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Inflation Regurgitated

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energyandcapital.com

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newsletter@energyandcapital.com

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Tue, Aug 15, 2023 05:10 PM

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Per last week’s CPI report, inflation has dropped from over 9% to 3.2%. However, the core infla

Per last week’s CPI report, inflation has dropped from over 9% to 3.2%. However, the core inflation number, which is near 5%, hasn’t dropped as quickly. [Energy and Capital Header] Practical Investment Analysis for the New Energy Economy Inflation Regurgitated Christian DeHaemer | Aug 15, 2023 I spent the weekend in Bethany Beach, Delaware, with my extended family. Bethany is a typical East Coast beach town, although it's a bit more modern and upscale than most. Ocean-front houses are to be had for $6.9 million, and teardowns off the beach go for about a million and a half. On weekends, you will find the D.C. lobbyists and other assorted Beltway bandits at the crab houses or taking their kids for frozen custard on the boardwalk. My niece, who graduated from college in May, was talking about how her job was put on hold due to the writers strike. She majored in television production or something along those lines. My brother, who happens to work for UPS, was delayed a day due to the fallout from the teamster strike. And today’s news is that the United Auto Workers are threatening to strike when their contract ends on September 14. “A lot of strikes these days,” I commented as we sat around the picnic table, sipping lemonade on the screened porch. “It’s inflation,” my father replied. “The companies are hard-pressed with rising costs and don't want to give out wage increases. And the workers feel that everything is getting more expensive and their paychecks are not keeping up. And so they fight.” “Copy, Paste, and Profit” Method Beats the Market by 70x It only takes 10 minutes each week to use this "Copy, Paste, and Profit" strategy... But if you stick to these easy steps, you could come ridiculously close to matching the gains of the world's best money managers... Easily outperforming the returns your financial adviser could deliver by leaps and bounds.[Discover this “Copy, Paste, and Profit” secret here.]( That is as good as any definition of what economists call a “wage price spiral.” Wall Street The current Wall Street narrative is that the Federal Reserve started raising rates last year to fight inflation — and it worked. Yes, rates are high, but inflation has dropped from over 9% to 3.2% as reported last week in the CPI report. The market went up in response to the news. The problem with this story is that we are talking about the headline number. Yes, it peaked in June 2022 and has since fallen. However, the core inflation number, which is near 5%, hasn’t dropped as quickly. The core number excludes food and energy, which, by the way, are going back up again. WTI is now over $80 and climbing. Gas prices are over $4 a gallon. A hamburger in a restaurant is commonly over $15 and heading to $20. Milton Friedman said inflation is always and everywhere a monetary problem. During the COVID lockdowns, our government printed and spent $10 trillion. Tiny Stock Has 264 Patents on Groundbreaking AI Tech A little-known AI tech is becoming critical to the operations of 94% of corporations... It’s projected to be in nine out of every 10 cars by 2028... And is already essential to the workflow of 80% of hospitals. Which is the real reason why Bill Gates bet an enormous $20 billion on this AI niche... double what he invested in ChatGPT. Yet one tiny company already holds 264 ironclad patents on this tech. And it's lined up to hand savvy investors like you 5,300% profits. [Click here for the full story.]( This was followed up in March 2022 by a $2 trillion spending bill called the Inflation Reduction Act, a name that only makes sense when you realize that all bills coming out of Washington are named for the exact opposite of what they accomplish. See the Patriot Act, Affordable Care Act, etc. This brings us to a chart put out by Bloomberg. Like most things, inflation doesn't move up and down in a straight line. This chart shows inflation from 1966–1982 overlaid with inflation from the past 10 years. [CPI] Inflation seemed to be under control in 1976 but then took off again. It was finally brought under control when the Fed raised rates to 20% in 1980. This broke the economy and loosened the labor market, thus ending the wage price spiral. It is possible we are headed this way again. One inflation hedge is gold. In 1970, the price of gold was $36 an ounce. In 1980, it topped out at about $915 an ounce. All the best, [Christian DeHaemer Signature] Christian DeHaemer [[follow basic]Check us out on YouTube!]( Christian is the founder of [Bull and Bust Report]( and an editor at [Energy and Capital](. For more on Christian, see his editor's [page](. [Fb]( [Li]( [Tw]( This email was sent to {EMAIL}. You can manage your subscription and get our privacy policy [here](. Energy and Capital, Copyright © 3 East Read Street, Baltimore, MD 21202. Please note: It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you're getting this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, get more info [here]( including our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. If you are interested in our other publications, please call our customer service team at [1-877-303-4529](tel:/18773034529).

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