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What a rollercoaster of a week for the gold market. Iâm sure there are a lot of traders who are looking forward to the long weekend.
Just to recap: the gold market is preparing to end the week with 3% gains, its best percentage gain in two years. According to analysts, the [U.S. dollar]( which fell to fresh three-year lows is the most significant reason behind goldâs massive rally. A weaker greenback helped gold withstand bond yields that pushed to a two-year high and a recovery in equity markets as the Dow Jones Industrial Average is seeing its best week since Nov. 2016.
[Gold]( rally started Wednesday and was triggered after prices dropped $12 following stronger than expected inflation data. However, the market quickly recovered and triggered stop-loss buying and short covering as near-term technical fell by the wayside. In total gold prices rallied more than $39 from its lows to its highs.
The question now on everyoneâs mind is: where do prices go from here? According Kitco.comâs senior technical analyst, Jim Wyckoff, said that the technical momentum behind gold could push prices back to the 2016 highs at $1,377.50 an ounce. He added that silver could ultimately advance to $18.64 an ounce. âAll of these price targets are now within striking distance in the coming days, or few weeks,â he said in an exclusive report.
Coincidently, gold rallied on Valentineâs Day, so may one might say, if they are corny enough, that investors fell back in love with the precious metals. We know of one investor who is definitely in love with gold: Ray Dalioâs hedge fund Bridgewater Associates. SEC filing Wednesday showed that the firm increased its stake in the worldâs two largest gold-backed exchange-traded products in the fourth quarter, SPDR Gold Shares ([NYSE: GLD]( and iShares Gold Trust ([NYSE: IAU](.
Speaking of love and Valentine âs Day, U.S. consumers were expected to spending a near-record $19.6 billion on gifts for the romantic holiday. Jewelry was expected to be the hot item for the holiday as consumers were planning to spend $4.7 billion. Kitco News played cupid and found some beautiful gifts for that special someone. Keep this link on hand for next year.
Thatâs it for now. We recommend you take the long weekend and recover from the excitement from the previous week watching the Olympic Games.
For all those in the U.S., happy Presidentsâ Day.
Have a great weekend
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For Pete's Sake
Peter Hug
Director, Global Trading
phug@kitco.com
[Gold Consolidates As Chinese Lunar New Year Begins](
Technically Speaking
Jim Wyckoff
Market Analyst and Columnist
jwyckoff@kitco.com
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