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Is This Summer Really a Time to Buy Oil Stocks?

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energyandcapital.com

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Thu, Aug 15, 2024 01:32 PM

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The stakes seem to get higher each time... And then there’s the x-factors in play… The g

The stakes seem to get higher each time... [Energy and Capital Header] Practical Investment Analysis for the New Energy Economy Is This Summer Really a Time to Buy Oil Stocks? Keith Kohl | Aug 15, 2024 I don’t typically buy oil stocks in the summer. By the time the heat starts beating down and we crank up the AC, we’ve already positioned ourselves in the oil sector. That makes sense, doesn’t it? After all, summer is the time of year when oil demand and prices are usually at their highest, and the media hype is at its greatest. The herd piles in as prices climb, and we reap the profits that have built up over time — at a certain point it feels like you’re shooting fish in a barrel. [oil eac] New Nuclear Energy Could Mint Millionaires A new kind of nuclear power is about to transform the grid. Forbes calls it "the go-to energy source in America." It’s called a small modular reactor, or SMR. The first one of these cutting-edge reactors is expected to come online on U.S. soil this year. Tech billionaire Marc Andreessen calls for "1,000 new state-of-the-art nuclear power plants in the U.S. and Europe right now." AND almost ALL these SMRs have to buy fuel from one Midwestern company. Most people don’t even know this company exists... That’s why shares are set to skyrocket as soon as this story hits the mainstream. [Get the full story here while there’s still time.]( And then there’s the x-factors in play… The geopolitical wild cards bare their teeth, and we see prices spike like we did in 2022 when the Russo-Ukrainian war ramped up. Two years later, the risk premium on crude prices had shifted to the Middle East. If Iran doesn’t balk on its latest threat to retaliate against Israel, another spike feels inevitable. Last time, we saw the country launch a massive — yet ineffective — drone strike into Israel. The damage was negligible, mostly due to the fact that everyone knew it was coming. The stakes seem to get higher each time, and that's not even mentioning the situation down in Venezuela, where Maduro is flatly refusing to give up power! Look, we’ve been harping on the geopolitical variables that could put a hefty premium on crude prices. But there’s a reason I’m not selling oil stocks right now, and neither should you. Last week, I [mentioned]( that the supply/demand fundamentals were getting tighter down the second half of 2024, but just how tight are we talking? AI Genius Reveals: the #1 Stock Trading for $3 "This Is the Penny Stock Trade of the Year" [TRADE ALERT ENCLOSED: CLICK HERE for the SHORT 5-MINUTE VIDEO...Â]( It’s important to understand a few things. Global oil consumption is climbing higher. By the third quarter of 2025, OPEC projected demand to reach 107.37 million barrels per day. This would put a strain on supplies because of where our supply capacity is located. As you can see below, OPEC isn’t expecting demand to rise through the end of the year: [opec global demand 2024] Their projections estimate that total world demand will reach 104.85 million barrels per day in Q3 and 105.57 million barrels per day by Q4. I know what you’re thinking: Why on Earth would you trust OPEC’s numbers? Well, we don’t… not exactly. Considering OPEC field data is hidden from the public, it’s hard to place any sort of trust in the 12-member group. However, when it comes time to finally unwind the current production cuts, you can bet they’ll be using their numbers — not the IEAs! In other words, OPEC will likely keep those production cuts in place well into 2025. The oil cartel has been adamant that it will defend oil prices, and members are more than happy with crude at $80/bbl. That brings us to the question of where the world WILL get its supply if OPEC keeps a tight lid on their cuts. And right now, non-OPEC oil supply growth is centered around four countries — Brazil, Canada, the United States, and Guyana. Together, these four countries are responsible for 75%, or 1.1 million barrels per day, of non-OPEC supply growth through 2025… and we’re already starting to see forecasts trim supply projections in Brazil and Guyana. Guyana in particular is going to need time to boost output. That could be a problem when U.S. production growth remains relatively flat, which is what’s taking place right now. Sure, we saw a huge year-over-year rebound in 2023 as U.S. output climbed more than a million barrels per day. Unfortunately, we’re simply not going to see that happen again anytime — not anytime soon. That alone will set a premium on a small, elite group of Permian oil stocks like [this hidden investment gem.](However, it’s not just attracting investors’ attention, but also from Big Oil. We’ll talk about why next time. Until next time, [Keith Kohl Signature] Keith Kohl [[follow basic]Check us out on YouTube!]( [EAC ICYMI Header]( Baby Boomers Are Going BROKE(Do This to Protect Yourself NOW) A shocking new report reveals that 45% of Americans will run out of money during retirement. In fact, it states that baby boomers and Generation Xers will be particularly vulnerable to facing financial shortfalls in their retirement years. And the media is catching on to the retirement crisis that could unfold at any minute: - "Americans believe they'll never have enough saved for retirement." — The New York Post - "More Americans say they can never retire." — The Hill - "Quite simply, the Social Security Administration's trust fund is underfunded and fairly soon will not be able to meet its future retiree payment obligations!" — Forbes Remember, if you keep your hard-earned money in a 401(k) or other so-called "retirement plan," the government could easily take it away with the stroke of a pen. Don’t leave what’s left of your retirement up to chance. [Learn how to protect yourself today, before it’s too late.]( [Fb]( [Li]( [Tw]( This email was sent to {EMAIL}. You can manage your subscription and get our privacy policy [here](. Energy and Capital, Copyright © 3 East Read Street, Baltimore, MD 21202. Please note: It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you're getting this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, get more info [here]( including our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. If you are interested in our other publications, please call our customer service team at [1-877-303-4529](tel:/18773034529).

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