Don't Fear an Oil Selloff

[] Oil prices have again surged thanks to incredible demand across the globe, with U.S. crude remaining a must buy among nations like India and South Korea. Here’s how to trade it. [View in browser]( . Oil prices have again surged thanks to incredible demand across the globe, with U.S. crude remaining a must buy among nations like India and South Korea. Here’s how to trade it. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] Did This Tech Wiz Discover... The Perfect AAPL Trade? One reclusive tech genius used his powerful trade-testing software to perfect his system for trading AAPL. The results so far -- a 70% win rate and a 3-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio. [Click here to catch the recent reveal of the "Perfect" Apple Trade]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Did This Tech Wiz Discover... The Perfect AAPL Trade? One reclusive tech genius used his powerful trade-testing software to perfect his system for trading AAPL. The results so far -- a 70% win rate and a 3-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio. [Click here to catch the recent reveal of the "Perfect" Apple Trade]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Don't Fear an Oil Selloff [Garrett Pic]Dear Investor, If you've been following Godesburg's Haven Investment Letter, you know that I'm very bullish on oil prices. Since oil traded most recently in the $60s, I've been calling for $100 per barrel of oil. I've noticed a number of Wall Street firms joining the chorus over the last few weeks. With West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbing past $92 this morning, investors are wondering WHEN and not IF WTI crude prices will hit the triple-digit level for the first time since 2014. That price level should come in the months ahead. WTI - the benchmark for US crude in New York - remains in very high demand around the world due to its "sweeter" ingredients. What I mean by sweeter is that WTI has less sulfur and is thus easier to refine and process. Nations like India and South Korea have been ramping up imports from the US to meet their rising demand due to the lifting of COVID restrictions and demographic shifts. It's worth noting, however, that US crude prices are overheated. In December 2021 - yes less than 60 days ago - WTI traded under $70 per barrel. This surge has been nothing short of spectacular. Even though investors are raking in profits right now... I urge some caution at these levels. As I eye a few producers like Marathon Oil (MRO), their stocks have high Relative Strength Indices (RSI), signaling overbought territory. This is a BIG RED FLAG if you're an investor or a trader. Market momentum on more than 8,500 stocks has been negative since January 12. The energy sector - meanwhile - has been the ONLY S&P 500 sector (of 11) that has maintained positive capital flows and price strength since that time. A selloff appears possible just because investors want to take profits off the table in a market that continues to bleed across the tech, semiconductor, and other “expensive” sectors. If you own any energy stocks, here's what I recommend that you do... A Contrarian Sign With WTI's climb above $90 this week AND the recent price calls of $100 by several Wall Street banks, I'm willing to take any odds that tomorrow's Barron's reports on this as their FIRST or SECOND top story (the other being the jobs report and near confirmation of a rate hike coming in March by the Fed). If Barron's is telling you "how to invest for higher oil prices" - you can bet that the trade will be taking a time out for a little while. And - thus - profit taking might be in the cards. By that point - the trade is largely expired, and you have to poke around for some value. If you own any of the companies that have benefited from a BIG surge (think Exxon, Chevron, Marathon, Devon Energy, Diamondback etc.) and you have at least 100 shares, take a look at the stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI). Remember, an RSI over 70 signals that the stock is overbought. If you have a stock like MRO that has a high RSI, consider selling some covered calls on the stock. You sell a call option at a higher price - giving another trader the RIGHT, but not the obligation to purchase the stock from you should it reach that strike price. Here's an example. How to Trade Elevated Oil Stocks Let's say that you own 100 shares of MRO at $21.58 today. You could sell the $22.50 call for February 11, 2022 - which is two legs up in the options chain and out of the money - for $.30 - or $30. Now this means that your breakeven price - for NEXT FRIDAY - is $22.80. That means on your 100 shares, the stock would need to go up another 4.2% before the contract could be executed. And it would need to jump another $1.22 (or $122) or another 5.6% before it passes your “breakeven” level. That's a pretty sound trade that allows you to take advantage of higher volatility and a big surge in the stock's underlying price in recent weeks. Even better, there's little downside. The worst case scenario is that the stock GOES UP, you sell your shares to the person who bought the calls, and you MAKE money. If the stock never reaches that level, you get to pocket the difference. Use this situation to your advantage, and use this strategy on a weekly basis while volatility remains elevated. Have a great weekend [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Don't Fear an Oil Selloff [Garrett Pic]Dear Investor, If you've been following Godesburg's Haven Investment Letter, you know that I'm very bullish on oil prices. Since oil traded most recently in the $60s, I've been calling for $100 per barrel of oil. I've noticed a number of Wall Street firms joining the chorus over the last few weeks. With West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbing past $92 this morning, investors are wondering WHEN and not IF WTI crude prices will hit the triple-digit level for the first time since 2014. That price level should come in the months ahead. WTI - the benchmark for US crude in New York - remains in very high demand around the world due to its "sweeter" ingredients. What I mean by sweeter is that WTI has less sulfur and is thus easier to refine and process. Nations like India and South Korea have been ramping up imports from the US to meet their rising demand due to the lifting of COVID restrictions and demographic shifts. It's worth noting, however, that US crude prices are overheated. In December 2021 - yes less than 60 days ago - WTI traded under $70 per barrel. This surge has been nothing short of spectacular. Even though investors are raking in profits right now... I urge some caution at these levels. As I eye a few producers like Marathon Oil (MRO), their stocks have high Relative Strength Indices (RSI), signaling overbought territory. This is a BIG RED FLAG if you're an investor or a trader. Market momentum on more than 8,500 stocks has been negative since January 12. The energy sector - meanwhile - has been the ONLY S&P 500 sector (of 11) that has maintained positive capital flows and price strength since that time. A selloff appears possible just because investors want to take profits off the table in a market that continues to bleed across the tech, semiconductor, and other “expensive” sectors. If you own any energy stocks, here's what I recommend that you do... A Contrarian Sign With WTI's climb above $90 this week AND the recent price calls of $100 by several Wall Street banks, I'm willing to take any odds that tomorrow's Barron's reports on this as their FIRST or SECOND top story (the other being the jobs report and near confirmation of a rate hike coming in March by the Fed). If Barron's is telling you "how to invest for higher oil prices" - you can bet that the trade will be taking a time out for a little while. And - thus - profit taking might be in the cards. By that point - the trade is largely expired, and you have to poke around for some value. If you own any of the companies that have benefited from a BIG surge (think Exxon, Chevron, Marathon, Devon Energy, Diamondback etc.) and you have at least 100 shares, take a look at the stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI). Remember, an RSI over 70 signals that the stock is overbought. If you have a stock like MRO that has a high RSI, consider selling some covered calls on the stock. You sell a call option at a higher price - giving another trader the RIGHT, but not the obligation to purchase the stock from you should it reach that strike price. Here's an example. How to Trade Elevated Oil Stocks Let's say that you own 100 shares of MRO at $21.58 today. You could sell the $22.50 call for February 11, 2022 - which is two legs up in the options chain and out of the money - for $.30 - or $30. Now this means that your breakeven price - for NEXT FRIDAY - is $22.80. That means on your 100 shares, the stock would need to go up another 4.2% before the contract could be executed. And it would need to jump another $1.22 (or $122) or another 5.6% before it passes your “breakeven” level. That's a pretty sound trade that allows you to take advantage of higher volatility and a big surge in the stock's underlying price in recent weeks. Even better, there's little downside. The worst case scenario is that the stock GOES UP, you sell your shares to the person who bought the calls, and you MAKE money. If the stock never reaches that level, you get to pocket the difference. Use this situation to your advantage, and use this strategy on a weekly basis while volatility remains elevated. Have a great weekend [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] If you’re trading everyday, and tired of wasting hours looking for the perfect trade setup, while your account hemorrhages money, then KEEP READING… This could change EVERYTHING. 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DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: [{EMAIL}](mailto:) [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2021 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: [{EMAIL}](mailto:) [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States