates by forcing other buyers to step in and buy government debt. Those buyers demand higher yields because they're more price- and inflation-sensitive than central banks. QT helped push rates higher in open markets as central banks raised rates. But while central banks expected QT to lead to higher interest rates, the actual impact was more nuanced. As bond yields rose and borrowing costs increased, the markets - especially bond markets - experienced crazy volatility, with implications for asset prices and economic growth. Tighter monetary conditions also posed challenges for households and businesses in debt. It dampened consumer spending and investment. Despite QT, central banks found themselves fighting stubborn inflationary pressures that defied conventional policy. It was more than central bankers bargained for. They've faced mounting pressure to loosen policies. And, of course, they can't come out and announce a change in course without spooking the markets and losing credibility. Hence the Fed's "stealth rate cut"... by cutting back on QT. The investment implications are huge. Falling rates are jet fuel for stock prices, as my Manward Money Report subscribers well know. We're sitting pretty with multiple positions primed to profit from this policy shift. And I'll be sharing some of my favorites with you right here. Cheers, Shah Want more content like this? [YES]( [NO]( Shah Gilani Shah Gilani is the Chief Investment Strategist of Manward Press. Shah is a sought-after market commentator... a former hedge fund manager... and a veteran of the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He ran the futures and options division at the largest retail bank in Britain... and called the implosion of U.S. financial markets (AND the mega bull run that followed). Now at the helm of Manward, Shah is focused tightly on one goal: to do his part to make subscribers wealthier, happier and freer. You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Total Wealth. To unsubscribe from Total Wealth, [click here](. Need help with your account? [Click here](. Have a question or comment for the editor? [Click here](mailto:mailbag@manwardpress.com). Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. To cancel by mail or for any other subscription issues, write us at: Manward Press | Attn: Member Services | [14 West Mount Vernon Place | Baltimore, MD 21201](#) North America: [1.800.682.5210](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4263](#) [Website]( | [Privacy Policy]( Keep the emails you value from falling into your spam folder. [Whitelist Total Wealth](. © 2024 Manward Press, LLC | All Rights Reserved Nothing published by Manward Press, LLC should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed personalized investment advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after publication before trading on a recommendation. Any investments recommended by Manward Press, LLC should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Manward Press, LLC, 14 West Mount Vernon Place, Baltimore, MD 21201.

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