FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

[FiveThirtyEight]( Popular in Politics Thursday, April, 04, 2024 [1. See how demographic swings could impact the 2024 election]( [See how demographic swings could impact the 2024 election]( Early polling and special election results have [raised many questions]( about how the electorate might vote come November. Will younger voters [swing sharply to the right]( Might President Joe Biden [gain more ground]( among white college-educated voters? Has former President Donald Trump [made significant inroads with voters of color]( Could turnout plummet [because of unhappiness]( with a Biden-Trump rematch? Any of these developments could potentially change who wins the election. [Read more]( [2. Have Americans ever hated two candidates as much as Biden and Trump?]( [Have Americans ever hated two candidates as much as Biden and Trump?]( Shocking news: Americans are not jazzed about their choices in the 2024 presidential election. According to 538’s averages,* only 43 percent of Americans have a [favorable opinion of former President Donald Trump]( while 53 percent have an unfavorable opinion. And only 40 percent of Americans have a [favorable opinion of President Joe Biden]( 55 percent have an unfavorable one. [Read more]( [3. When will Trump make his VP pick?]( [When will Trump make his VP pick?]( Now that the presidential primaries are over, one question is on everybody’s lips: Whom will Republicans nominate for vice president? Unfortunately, former President Donald Trump’s campaign hasn’t been cc-ing me on its internal strategy emails, so your guess is as good as mine on that one (although I recommend [our recent politics chat]( for some informed speculation). But I might have an answer for you on when Trump will announce his running mate. [Read more]( [4. Could Larry Hogan turn a blue Senate seat red in Maryland?]( [Could Larry Hogan turn a blue Senate seat red in Maryland?]( Could a Republican win a U.S. Senate seat in Maryland? Usually, the answer would be no: The state is one of the bluest in the country, and a Republican [hasn't won a Senate election there since 1980](. But the last Republican to win statewide office in the Old Line State is looking to buck partisan forces again. Last month, former Gov. Larry Hogan [announced a campaign]( for the seat [held by retiring]( Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin, which has unexpectedly added Maryland to the list of potentially competitive Senate races in 2024. [Read more]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe](