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2022 Predictions: How Did I Do?

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energyandcapital.com

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Tue, Dec 20, 2022 09:14 PM

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It’s that time of year when market analyst Christian DeHaemer goes though the economic predicti

It’s that time of year when market analyst Christian DeHaemer goes though the economic predictions he made last year to see if he was right. [Energy and Capital Header] Practical Investment Analysis for the New Energy Economy 2022 Predictions: How Did I Do? Christian DeHaemer | Dec 20, 2022 It’s that time of year when I go though the economic predictions I made last year to see if I was right. Next week, I’ll put out more absurd predictions for 2023. Here is what I wrote last December; predictions-wise, it's a mixed bag: -  2022 will be the year that blockchain starts to become workable. Games, sports gambling, and financials will make huge strides forward. Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) and POSaBIT (OTCMKTS: POSAF) will be big stock winners. Coinbase got killed and is down about 75%. POSaBIT has held up pretty well considering it's a blockchain stock. It's down about 22%. Many large companies and some countries are using blockchain in areas big and small. Despite the sell-off of individual coins, the technology is being put into practice albeit at a modest pace. - The price of housing will continue to go up. Demographics indicate that the huge bulge in millennials hitting their prime nesting years means demand for housing will remain strong. Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) and Lennar (NYSE: LEN) will beat the market. According to Redfin, housing prices are up 2.9% year to date. The number of homes sold is down 37%. Lennar beat the S&P 500 by a few points; Toll Brothers did not. - COVID will finally burn itself out by late winter/early spring. The ruling class will attempt to keep it alive until the midterms in November. Moderna (NASDAQ: MRNA) and Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) will underperform. That’s pretty much what happened. These stocks are down about 17%, but the market is down more.  Waiting to Catch the Next Bull Market? What if I told you there was [a reliable way]( you could pinpoint the next bull market? You see, for the past 50 years, technology has carried even bear markets into epic bull runs. But today’s tech has gone far too stale to save the market this time... And Big Tech is no longer a reliable indicator of a coming bull run. Now, this new strategy I’m ready to tell you about involves one key figure that the Federal Reserve cares about most... And by tracking it, we’ll know the exact moment the market will enter a new bull run. [Let me show you how you can also use this strategy to make a killing in this market.]( - Tourism stocks that don’t rely on cheap oil will benefit in rebound 2.0 — buy hotels, not airlines. Hotels have beat the market by about 15%. - Queen Elizabeth of England will die. The new king Charles' farcical bumbling coupled with the other twits around the throne will renew calls for the abolishment of the monarchy. This will lead to a buying opportunity on the LSE. Well, I got this one right. It could be the right time to buy some U.K. stocks if you are a contrarian. - You will get COVID and not bother getting tested. That happened. True. - Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) will continue to beat the market. Nope. - China’s continued crackdown on its best and brightest will lead to a famous defector. Companies will continue to move factories back to the United States to shorten supply chains and be closer to cheap energy. No famous defector, but crackdowns continued for most of the year. Supply chains moved to the U.S. and Mexico in a big way. In fact, I am very bullish on Mexico replacing much of Chinese manufacturing. I’ve written about it in [a free report you can access here](. - Oil and gas services like Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) will soar as fracking gets back on track. Halliburton has almost doubled. $6 Billion in Funding Going to a Single Company? Biden has been dishing out funding as if these are his last days on Earth. He’s handed out more than $2 trillion in funding during his first few years in office. One of his biggest goals is to develop the future of energy. Shockingly, it has nothing to do with fossil fuels OR renewables. A full $6 billion is headed to an industry dominated by one tiny Virginia-based company. A few critical patent approvals means very few others are on the shortlist. And early investors in this game-changing technology could reap a massive windfall. [You need to immediately check this one out for yourself.]( - Natural gas exporters will see a demand spike/share price surge in February as Europe gets hit with the full force of its absurd energy policies. Share prices will slide in the spring. Cheniere Energy's (NYSEAMERICAN: LNG) share price more than doubled this year before selling off a bit over the last month. - Automobiles will continue to be in short supply, and ordering new cars from the factory and waiting a few months for delivery will become the norm. This was true in the first half of the year, but the auto market is now oversupplied with used cars. The high-end G-Wagons by Mercedes, a favorite of crypto bros, have huge discounts. - Powerboats and RVs will flood the market as the price of upkeep and gasoline, as well as rising interest rates, force 2020 COVID buyers to reconsider their choices. Thor Industries just reported a 22% decline in revenue. Towable RVs declined by 41.2%. RV registrations fell 23% in October. Denison Yachting reported that boat sales were down 9% in the U.S. and 19% in Asia last quarter. - Coal demand in China will continue to increase, counteracting the reduction of coal power elsewhere. Coal use just hit record highs. Are You Sick of Market Crashes Gutting Your Retirement Account? There’s a way to flip the market carnage into a legal fortune…Without shorting a single stock…And without touching options, cryptos, or “meme" stocks. This radical “blueprint'' could help anyone turn $500 into $1.2 million in under a year. [For more details, go here now.]( - The Federal Reserve will hike rates three times. The Fed has hiked seven times this year. The fed funds rate is at 4.5% — the highest it's been in 15 years. - This will cause a two-month sell-off of speculative stocks. Two months, 12 months — it’s semantics, really. - Dividend and defensive stocks will outperform. This is true. Companies like Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) and Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) are up for the year, as are utilities. - The Baltimore Orioles will lose 101 games. The mighty Orioles went 83-79-0, a winning record. How about that? That was one I was happy to get wrong. That wasn't too bad, as far as predictions go. More were correct than wrong. Next week, I’ll offer up some more ideas: the savvy, the foolhardy, and the ridiculous, plus my big three trends for 2023. All the best, [Christian DeHaemer Signature] Christian DeHaemer [[follow basic]Check us out on YouTube!]( Christian is the founder of [Bull and Bust Report]( and an editor at [Energy and Capital](. For more on Christian, see his editor's [page](. [Fb]( [Li]( [Tw]( This email was sent to {EMAIL}. You can manage your subscription and get our privacy policy [here](. Energy and Capital, Copyright © 3 East Read Street, Baltimore, MD 21202. Please note: It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you're getting this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, get more info [here]( including our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. If you are interested in our other publications, please call our customer service team at [1-877-303-4529](tel:/18773034529).

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