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The New Energy Crisis ⛽

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Tue, Oct 26, 2021 06:09 PM

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Energy prices are soaring worldwide, putting us on the edge of a new energy crisis. What does this m

Energy prices are soaring worldwide, putting us on the edge of a new energy crisis. What does this mean for investors? [Liberty Through Wealth]( SPONSORED [Controversy]( THE SHORTEST WAY TO A RICH LIFE How to Profit From Today's Energy Crisis Nicholas Vardy | Quantitative Strategist | The Oxford Club [Nicholas Vardy] I remember the original energy crisis of 1973. I was in third grade at Colfax Elementary School in Pittsburgh. Gas had hit $1.00 a gallon. Schools closed for several weeks in the winter due to a shortage of heating oil. And when they reopened, we had to wear sweaters in our frigid classrooms. The entire decade was marred by stagflation (a period when inflation is high and the economy is stagnant), long gas lines and a renewed Cold War with the Soviet Union. The sense of doom reached its peak with President Jimmy Carter's famous "malaise" speech on July 15, 1979. Things were tough, Carter explained. And they were going to stay that way. The New Energy Crisis Today, energy prices are soaring once again. Natural gas prices have hit record highs - up 100% in just a month. Long gas (the Brits call it "petrol") lines reminiscent of the '70s have disrupted traffic in my London neighborhood. Both China and California - the second- and fifth-largest economies in the world, respectively - have been forced to ration electricity. It seems the world is on the verge of another full-blown energy crisis. But unlike the last one, we can't blame it on an external factor like the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) embargo. Instead, today's energy crisis is mainly self-inflicted - a product of our well-intentioned but misguided [obsession with green energy](. In the investment world, they call it environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing. And it is wreaking havoc on the world's energy markets. SPONSORED [This Could Be the Perfect Electric Vehicle... Stock?]( - 1,080-horsepower engine - Zero-to-60 time of 2.5 seconds - Fastest charging time in the world - Longest range in the world Yet few people have heard of the startup that created it! [Find out why its stock could help fund your retirement starting today.]( What is ESG Investing? Think of ESG as "politically correct" investing. A fund manager shows concern for society by using investment criteria that go beyond the crass objective of maximizing returns. Such virtue signaling with other people's money is nothing new. In the 1980s, [major university endowments]( divested South African stocks to show their opposition to apartheid. By the 1990s, these same endowments had shed all tobacco stocks. Today's ESG investors have divested all oil and gas stocks. Just last month, Harvard University announced it would no longer invest any of its $42 billion endowment in companies that explore or develop fossil fuels. Harvard was reluctant at first. President Lawrence Bacow had said that the endowment shouldn't fall hostage to political ends. But eventually Harvard succumbed to years of pressure from students and climate activists and a string of lawsuits. Bacow changed his tune, now saying, "None of us will be spared the realities of climate change, which means we are all in this together." Harvard was a latecomer to the ESG party. It merely joined another 1,337 institutions globally that had already made the same commitment. Collectively, these institutions manage more than $14 trillion. That's a big number - roughly equivalent to the size of China's annual GDP. Good Intentions Gone Wrong ESG investors have noble intentions. But "going green" is far more complicated than Harvard changing its investment policies. [This form of investing]( has unintended consequences... and has brought the world to the brink of another energy crisis. Sure, countries can shift their focus to renewable energy. But the world will need fossil fuels for decades to come. If nothing else, building the $16 trillion worth of currently proposed green initiatives will require massive amounts of energy. And that energy has to come from somewhere. If you want clean energy, you need dirty energy to build it. Meanwhile, thanks to ESG policies, investments in fossil fuel production and exploration have fallen sharply. International oil majors can't finance significant new projects because no one will back them. Upstream capital spending on global oil and gas has fallen from nearly $800 billion in 2013 to less than $350 billion this year. No wonder supply is plummeting. Philip Lambert, CEO of Lambert Energy Advisory, believes the crisis is only likely to get worse as a result of this "monumental misallocation of capital." Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) recently recommended suspending all new exploration for oil, gas or coal. Lambert believes the IEA's policy will lead to "disaster" and "impoverishment and misery for billions of people." Betting on a Rebound Lambert has been wary of speaking publicly about his views. Upset the fanatical net-zero lobby, and you risk "vilification and intimidation." For Wall Street's smart money, however, investing isn't about winning a popularity contest. It's about [maximizing investment returns](. Top hedge funds are betting that it's only a matter of time before reality sets in and the prices of traditional energy assets rebound. After all, not even the global ESG movement can overpower the law of supply and demand. My recommendation? Follow the smart money into a broad-based bet on oil and gas stocks. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLE) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) modeled on the energy sector of the S&P 500. Its principal holdings include Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB), EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP). The ETF's dividend yield is generous at just under 4%, compared with 1.3% for the S&P. And its expense ratio is a tiny 0.12%. This fund is an excellent place to start if you want to get into energy stocks ahead of the bounce back. Good investing, Nicholas [Video - Are the Gains Long Gone?]( [Click here]( to watch Nicholas' latest video update. For the latest news from Nicholas, connect on [Facebook]( and [Twitter](. JOIN THE CONVERSATION [Facebook]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Twitter]( [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0D%0AEnergy%20prices%20are%20soaring%20worldwide,%20putting%20us%20on%20the%20edge%20of%20a%20new%20energy%20crisis.%20What%20does%20this%20mean%20for%20investors?%0D%0A%0D [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0D%0AEnergy%20prices%20are%20soaring%20worldwide,%20putting%20us%20on%20the%20edge%20of%20a%20new%20energy%20crisis.%20What%20does%20this%20mean%20for%20investors?%0D%0A%0D MORE FROM LIBERTY THROUGH WEALTH [Five Principles of Great Investors]( [Why Intellectuals Are Terrible Investors]( [Is This Addictive Company Still a "Buy"?]( SPONSORED [$10 Tech Stock Multiplies Profit 12-Fold in One Year!]( [Shape-Shifting Smartphone]( Groundbreaking new tech is being hailed as a "technological tour de force." And one company is seeing profits pour in. [See why Samsung, Tesla and Apple are all reportedly now working with this $10 stock.]( [The Oxford Club]( You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Liberty Through Wealth. Liberty Through Wealth is published by The Oxford Club. Questions? Check out our [FAQs](. Trying to reach us? [Contact us here.]( Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. [Privacy Policy]( | [Whitelist Liberty Through Wealth]( | [Unsubscribe]( © 2021 The Oxford Club, LLC All Rights Reserved The Oxford Club | [105 West Monument Street](#) | [Baltimore, MD 21201](#) North America: [1.800.589.3430](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4334](#) | Fax: [1.410.329.1923](#) [Oxfordclub.com]( The Oxford Club is a financial publisher that does not offer any personal financial advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment for any specific individual. Members should be aware that although our track record is highly rated by an independent analysis and has been legally reviewed, investment markets have inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. The stated returns may also include option trades. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in their own securities recommendations to readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after online publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publications prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by The Oxford Club should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of The Oxford Club, 105 W. Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201.

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