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Volatility Is Poised to Snap Back

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Mon, May 14, 2018 11:32 AM

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Volatility Is Poised to Snap Back Volatility got crushed last week. The Volatility Index ? often s

[Jeff Clark's Market Minute]( Volatility Is Poised to Snap Back Volatility got crushed last week. The Volatility Index (VIX) – often seen as a measure of fear in the market – dropped 14%. It closed Friday at 12.65 – its lowest level since the correction started in late January. In other words, investors are now about as complacent as they were just before the S&P 500 peaked above 2870. From a contrarian point of view, this recent and sudden lack of fear among investors is a good reason to be fearful. Recommended Link [Jeff Clark's Greatest Trading Secret – Exposed for the First Time]( Since 2004, one single strategy has consistently generated 1,093% more money for Jeff's readers. And now for the first time, we're revealing – entirely free of charge – what this secret is, and how you can use it to make an extra $10,000 in the next 30 days. [Click here to learn more.]( - Since [early this year]( I’ve been arguing that the stock market has entered a new era of heightened volatility. The period of low volatility that ran all the way through 2017 is over. The VIX is likely to remain elevated all through 2018. Even with last week’s decline, the VIX is still up more than 33% so far in 2018. And by the look of the following chart, I think we’re setting up for another sudden, sharp spike… The VIX closed Friday below its lower [Bollinger Band]( for the third straight day. That is an extremely unusual occurrence. Think about this… Bollinger Bands represent the most probable trading range for a stock or an index. So, when the VIX trades outside of its Bollinger Bands, it’s doing something “improbable.” And last week, it did the “improbable” for three straight days. Notice also at the bottom of the chart the [MACD]( and [RSI]( technical indicators are as oversold as they’ve been in a year. So, the proverbial rubber band for the VIX is now quite stretched to the downside. Volatility is poised to snap back. As I [mentioned last Thursday]( and as longtime readers know, when the VIX closes below its lower Bollinger Band and then rallies to close back inside the bands, it generates a broad stock market sell signal. The VIX has now traded below its lower BB for three straight days. That’s something that doesn’t happen often. It’s quite likely the VIX will close inside its Bollinger Bands either today or tomorrow. And, that will trigger a broad stock market sell signal. S&P 500 futures are sharply higher on Sunday night. If that holds until the opening on Monday then stocks are going to pop higher and the VIX is likely to drop even farther into oversold territory. But remember, the rubber band is already stretched quite far. It may stretch even more at the opening of the stock market today. But it is primed to snap back. For my money, I’m betting on an increase in volatility this week. And, since a rising VIX often occurs during a falling stock market, I’m looking to sell stocks into strength this week. Best regards and good trading, Jeff Clark P.S. There’s only one indicator I trust during times of heightened volatility… [the V-Line](. In times of heightened volatility like I expect to see this week, trades I find using the V-Line have the potential to make 1,093% larger gains, on average, than during any other market environment. The next opportunity could show up as soon as tomorrow… [Click here to learn more](. Reader Mailbag Today, a question about how to read a key technical indicator. But first… Hi Jeff. Thanks for all the great posts in the blog lately, and especially for the last one today with the 15-min chart and reminder of what happened on April 17 [Delta Report subscribers can find it [here](. I happen to agree with your view, and purchased a small position on your SPY put recommendation this afternoon. I love your TA and indicators you use and your ability to see what most others don’t. That is what gives you (and us) the edge, and a higher probability of successful trades in this crazy market environment. I am so thankful for and love your passion and dedication to your work and to your subscribers! Please don’t ever quit doing what you do! – Ryan Thanks Jeff! GLW out @ $1.00. +$355, +34% in two and a half days. – Kevin Hi Jeff I've been using your various services – first with your previous publisher and now at Delta Report where I am a lifetime subscriber. May you live long and prosper. When you refer to the VIX chart and Bollinger Bands, what time frame do you use as the Bands are different for the time frame used? Keep up the good work. I’ve been trading options since 1978 and once professionally for a firm trading desk. It’s harder than it looks but you make it look easy. – Tom Jeff: Hi Tom, thanks for the question. I only look at Bollinger Bands on the daily chart of the VIX – not for any other time frame. I just haven’t found buy and sell signals on intraday VIX charts to be consistent enough on which to trade. The daily chart, on the other hand, gives very consistent signals. When using Bollinger Bands on the daily chart, be sure to set the parameters at 20 and 2. That’s the default parameter on most charting programs. Thank you, as always, for your thoughtful letters. Keep them coming [right here](mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com). This email was sent to {EMAIL} as part of your free subscription to Jeff Clark's Market Minute. [Click Here]( to change your delivery preferences or unsubscribe. © 2018 Jeff Clark Trader, 455 NE 5th Ave, Suite D286, Delray Beach, FL 33483, USA. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from the publisher. Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not designed to meet your personal situation – we are not financial advisors nor do we give personalized advice. The opinions expressed herein are those of the publisher and are subject to change without notice. It may become outdated and there is no obligation to update any such information. Recommendations in Jeff Clark Trader publications should be made only after consulting with your advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question. You shouldn't make any decision based solely on what you read here. Jeff Clark Trader writers and publications do not take compensation in any form for covering those securities or commodities. Jeff Clark Trader expressly forbids its writers from owning or having an interest in any security that they recommend to their readers. Furthermore, all other employees and agents of Jeff Clark Trader and its affiliate companies must wait 24 hours before following an initial recommendation published on the Internet, or 72 hours after a printed publication is mailed.

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