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Should we really go faster on AI?

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Tue, Sep 24, 2024 11:01 AM

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Plus, what the AI governance conversation misses. SEPTEMBER 24, 2024 | | ? ?

Plus, what the AI governance conversation misses. SEPTEMBER 24, 2024  |  [VIEW IN BROWSER](  |  [SUBSCRIBE](     A photo taken on February 26, 2024 shows the logo of the Artificial Intelligence chat application on a smartphone screen and and the letters AI on a laptop screen in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany. Kirill Kudryavstev / AFP ChatGPT hasn’t even been out in the world for two years, but already the conventional wisdom around the artificial intelligence that drives it is hardening. One such shibboleth comes from fear that eventually, humans might construct intelligent machines that could turn against us. It’s true that most of the near- and mid-term risks of AI hinge on malicious human actions, writes James Arroyo of the Ditchley Foundation in his argument “[The Least Risky AI Strategy Is a Bold One](.” But only “the most privileged could imagine pausing at our current state of technological development as an attractive option,” Arroyo argues. In fact, we owe it to “those most threatened by terrorism, war, and famine to go forward faster” in AI development, he writes. This month’s United Nations General Assembly meetings in New York will feature AI as a key theme. Yet, according to Rumman Chowdhury, a U.S. science envoy for AI, another common mistake in discussions of AI is to focus only on enhancing digital access and capability—rather than developing safeguards and ensuring responsible deployment. In “[What the Global AI Governance Conversation Misses](,” Chowdhury writes, “We must view global-majority adoption not just as an opportunity to accelerate their progress but as a chance to avoid repeating our own mistakes.” Global corporate players are already lamenting the fragmentation of AI regulation. They say this will deprive users of valuable services or at least increase consumer costs. But while it’s true that regulatory diversity leads to higher transaction costs, this is an “analytically flawed” approach to AI regulation, according to Oxford’s Viktor Mayer-Schönberger and Urs Gasser of the Technical University Munich. In “[A Realist Perspective on AI Regulation](,” Mayer-Schönberger and Gasser argue that a bit of a mess when it comes to regulating AI is not only OK but to be expected. The professors outline why AI is an inherently difficult technology to manage and govern and suggest that the benefits of harmonization only occur when everyone can agree on a regulatory goal or goals. “For regulating AI, the presence of this premise is unclear,” Mayer-Schönberger and Gasser write. Still, “[c]ollecting good ideas, sharing them with others, and learning from the experiences of others may be costly but far likely to be more successful in the long term.” There are more perspectives from leading experts on the technology of our time coming very soon, so watch the FP website.—Amelia Lester, deputy editor   Polls, Predictions, and Perspectives. [Stay ahead of the U.S. elections with expert anlayses.](   New and Noteworthy - U.S.-China ‘Cold War’: “Whether Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris wins the election in November, U.S. policy toward China is guaranteed to remain hawkish,” FP’s Lili Pike writes. Foreign Policy spoke to more than 10 U.S. officials and China experts to understand [where U.S. policy might be heading](. - Nuclear Weapons Club: “[B]efore jumping on the proliferation bandwagon, policymakers in Washington and Seoul should consider [five critical questions]( that are being ignored today,” Toby Dalton and George Perkovich write. - Silicon Valley Hasn’t Revolutionized Warfare—Yet: Commercial technology has started to find [more ways into military missions](, reminiscent of a time when the “wall between the Pentagon and Silicon Valley wasn’t always so high,” Sam Winter-Levy writes.   [FP Live]( [Inside the U.N. General Assembly]( Sep. 24 | 11 a.m. EDT As world leaders congregate at the United Nations for annual meetings this week, they will find a global body increasingly paralyzed by disagreements between big powers. Is the U.N. too divided to be effective? Do proposals for reform have any chance of advancing? Join FP Live for a discussion with veteran U.N. watcher Richard Gowan to explore the future of decision-making on the Palestinians, Ukraine, and other key issues. [Register now](. [NATO’s Future]( On Demand After a decade of serving as NATO’s secretary-general, Jens Stoltenberg will step down in October. Tune in to an exit interview with FP’s Ravi Agrawal as they discuss the latest on Ukraine, NATO funding, his legacy, and the future of the world’s largest military alliance. [Join FP]( to [watch]( the on-demand conversation or [read]( the edited transcript. [H.R. McMaster on America’s Foreign-Policy Choices]( On DemandH.R. McMaster served as former President Donald Trump’s national security advisor for all of 13 months. In a new book, At War With Ourselves, he candidly describes his old boss’s foreign-policy foibles. But McMaster is also critical of the Biden administration, particularly how it has handled Afghanistan and Iran. McMaster joined FP Live to describe how he assesses global crises and what the White House needs to do to combat them. [Join FP]( to unlock the [on-demand conversation]( or [edited transcript](.   FROM FP [Free pop-up newsletter sign-up]() The 79th session of the U.N. General Assembly is in full swing. [Situation Report](—Foreign Policy’s security- and defense-focused newsletter—is on the ground and in the rooms where decisions are being made this week. Get breaking news and a behind-the-scenes look at one of the most consequential gatherings of the year with this special pop-up edition of SitRep, with daily editions from Sept. 23 to 26. [SIGN UP]()   Exercise Your Mind An attack carried out by an affiliate of al Qaeda on Tuesday targeted a police training academy and an airport in the capital of which West African nation? A. Burkina Faso B. Ghana C. Mali D. Niger You can find the answer to this question and learn more at the end of this email.   [This Week: FP @ UNGA79]( Whether in-person in NYC or virtually, save your seat at the 79th United Nations General Assembly. FP has gathered geopolitical experts and leaders this week for frank discussions around resolving global issues, including food and security crises, advanced technological threats, health emergencies, and green energy needs. [Explore]( the list of events and speakers. [AI for Healthy Cities]( Sept. 24 | 12:30 p.m. EDT | The Westin Grand Central, NYC [Her Power @ UNGA79]( Sept. 24 | 4:30 p.m. EDT | Mastercard Tech Hub, NYC & Virtual [FP Tech Forum @ UNGA79]( Sept. 25 | 8:30 a.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual [From Risk to Resilience]( Sept. 25 | 11:30 a.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual [FP Health Forum @ UNGA79]( Sept. 25 | 1:00 p.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual [FP Energy Forum @ UNGA79]( Sept. 26 | 8:30 a.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual [Food+ @ UNGA79]( Sept. 26 | 12:30 p.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual [The Catch @ UNGA79](Sept. 26 | 4:30 p.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual [Counterpoint @ UNGA79](Sept. 26 | 6:30 p.m. EDT | Rockefeller Center, NYC & Virtual   Most Popular [Smoke billows from a site targeted by Israeli shelling in the southern Lebanese village of Zaita on Sept. 23.]( [Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?]( [The militant group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities.]( [By Hanin Ghaddar]( [A Course Correction on National Security]( [The next president will need to embark on a radically different path from the past two administrations.]( [By Jane Harman, Eric S. Edelman]( [An Orthodox priest collects fallen religious objects as others clear up glass and debris inside Holy Intercession Cathedral following a Russian missile strike in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, on Oct. 18, 2023. ]( [After Centuries, Ukraine Cuts Religious Ties With Russia]( [But implementing the new ban on Russia-linked churches could get messy.]( [By Alexey Kovalev]( [Newly elected Uskudar Mayor Sinem Dedetas meets with local residents in Istanbul on April 4. ]( [The New Face of Turkey’s Opposition]( [In Istanbul’s most conservative borough, a secular woman is charting the path to a post-Erdogan future.]( [By Joshua Levkowitz]( [Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?]( The militant group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities. By Hanin Ghaddar [A Course Correction on National Security]([The next president will need to embark on a radically different path from the past two administrations.]( [By Jane Harman, Eric S. Edelman]( [After Centuries, Ukraine Cuts Religious Ties With Russia]([But implementing the new ban on Russia-linked churches could get messy.]( [By Alexey Kovalev]( [The New Face of Turkey’s Opposition]([In Istanbul’s most conservative borough, a secular woman is charting the path to a post-Erdogan future.]( [By Joshua Levkowitz](   From Around FP - Keep up with the elections: There’s never been a better time to read FP. From expert [insights and analysis]( on America’s future to the [Fall 2024 print issue](, featuring advice from top geopolitical thinkers for U.S. voters and the next White House, lean on our trusted coverage to stay ahead of the polls. [Subscribe today](. - FP @COP29: Be the first to [reserve your spot]( at COP29. Join us in November for a series of roundtables and public briefings with leaders across government, industry, civil society, and more to advance collective action and address climate change. - Explore new episodes: On Season 4 of [The Catch](, global fishing communities share more about the major global and environment shifts they face—and how they’re adapting. Catch up on the latest episode on [Apple](, [Spotify](, or the platform of your choice.   Are you interested in learning more about FP Analytics’ cutting-edge research services, hosting an FP Virtual Dialogue event, or building a podcast with FP Studios? [Explore partnership opportunities](. Answer: C. Mali. Competing foreign actors’ interventions in Mali have added another dangerous layer to the country’s already complicated security situation, John A. Lechner, Sergey Eledinov, and Adam Sandor [write](. [Unlock the magazine—and so much more]( Subscribe to FP to unlock all expert insights in the Fall 2024 magazine, out now, alongside daily reports, in-depth newsletters, and more. [JOIN FP](   [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Instagram]( [LinkedIn]( You’re receiving this email at {EMAIL} because you signed up for FP's This Week newsletter. [MANAGE YOUR EMAIL PREFERENCES]( | [VIEW OUR PRIVACY POLICY]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( Interested in partnering with FP on events, podcasts, or research? [Explore FP Solutions](. [Foreign Policy]( is a division of Graham Holdings Company. All contents © 2023 Graham Digital Holding Company LLC. All rights reserved. Foreign Policy, 655 15th St NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC, 20005.

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