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Oil Outlook 2020: COVID-19 Edition

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Wed, Apr 22, 2020 07:14 PM

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It was a simpler time then, when a barrel of WTI was trading for $63 apiece, and production was humm

It was a simpler time then, when a barrel of WTI was trading for $63 apiece, and production was humming around 12.1 million barrels per day here in the U.S. Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl updates investors on what to expect from oil in 2020, and one safe haven for investors hunting profits during this pandemic. [Energy and Capital logo] Oil Outlook 2020: COVID-19 Edition [Keith Kohl Photo] By [Keith Kohl]( Written Apr. 22, 2020 What a difference a year makes. It was a simpler time then, when a barrel of WTI was trading for $63 apiece, and production was humming around 12.1 million barrels per day here in the U.S. The biggest question looming over us at the time was, “Just how high will it get?” After all, our tight oil output had been screaming higher for more than a decade as the shale boom pushed drove production to record heights. By the time we rang in the new year, we were pumping more than 13 million barrels per day. Just how good did we have it? For starters, the U.S. became a total energy exporter for the first time since 1953. Don’t believe me? Well, then take a look for yourself: [oil exports u.s.] The EIA reported this week that total energy exports exceeded imports in 2019. The catalyst for that was all thanks to booming petroleum and LNG exports. More importantly, our tight oil supply is the reason why our oil imports last year declined by one-third. Yes, you can say things were going quite well for the U.S. energy industry. Things were going too well! Rebel Expert Spots Extraordinary Tech Opportunity While nothing is certain, early pioneers in this arena have enjoyed rises with peaks of 1,600%... 3,100%... 5,700% during the first wave. Our authority says this one is bigger than 5G, electric cars, and crypto... COMBINED! [Go HERE for details.]( Oil Outlook 2020: COVID-19 Edition The major concern was that we were producing too much oil, and although global demand was strong before this pandemic, I [told you]( that one of the best places to look for oil profits was in the tanker sector. But let me give you a little more perspective on our current situation. This week, the price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate to be delivered next month was negative $37.63. Think about that for a minute, let it sink in. Somebody was paying you to take their crude oil off their hands. What a difference a year makes, indeed. How will things turn out in 2020? Hopefully you’re not looking for any optimism from the EIA. In their latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, the EIA projects that WTI crude prices will average $29.34 per barrel this year, then climb 40% to average $41.12 per barrel in 2021. As you can see below, the fundamentals have been upended entirely thank COVID-19: [oil supply demand balance] According to the EIA’s projections, global petroleum consumption averaged 94.4 million barrels per day during the first quarter, or roughly 5% less than their previous forecast predicted. Unfortunately, the fundamentals are getting even worse over the short-term. Yet, that doesn’t mean you need to miss out on the opportunities that have opened up from this chaotic mess. China and Trump in Deathmatch Over This “Miracle Metal” A battle supreme is brewing over a crucial “miracle metal.” It’s got China and President Trump whipped up into a frenzy. It’s got Apple, Tesla, Samsung, and other tech giants shaking in their boots. And it’s got America’s economic independence and national security in its crosshairs. But [one well-positioned company]( is ready to save the day. It’s already beginning to hit pay dirt. And once it starts making its move, it’s set to shoot skyward at lightning-bolt speed. If you act quickly, you can beat Wall Street to the punch... while it’s still a once-in-a-lifetime bargain. [Get all the details here right now.]( Rystad Energy reported that the demand destruction will cause nearly 2 million barrels per day of oil production was shuttered in April, with Canadian producers taking the hardest hit. We’ve gotten to the point that the Railroad Commission of Texas is considering placing production limits on state producers. I’m not convinced they’ll do it. If they do, I have a feeling they’re in for more than they can handle. Not only would it be the first time the RRC has curtailed state production since the early 1970s, but the process would be a logistical nightmare that they may not be prepared for. Meanwhile, inventories will continue experiencing dramatic builds until capacity is filled to the brim. Keep in mind that at this pace, crude storage capacity in the U.S. will be reached in May. And that, dear reader, brings us right back to the same sector that we’ve been bullish on for months — oil tankers. Right now, roughly 250 million barrels of crude oil are being stored on floating tankers, with 10% of the global tanker fleet simply parked offshore. We’re looking at an unprecedented moment in floating storage, and day-rates inside the tanker market will keep rising while inventories are filled. Of course, the supply glut will only deepen as the Saudis flood the U.S. with even cruder, which is precisely what they’re doing now. You see the opportunity now, don’t you? Let the great oil storage war of 2020 begin. Until next time, [Keith Kohl Signature] Keith Kohl [[follow basic]@KeithKohl1 on Twitter]( A true insider in the energy markets, Keith is one of few financial reporters to have visited the Alberta oil sands. His research has helped thousands of investors capitalize from the rapidly changing face of energy. Keith connects with hundreds of thousands of readers as the Managing Editor of [Energy & Capital]( as well as Investment Director of Angel Publishing's [Energy Investor.]( For years, Keith has been providing in-depth coverage of the Bakken, the Haynesville Shale, and the Marcellus natural gas formations — all ahead of the mainstream media. For more on Keith, go to his editor's [page](. How to Make $1.2 Million, According to Bill Gates Practically every investor in the world is pouring as much money as they can into ONE sector of the market... And I want to get you up to speed, so you can join them on a once-in-a-lifetime $1.2 million payday. I want to show you an absolutely mind-blowing video. A video that reveals a revolutionary technology that Bill Gates himself thinks is going to be bigger than Microsoft. [Click Here to see this new tech in action.]( Enjoy reading this article? [Click here]( to like it and receive similar articles to read! Browse Our Archives [Frame This Chart]( [5G Does Not Cause Coronavirus]( [Pure Play Gold Stocks]( [Oil's Latest Plunge Stretches Our Window of Opportunity]( [What Investors Should Buy as We Approach the Next Recession]( --------------------------------------------------------------- This email was sent to {EMAIL}. It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you've received this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, you may [unsubscribe here](, and view our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. To ensure that you receive future issues of Energy and Capital, please add newsletter@energyandcapital.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. [Energy and Capital](, Copyright © 2020, [Angel Publishing LLC](. All rights reserved. 3 E Read Street, Baltimore, MD 21202. The content of this site may not be redistributed without the express written consent of Angel Publishing. Individual editorials, articles and essays appearing on this site may be republished, but only with full attribution of both the author and Energy and Capital as well as a link to www.energyandcapital.com. Your privacy is important to us -- we will never rent or sell your e-mail or personal information. Please read our [Privacy Policy](. No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. While we believe the sources of information to be reliable, we in no way represent or guarantee the accuracy of the statements made herein. [Energy and Capital]( does not provide individual investment counseling, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. The publisher, editors and consultants of Angel Publishing may actively trade in the investments discussed in this publication. They may have substantial positions in the securities recommended and may increase or decrease such positions without notice. Neither the publisher nor the editors are registered investment advisors. Subscribers should not view this publication as offering personalized legal or investment counseling. Investments recommended in this publication should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question. ---------------------------------------------------------------

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