FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

[FiveThirtyEight]( Popular in Politics Thursday, September, 21, 2023 [1. Democrats have been winning big in special elections]( [Democrats have been winning big in special elections]( Democrats just scored a big win in an election on Tuesday: Democrat Hal Rafter defeated Republican James Guzofski 56 percent to 44 percent in a special election to fill a Republican-held seat in the New Hampshire state House. Assuming Democrats win [another special election]( in November in a solidly blue seat, Rafter’s win means the New Hampshire state House will be tied at 198 Republicans and 198 Democrats (with two independents and two seats still vacant). On paper, that will end full Republican control of New Hampshire state government. (In practice, whoever controls the House could change by the day depending on legislator absences.) [Read more]( [2. Would Trump pick a vice president from his primary opponents?]( [Would Trump pick a vice president from his primary opponents?]( South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem’s latest overture to former President [Donald Trump]( — [endorsing his 2024 presidential campaign]( at a rally in her home state — led to a [flurry of speculation]( that Trump would pick Noem to be his vice president if he becomes the Republican nominee. However, the densest concentration of Trump’s potential running mates is not in South Dakota, but sprawled across Iowa and New Hampshire. [Read more]( [3. Welcome to the new 538 website]( [Welcome to the new 538 website]( Welcome to the new home of 538! Starting today, Sept. 18, 538 content will be published at a new vertical on the ABC News website, [www.abcnews.com/538]( where we will be focusing on coverage of elections, politics and American society. [Read more]( [4. What Americans think of the Biden impeachment inquiry]( [What Americans think of the Biden impeachment inquiry]( Welcome to [Pollapalooza]( our weekly-ish polling roundup. [Read more]( [5. Why 'Bidenomics' isn't working for Biden]( [Why 'Bidenomics' isn't working for Biden]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s [politics chat](. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe](