How Seasonal Trends Shape Opportunities, and What to Expect This December

[] Join me at 9:15 a.m. ET for “Morning Monster”! [] [] [] [LIVE AT 4 PM ET: 3 60-MINUTE SURGE TICKERS FOR EVERYONE IN ATTENDANCE AND MORE!]( How Seasonal Trends Shape Opportunities, and What to Expect This December Black Friday is the official start of the countdown to Christmas for many. Arguably one of the biggest shopping days of the year. How did retail perform this year? I have some preliminary numbers to go over! [Come join me as we dive in and see what’s moving!]( Plus, as always, we have stocks popping and dropping so come find out what is moving this morning as I look for stocks and do some live premarket analysis on SPX, SPY, NDX, QQQ, Russell, IWM and other stocks that are potential plays for the day. — — — How Seasonal Trends Shape Market Opportunities, and What to Expect This December Seasonality is one of the market’s most consistent forces — but it’s not a guarantee. As traders, we use historical patterns to guide expectations, knowing that the market can still take its own path. With December in full swing, it’s the perfect time to revisit how seasonal trends can shape the market and prepare for opportunities ahead. Looking at nearly 100 years of data, a clear pattern emerges: From early October through the end of December, markets generally trend higher. That’s the big picture. But zooming in, the details reveal a few twists. One key point of interest is the week around Thanksgiving. Historically, this period tends to be choppy — not a time to expect smooth upward momentum. The data shows that while the market may dip, the broader trend remains intact. As of Dec. 3, we’ve moved past Thanksgiving’s turbulence and are heading into what is often called the “Santa Rally” — the late-December surge that typically carries into the new year. Seasonality suggests that while some choppiness may persist through mid-December, the upward momentum often kicks in strongly as we approach the holidays. Why Does Seasonality Work? Seasonality reflects the average behavior of the market over decades. It’s not a magic formula — just an aggregation of how traders and investors have historically responded to the calendar. The Santa Rally, for example, might be driven by optimism during the holiday season, portfolio adjustments at year-end, or a mix of both. But remember, seasonality isn’t a promise — there are no guarantees in trading. While the data shows strong tendencies, the market is always free to do whatever it wants. Trends can break, and unexpected events can disrupt even the clearest historical patterns. Seasonality is a tool — not a trade. It sets expectations and helps traders prepare for potential scenarios. For instance, knowing that December historically trends higher can guide your focus toward setups that align with bullish momentum. But it also pays to stay flexible. If the market “takes a left turn at Albuquerque,” as I like to say, we need to adapt. Keep an eye on the S&P 500 and other key indices as we move closer to mid-December. If the Santa Rally shapes up as expected, it could be a strong finish to the year. But if we see deviation from the norm, it’s just another reminder to stay vigilant and adjust your strategy as needed. As we head into the final stretch of the year, use these historical insights as a framework — and stay ready to pivot if the market throws a curveball. Trade smart, stay flexible, and let’s see if this December delivers the rally we’re expecting! Today’s Daily Chart Setup: G-III Apparel Group Ltd. (GIII) [] This idea came directly from my Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. • GIII is a new potential entry. Target: 34.23 Stop below: 27.54 • GIII has a historical win rate of 94.12% • GIII has a profit factor of 2.247 • GIII trades last 41 trading days on average over 17 trades since 1989. This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. You can find full details on exactly how this works by scrolling down further in this newsletter. Now be sure to join me live at 9:15 a.m. ET for “Morning Monster,” my market-open livestream on YouTube! [‘Morning Monster’ Is Starting NOW!]( [] I’m also live at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesdays for “30 Minutes of Awesome” — bring your ticker and I’ll analyze it in real time! And be sure to hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube page! [] _____________________________________________________ [] LIVE AT 4 PM ET: See How Anyone Can Target 50% Moves in Just 60 Minutes! Just a quick reminder that I'll be going LIVE today at 4 p.m. ET… As you’ll see then, I'll reveal how you can target a 50% gain or more in just 60 short minutes, all using a special strategy called the “60-minute surge.” In the last five trading days, it’s produced a total of 42 wins — [a win rate better than 90%!]( And that's why I want to show you all the details about how it works… Now, no one can guarantee wins or prevent losses, but I’ll also share THREE TICKERS the 60-minute surge robot is targeting — all for free! [Log Into the Big Event Here!]( [] _____________________________________________________ [] How the Daily Chart Setup Works Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers: 1. The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. 2. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. 3. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years! [You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5]( — less than a cup of coffee at most places! [] Jeffry Turnmire Jeffry Turnmire Trading I host my “Morning Monster” livestream at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday on YouTube, and then “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET each Tuesday! [Please check out my channel and hit that Subscribe button!]( I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader. I've been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it's the Eagle Scout in me. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] [LIVE AT 4 PM ET: 3 60-MINUTE SURGE TICKERS FOR EVERYONE IN ATTENDANCE AND MORE!]( How Seasonal Trends Shape Opportunities, and What to Expect This December Black Friday is the official start of the countdown to Christmas for many. Arguably one of the biggest shopping days of the year. How did retail perform this year? I have some preliminary numbers to go over! [Come join me as we dive in and see what’s moving!]( Plus, as always, we have stocks popping and dropping so come find out what is moving this morning as I look for stocks and do some live premarket analysis on SPX, SPY, NDX, QQQ, Russell, IWM and other stocks that are potential plays for the day. — — — How Seasonal Trends Shape Market Opportunities, and What to Expect This December Seasonality is one of the market’s most consistent forces — but it’s not a guarantee. As traders, we use historical patterns to guide expectations, knowing that the market can still take its own path. With December in full swing, it’s the perfect time to revisit how seasonal trends can shape the market and prepare for opportunities ahead. Looking at nearly 100 years of data, a clear pattern emerges: From early October through the end of December, markets generally trend higher. That’s the big picture. But zooming in, the details reveal a few twists. One key point of interest is the week around Thanksgiving. Historically, this period tends to be choppy — not a time to expect smooth upward momentum. The data shows that while the market may dip, the broader trend remains intact. As of Dec. 3, we’ve moved past Thanksgiving’s turbulence and are heading into what is often called the “Santa Rally” — the late-December surge that typically carries into the new year. Seasonality suggests that while some choppiness may persist through mid-December, the upward momentum often kicks in strongly as we approach the holidays. Why Does Seasonality Work? Seasonality reflects the average behavior of the market over decades. It’s not a magic formula — just an aggregation of how traders and investors have historically responded to the calendar. The Santa Rally, for example, might be driven by optimism during the holiday season, portfolio adjustments at year-end, or a mix of both. But remember, seasonality isn’t a promise — there are no guarantees in trading. While the data shows strong tendencies, the market is always free to do whatever it wants. Trends can break, and unexpected events can disrupt even the clearest historical patterns. Seasonality is a tool — not a trade. It sets expectations and helps traders prepare for potential scenarios. For instance, knowing that December historically trends higher can guide your focus toward setups that align with bullish momentum. But it also pays to stay flexible. If the market “takes a left turn at Albuquerque,” as I like to say, we need to adapt. Keep an eye on the S&P 500 and other key indices as we move closer to mid-December. If the Santa Rally shapes up as expected, it could be a strong finish to the year. But if we see deviation from the norm, it’s just another reminder to stay vigilant and adjust your strategy as needed. As we head into the final stretch of the year, use these historical insights as a framework — and stay ready to pivot if the market throws a curveball. Trade smart, stay flexible, and let’s see if this December delivers the rally we’re expecting! Today’s Daily Chart Setup: G-III Apparel Group Ltd. (GIII) [] This idea came directly from my Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. - GIII is a new potential entry. Target: 34.23 Stop below: 27.54 - GIII has a historical win rate of 94.12% - GIII has a profit factor of 2.247 - GIII trades last 41 trading days on average over 17 trades since 1989. This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. You can find full details on exactly how this works by scrolling down further in this newsletter. Now be sure to join me live at 9:15 a.m. ET for “Morning Monster,” my market-open livestream on YouTube! [‘Morning Monster’ Is Starting NOW!]( [] I’m also live at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesdays for “30 Minutes of Awesome” — bring your ticker and I’ll analyze it in real time! And be sure to hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube page! [] _____________________________________________________ [] LIVE AT 4 PM ET: See How Anyone Can Target 50% Moves in Just 60 Minutes! Just a quick reminder that I'll be going LIVE today at 4 p.m. ET… As you’ll see then, I'll reveal how you can target a 50% gain or more in just 60 short minutes, all using a special strategy called the “60-minute surge.” In the last five trading days, it’s produced a total of 42 wins — [a win rate better than 90%!]( And that's why I want to show you all the details about how it works… Now, no one can guarantee wins or prevent losses, but I’ll also share THREE TICKERS the 60-minute surge robot is targeting — all for free! [Log Into the Big Event Here!]( [] _____________________________________________________ [] How the Daily Chart Setup Works Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers: 1. The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. 2. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. 3. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years! [You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5]( — less than a cup of coffee at most places! [] Jeffry Turnmire Jeffry Turnmire Trading I host my “Morning Monster” livestream at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday on YouTube, and then “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET each Tuesday! [Please check out my channel and hit that Subscribe button!]( I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader. I've been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it's the Eagle Scout in me. *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Jeffry Turnmire Trading provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Jeffry Turnmire Trading are for your informational purposes only. Neither Jeffry Turnmire Trading nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Jeffry Turnmire Trading is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub]( [] ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Jeffry Turnmire Trading provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Jeffry Turnmire Trading are for your informational purposes only. Neither Jeffry Turnmire Trading nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Jeffry Turnmire Trading is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions. Please visit [( for our full Terms and Conditions. [Unsubscribe]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States [Prosperity Pub](