💔 Google's torn up

Google's potential breakup, lighter-than-expected US inflation, Nvidia's upcoming earnings, and a 3D-printed neighborhood | [Finimize](   TOGETHER WITH     Hi {NAME}, here's what you need to know for August 15th in 3:13 minutes.   😎 Modern investors have access to more opportunities than ever before. So join us for [Make More Out Of Your Portfolio With US-Listed Options]( in September, and find out how to make the most of them. [Grab your free ticket]( Today's big stories - Google’s in hot water over its monopoly, and it’s Android and Chrome in the firing line - It’s tempting to try to time the market, but here’s a smarter approach – [Read Now]( - US inflation came in lower than predicted last month, cementing the view that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month The Heartbreak Kid [The Heartbreak Kid] What’s going on here? The US is [flirting]( with a rare antitrust breakup, and it’s Google looking unlucky in love. What does this mean? A landmark court [ruling]( earlier this month declared Google’s search monopoly illegal – and now, the US Justice Department is considering breaking up the company. That’s a big deal: it’d mark the first serious attempt to dismantle a company for illegal monopolization since its failed effort to split up Microsoft two decades ago. If this breakup actually happens, Android – which powers 2.5 billion devices worldwide – and Chrome will likely be the first things thrown on the front lawn. And whether Google stays intact or not, the government will probably outlaw the company’s exclusive contracts – the foundation of its earlier case. Why should I care? For markets: The butterfly effect. Google has been paying up to $26 billion to keep its search engine the default on devices. And Apple has been gobbling up $20 billion of that, so it’s in line to feel the pinch. Although in the long term, Google’s setback could let Apple steal a march in the mobile market by reinforcing its privacy-focused brand and getting its hands on more valuable data. But it’s not like Google doesn’t have options. The firm currently scoops up 16 times more data than its closest competitors, so it could break the stranglehold – hopefully keeping regulators happy – by selling or licensing that intel to its rivals. The bigger picture: The times, they are a-changin’. The US stock market has been largely driven by a few huge companies – hello, Magnificent Seven – recently. But with regulators getting wise to Big Tech’s disproportionate power, the likes of Google, Meta, and Apple are all fighting crackdowns. That could have a drastic impact on their business models, so investors need to question whether these behemoths can ride out this rocky patch and maintain their hot streak. You might also like: [This big issue could have big tech running into a wall.]( Copy to share story: [( 🙋 [Ask a question](mailto:questions@finimize.com?body=Ask us a question: Where are you writing from? Let us know and we'll mention it when we reply.&noapp=true&subject=The Heartbreak Kid&utm_campaign=daily-global-15-08-2024&utm_source=email) 📈 chart of the day [Nvidia Price Chart With Metrics]( [Nvidia]( has developed a habit of turning up late. So while most companies have already handed in their quarterly results, the chip whizz is set to report its [quarterly earnings]( after the US market closes on August 28th. Make sure you're prepared: [here's how to value Nvidia ahead of its anticipated earnings update](. Analyst Take Trying To Time The Market Is For Fools: Here’s What You Should Be Doing Instead [Trying To Time The Market Is For Fools: Here’s What You Should Be Doing Instead]( [Photo of Reda Farran, CFA] Reda Farran, CFA, Analyst If you’d sold every one of your stocks just before the August 5th market rout, and then heroically bought back in later that day as each one hit their lowest ebb, you’d have added a [pretty penny]( to your portfolio. But, well, you didn’t. (None of us [did](.) And, frankly, as tempting as it might be to try to [time the market]( to perfection like that, the truth is, it’s usually a recipe for losses. That’s today’s Insight: [instead of trying to time the market, do this](. [Read or listen to the Insight here]( SPONSORED BY IG Master US-listed options trading for free – no matter your experience level You’re reading this, so it’s safe to assume that you like staying up to date with the market. But if you have your own projections, stocks and ETFs may only get you so far. Options, on the other hand, give you the chance to [benefit from a price move in either direction](. You can take out an [options contract]( to secure the option – not the obligation – to buy or sell an asset at a predefined price and a predefined time and date. So if you want to hone your skills without paying a buck, [check out the free course today](. [Find Out More]( Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You could lose more than your original investment. When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that. If you want your brand featured here, [get in touch.]( Chilled Out [Chilled Out] What’s going on here? US inflation unexpectedly [cooled]( down last month, so forgive investors for noticing a newfound feeling of calm rush over them. What does this mean? Data earlier this week showed US producer prices, which reflect what factories charge wholesalers for products, [rose]( by less than expected last month. And since those costs are usually passed onto customers, that left investors feeling quietly optimistic ahead of the consumer prices report. They weren’t disappointed: stateside inflation ticked down slightly in July, defying economists’ predictions for a flat reading and landing at 2.9%. That marks the first time the rate has fallen below 3% since March 2021, when inflation started ramping up. So traders have stuck to their guns, banking on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to make its first post-pandemic rate cut next month. Why should I care? For markets: Striking a balance. The US is crying out for a rate adjustment. Interest rates have been at a 23-year high for the past 12 months, which has brought inflation closer to the Fed’s target. Problem is, recent data suggests those rates might’ve weighed on the world’s biggest economy more than hoped. And investors seem to be bracing for a less-than-desirable outcome: Goldman Sachs research shows that the market-implied odds of an economic downturn have risen over the past few months. More specifically, stocks and bonds are now assigning a 41% probability of a US recession, up from 29% in April. Zooming out: Across the pond. Over in Blighty, investors had a win of their own. Data showed that UK inflation rose by less than economists and the Bank of England (BoE) had expected last month. Even better, core inflation – which scrubs out especially volatile food and energy prices – fell to its lowest level since September 2021. That pushed traders to double down on their bets that the BoE will continue to lower interest rates this year, following its cut earlier this month. You might also like: [An eerily accurate US recession indicator is sounding the alarm.]( Copy to share story: [( 🙋 [Ask a question](mailto:questions@finimize.com?body=Ask us a question: Where are you writing from? Let us know and we'll mention it when we reply.&noapp=true&subject=Chilled Out&utm_campaign=daily-global-15-08-2024&utm_source=email) 💬 Quote of the day "If you're going to do something tonight that you'll be sorry for tomorrow, sleep late." – Henry Youngman (a British-American comedian and musician) [Tweet this]( 🎶 Be our guest You could attend our [Modern Investor Summit]( this December. It would be a ball: you'd be hanging out with like-minded investors, participating in [live-and-direct Q&As]( with industry leaders, and listening to [keynote speeches]( from the likes of last year's speaker Jamie Dimon. Or you could be one of the experts. If you know your stuff and want to help this generation of modern investors develop their skills, [talk to us about speaker slots](. 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