Early voting has started and so has election panic — so who do we believe?

{NAME}, your support makes our reporting possible ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌     ͏ ‌       [Support independent journalism](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvZG9uYXRlP2xpZD11cXN1bXZocHc0cjImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) [Support independent journalism](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvZG9uYXRlP2xpZD02MDk0MmVqNXg0ZjQmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj)   [Holly Baxter] By Holly Baxter Executive Editor [Holly Baxter] By Holly Baxter Executive Editor Dear {NAME}, With early voting already underway in key swing states, every moment counts. The Independent has been on the ground during some of the most critical recent developments — from Trump rallies to Harris-Walz campaign events. We’ve also just released [The A-Word](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvdHYvbmV3cy9hYm9ydGlvbi1kb2N1bWVudGFyeS1zdGF0ZXMtaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLWIyNjMzNDgyLmh0bWw_bGlkPW00OThqdjNsa2tueSZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9YnJhemUmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPVN1cHBvcnRlciBhY3F1aXNpdGlvbiAtIEVsZWN0aW9uIGNvdW50ZG93biBFTTEgLSAyNi0xMC0yMDI0JnV0bV90ZXJtPUlORF9NYXJrZXRpbmdXBXNwY2V1QgpnDicLHWfVwHPtUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAyM~), our powerful documentary exploring abortion rights and the lives affected by the overturning of Roe v. Wade, a pivotal issue on the ballot in 10 states this November. These developments reflect the unpredictable dynamics of this race, where analysts on both sides agree it’s impossible to assume the outcome. At such a critical moment, we need reporters in key battlegrounds, talking to the voters Trump and Harris are courting and interrogating the strategies of both campaigns. [Your support allows us to keep sending journalists to the heart of the story](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvZG9uYXRlP2xpZD1iZGw0czVqejk4MzAmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj). [DONATE NOW](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvZG9uYXRlP2xpZD00Y3ZwMTFkenZuZ3QmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) [Payment options](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0S3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvZG9uYXRlP2xpZD1zbG11YWliY3U2dmEmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj)   Explore our recent election coverage: [Can we trust the polls on Harris vs Trump — and how do they work?](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QEAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvcG9sbHMtaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLWVsZWN0aW9uLXRydXN0LWhvdy1iMjYzNDYxOS5odG1sP2xpZD00NGhneHdkNHdvYjgmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) [Can we trust the polls on Harris vs Trump — and how do they work?](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QEAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvcG9sbHMtaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLWVsZWN0aW9uLXRydXN0LWhvdy1iMjYzNDYxOS5odG1sP2xpZD1hNGdwdDB0ajQ1ZzQmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) The Independent’s data correspondent [Alicja Hagiopan](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0THaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvYXV0aG9yL2FsaWNqYS1oYWdvcGlhbj9saWQ9a3Ayb3RudThpdGZ3JnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) dives into the latest polls and explains why the numbers keep changing, how the 2024 polls are being conducted, and whether we should trust them this time around after they were surprisingly inaccurate in 2016 and 2020. [Read more](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QEAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvcG9sbHMtaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLWVsZWN0aW9uLXRydXN0LWhvdy1iMjYzNDYxOS5odG1sP2xpZD1iajh4a3N2ZDliMnkmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj)   [Early voting numbers are in. Here’s why Democrats shouldn’t panic](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QGAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvdHJ1bXAtaGFycmlzLWVhcmx5LXZvdGluZy1udW1iZXJzLXBvbGxzLWIyNjMzNzU1Lmh0bWw_bGlkPWY1MHFxYTJudmd0cSZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9YnJhemUmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPVN1cHBvcnRlciBhY3F1aXNpdGlvbiAtIEVsZWN0aW9uIGNvdW50ZG93biBFTTEgLSAyNi0xMC0yMDI0JnV0bV90ZXJtPUlORF9NYXJrZXRpbmdXBXNwY2V1QgpnDicLHWfVwHPtUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAyM~) [Early voting numbers are in. Here’s why Democrats shouldn’t panic](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QGAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvdHJ1bXAtaGFycmlzLWVhcmx5LXZvdGluZy1udW1iZXJzLXBvbGxzLWIyNjMzNzU1Lmh0bWw_bGlkPXJqYzQzdjdsamg2ZCZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9YnJhemUmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPVN1cHBvcnRlciBhY3F1aXNpdGlvbiAtIEVsZWN0aW9uIGNvdW50ZG93biBFTTEgLSAyNi0xMC0yMDI0JnV0bV90ZXJtPUlORF9NYXJrZXRpbmdXBXNwY2V1QgpnDicLHWfVwHPtUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAyM~) With the early voting numbers in, [John Bowden](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0TDaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvYXV0aG9yL2pvaG4tYm93ZGVuP2xpZD1iaGJsdmhkdThheHAmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) explains why so many Democratic pundits think it’s time to panic - and why they’re wrong. [Read more](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QGAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvdHJ1bXAtaGFycmlzLWVhcmx5LXZvdGluZy1udW1iZXJzLXBvbGxzLWIyNjMzNzU1Lmh0bWw_bGlkPXFrOXhnM3p4Ym5lYyZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9YnJhemUmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPVN1cHBvcnRlciBhY3F1aXNpdGlvbiAtIEVsZWN0aW9uIGNvdW50ZG93biBFTTEgLSAyNi0xMC0yMDI0JnV0bV90ZXJtPUlORF9NYXJrZXRpbmdXBXNwY2V1QgpnDicLHWfVwHPtUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAyM~)   [I watched Trump’s audience leave a rally early while he ranted about migrants. The spectacle is over](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QFAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvdHJ1bXAtbm9ydGgtY2Fyb2xpbmEtcmFsbHktbGVhdmUtZWFybHktYjI2MzMxNDQuaHRtbD9saWQ9c2RxY2hmN2FtYWQzJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) [I watched Trump’s audience leave a rally early while he ranted about migrants. The spectacle is over](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QFAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvdHJ1bXAtbm9ydGgtY2Fyb2xpbmEtcmFsbHktbGVhdmUtZWFybHktYjI2MzMxNDQuaHRtbD9saWQ9eWEzMGhnMWEzbjhjJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) [John Bowden](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0TDaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvYXV0aG9yL2pvaG4tYm93ZGVuP2xpZD1peXkxNWE4NWgxd2YmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) was also on the ground this week at a North Carolina rally, where he witnessed about a quarter of the audience leaving as Trump ranted on about immigrants in the background - and filmed the phenomenon for curious Independent readers. Bowden also speaks to the people leaving and asks them why they didn’t stay to hear their hero wrap it up. [Read more](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QFAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvdHJ1bXAtbm9ydGgtY2Fyb2xpbmEtcmFsbHktbGVhdmUtZWFybHktYjI2MzMxNDQuaHRtbD9saWQ9Y2N1cW5xZHB4Z2N2JnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~)   [The truth about whether ‘Nikki Haley Republicans’ can hand Kamala Harris a win](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0T_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvbmV3cy93b3JsZC9hbWVyaWNhcy91cy1wb2xpdGljcy9rYW1hbGEtaGFycmlzLW5pa2tpLWhhbGV5LXZvdGVycy1iMjYzNDQ4My5odG1sP2xpZD15bWU1c2UwbzN1NWgmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) [The truth about whether ‘Nikki Haley Republicans’ can hand Kamala Harris a win](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0T_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvbmV3cy93b3JsZC9hbWVyaWNhcy91cy1wb2xpdGljcy9rYW1hbGEtaGFycmlzLW5pa2tpLWhhbGV5LXZvdGVycy1iMjYzNDQ4My5odG1sP2xpZD1oNmpweThoYmRvNzAmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) Much has been said about the “Nikki Haley Republicans” - those traditional conservatives who Harris is actively courting, who voted for Haley in the Republican primary - and whether or not they can swing it for the Democrats. Harris has promised such GOP voters that she’d consider putting a Republican in her cabinet, and has campaigned this week with former Republican Liz Cheney whose career abruptly ended when she was voted against Trump on January 6. In this piece, [Eric Garcia](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0TDaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvYXV0aG9yL2VyaWMtZ2FyY2lhP2xpZD03ZHp3Z2U2NHJuOHgmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) examines how much truth there is to the claims about these voters swinging to Harris - and speaks to some of those voters directly. [Read more](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0T_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvbmV3cy93b3JsZC9hbWVyaWNhcy91cy1wb2xpdGljcy9rYW1hbGEtaGFycmlzLW5pa2tpLWhhbGV5LXZvdGVycy1iMjYzNDQ4My5odG1sP2xpZD01amZlbHpvdjZ4cGEmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj)   [‘He was pathetic and he could still win’: Republican strategist’s surprising insights on Trump v Harris](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QZAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLXByZWRpY3Rpb25zLWZyYW5rLWx1bnR6LXJlcHVibGljYW4tc3RyYXRlZ2lzdC1iMjYzMzU4MC5odG1sP2xpZD1mMmw0emxudXVxM3AmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) [‘He was pathetic and he could still win’: Republican strategist’s surprising insights on Trump v Harris](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QZAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLXByZWRpY3Rpb25zLWZyYW5rLWx1bnR6LXJlcHVibGljYW4tc3RyYXRlZ2lzdC1iMjYzMzU4MC5odG1sP2xpZD1mMjhkdThjaDRhaXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj) Frank Luntz is a right-leaning media strategist who specialises in election predictions. This week, at his palatial condo in Washington DC, he spoke with [Andrew Feinberg](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0THaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvYXV0aG9yL2FuZHJldy1mZWluYmVyZz9saWQ9eXhoNDdpd2xpanpvJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) and other journalists about why this election is still hard to call, and why he’s changed his mind on Harris’s chances. His summary of Trump? “He’s pathetic, and he still might win.” [Read more](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QZAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvaGFycmlzLXRydW1wLXByZWRpY3Rpb25zLWZyYW5rLWx1bnR6LXJlcHVibGljYW4tc3RyYXRlZ2lzdC1iMjYzMzU4MC5odG1sP2xpZD1xamVvZjBuM2ltMW8mdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fc291cmNlPWJyYXplJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1TdXBwb3J0ZXIgYWNxdWlzaXRpb24gLSBFbGVjdGlvbiBjb3VudGRvd24gRU0xIC0gMjYtMTAtMjAyNCZ1dG1fdGVybT1JTkRfTWFya2V0aW5nVwVzcGNldUIKZw4nCx1n1cBz7VIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAMj)   [‘More Republicans than you’ve seen vote for a Democrat in decades’: Inside the Harris campaign effort to turn red voters blue](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QIAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvcmVwdWJsaWNhbnMtYWdhaW5zdC10cnVtcC1oYXJyaXMtY2FtcGFpZ24tYjI2MzMwMTEuaHRtbD9saWQ9N3UxbzIwNTdxd2FiJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) [‘More Republicans than you’ve seen vote for a Democrat in decades’: Inside the Harris campaign effort to turn red voters blue](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QIAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvcmVwdWJsaWNhbnMtYWdhaW5zdC10cnVtcC1oYXJyaXMtY2FtcGFpZ24tYjI2MzMwMTEuaHRtbD9saWQ9czFoNmx5bWd5Nm1tJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) In a long-read feature, [Andrew Feinberg](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP0THaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW5kZXBlbmRlbnQuY28udWsvYXV0aG9yL2FuZHJldy1mZWluYmVyZz9saWQ9anU2bTFvZTVjMWV6JnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~) gives the inside scoop on Republicans Against Trump, a group that is currently touring the country in a gaudy bus and trying to convince conservatives not to pull the lever for the 45th president [Read more](~/AAAHagA~/RgRo_5AnP4QIAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGVwZW5kZW50LmNvLnVrL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYW1lcmljYXMvdXMtcG9saXRpY3MvcmVwdWJsaWNhbnMtYWdhaW5zdC10cnVtcC1oYXJyaXMtY2FtcGFpZ24tYjI2MzMwMTEuaHRtbD9saWQ9bHY0ZGhyZDM0bmUwJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1icmF6ZSZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249U3VwcG9ydGVyIGFjcXVpc2l0aW9uIC0gRWxlY3Rpb24gY291bnRkb3duIEVNMSAtIDI2LTEwLTIwMjQmdXRtX3Rlcm09SU5EX01hcmtldGluZ1cFc3BjZXVCCmcOJwsdZ9XAc-1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAADIw~~)   Not everyone can afford to contribute to this kind of journalism... 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