The Deep Woods: I Don’t Care Who Wins the Election

You are receiving this email because you signed up to receive our free e-letter The Deep Woods, or you purchased a product or service from its publisher, Eagle Financial Publications. [The Deep Woods] [Successful Investing]( [Bullseye Stock Trader]( [Crypto & Commodities Trader]( [About Jim]( In This Issue: • I Don’t Care Who Wins the Election • ETF Talk: It’s Time to Energize Your Portfolio • Tain’t Braggin’ If You Kin Really Do It • When Washington Sleeps I Don’t Care Who Wins the Election by Jim Woods Editor, [Successful Investing](, [Bullseye Stock Trader](, and [Crypto & Commodities Trader]( 10/16/2024 Sponsored Content [10 minutes on Tuesday - $1,270 by Friday?]( On Tuesday, master trader Jim Fink will release a unique trade, dubbed "310F." This trade is designed to hand you a 100% gain (or more!) in either 3 or 10 days... and always on a Friday. By using this unique "Friday Phenomenon" twice a week for the last three years, we've walked away with wins on 321 out of 324 trades... that's a 99.1% success rate! [Click here to discover how this "odd" trade could double your money each week.]( I Don’t Care Who Wins the Election First of all, I do care who wins the election. Anyone who knows me knows that. In fact, anyone who knows me knows that I have deep philosophic convictions about the role of government and its proper role in our lives. These convictions also happened to be grounded in a concept largely foreign to most politicians, and that concept is… principles. Yet with a provocative headline such as the one I pronounced, I know I had better come correct with an explanation, so here it goes. You see, when I say I don’t care who wins the election, I am speaking in terms of investing in the markets. The reason I say that is because, despite all of the chatter out there right now about which party and which candidate will be better for stocks, the answer is that markets really don’t care who is in charge -- because opportunity is always out there despite who holds political power. I wrote in detail about this situation in the Aug. 7 issue of this publication, but today, it makes more sense than ever, as we now are less than three weeks away from Election Day. Oh, and just to update you on the metric that I think is very important to watch here, according to the betting markets (where people are placing real money wagers on the outcome), Former President Trump now leads Vice President Kamala Harris on the betting prediction platform Polymarket, with odds of 59.7% to 40.2%. Polymarket also has 82% odds of Republicans taking the Senate, and a 55% chance that Democrats take the House of Representatives. Then there is the prediction platform PredictIt, which also shows Mr. Trump in the lead, with contracts for a Trump election win trading for 55 cents, while contracts for a Harris win are 50 cents. So, while national polls have Harris in the lead at 45% to Trump’s 42%, as we all know, national polls are both flawed and rather insignificant, as it’s the swing state polls, and results, that really matter. So, back to why I don’t care who wins, in terms of investing in markets, consider the following data provided to me by my friends at Sevens Report Research. Their work revealed some interesting facts about the markets over the past nearly eight years and through most of the last two administrations. A look at how markets performed during the Trump administration versus the Biden administration provides us with some kind of baseline when assessing what might take place in markets if Trump is re-elected or if Harris wins the presidency. The one caveat here when assessing the following data is that during the Trump administration, we had the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic response to it. That response, which included a flood of easy money from both the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, skewed market results (to the upside) in 2020. So, how did the major market segments perform last time during each respective administration? The table below tells us just that (data through August 2024). As you can see, from January 20, 2017, when President Trump took office through January 20, 2021, all but two of the above S&P 500 sectors show a distinct advantage in favor of Trump over Biden. If we back out the skewed performance in markets during the COVID-19 pandemic, then we still get outperformance for Trump versus Biden, although as you can see in the far-right column of our table, that outperformance is not nearly to the same degree as it was when you include the pandemic period (remember that despite the pandemic, markets enjoyed a stellar 2020). One very interesting thing to note here is that when it comes to the performance of the broad domestic equity market, as measured by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), we see a virtual tie in performance over the periods that don’t include COVID-19. So, Trump outpaced Biden by 50.74% to 49.59%. The bottom line here is that, based on the history of past performance, Trump is likely to be only slightly better for equity markets than Harris. However, keep in mind that Harris won’t have the same policy agenda as Biden, and Trump 2.0 isn’t likely to have the exact same policies as he did in his first term. Finally, the real reason why, from a market perspective, I don’t care who wins is because I am a thinking agent capable of directing my money (and my subscribers’ money) where it will be treated best. If tech is outpacing the market, then we will embrace tech. If energy and utilities are leading the charge, then we will be right there with them. It is because you, as a thinking agent capable of self-directed action, have the free choice to point your money to where it will be treated best, that you also shouldn’t care (again, from an investment perspective) who wins the election. I know I am going to make money for myself and my subscribers no matter who is in office, because I have the freedom to make good decisions and the sound critical thinking and experience to know where and when to do just that. So, don’t fear the election outcome -- profit from it! [China’s Global Conspiracy to Destroy the American Dollar]( China is nearing the end of its 40-year plan to dominate the world’s economy. Only one obstacle remains: The U.S. dollar. But not for long... because China has enlisted many co-conspirators to sink the dollar: Russia, India, Brazil, Argentina, Germany, and even Canada. And – no surprise – the International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants to jump in to help China win. This means China now has the power to crush the dollar almost overnight... and bankrupt America. But there’s still time to protect the money and retirement of investors. [Click here now to find out how... before it’s too late.]( ETF Talk: It’s Time to Energize Your Portfolio I love energy. It’s at the heart of human greatness and ingenuity. Without energy, many of our modern-day conveniences, inventions and societal wonders would be nonexistent. This holds true for humanity’s latest and greatest innovation: artificial intelligence (AI). While AI is capable of extraordinary feats, in its current state, it requires excessive amounts of energy to keep running optimally. And, as a direct result of this hardy demand, utilities stocks have been on the rise to meet AI’s energy needs. That creates a prime investment opportunity for us, with there being several promising means of catching a ride on this speeding market train. And in my view, one of the best tickets to ride is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (RSPU). First launched in 2006 by Invesco under the ticker RYU, RSPU tracks an equal-weighted index of large-cap utilities companies, which skews it away from being a market-like portfolio. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis. The fund also allocates significantly to telecom stocks, setting it apart from other utilities funds. This gives RSPU an added edge over some of its contemporaries, as telecom stocks may pay higher dividends than utilities. Top holdings in this fund include Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST), Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG), NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE: NRG), CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (NYSE: CNP), Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (NYSE: PEG), Ameren Corporation (NYSE: AEE), Entergy Corporation (NYSE: ETR) and Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE: ATO). As of Oct. 15, RSPU has been up 1.26% over the past month and up 11.94% for the past three months. It is currently up 25.38% year to date. The fund currently has $338.33 million in assets under management and an expense ratio of 0.40%. Chart courtesy of [www.stockcharts.com](. While RSPU offers a promising entry point into both utilities and telecom stocks, this may not benefit all portfolios. It’s important to carefully consider the risks and potential returns before making any investment decisions. As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to [send me an email](mailto:askjim@successfuletfinvesting.com). You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk. [How to Use A.I. to Trade the 'Up-Crash']( The stock market feels like a volatile game of tug-of-war. Prices are climbing, but the volatility and mixed signals make it feel like we're heading toward an "up-crash," where sudden surges lead to unexpected drops. Navigating this market requires precise timing, as making a safe exit before the next "up-crash" could mean the difference between significant losses and confident gains. Want to learn how to trade the 'up-crash'? [Watch and learn FREE how A.I. can give you the edge in volatile markets.]( In case you missed it… Tain’t Braggin’ If You Kin Really Do It Baseball great and Hall of Fame pitcher Dizzy Dean is famous for firing fast balls, and for firing off folksy, memorable sayings. Perhaps his most famous is… “Tain’t braggin’ if you kin really do it.” The meaning here, of course, is that if you do what you say you can do, then pointing out the facts of reality is just an exercise in truth advocacy. I like that, because A) I’m all about promoting truth, and B) I’m known to be a man who “kin really do it.” To this latter point, I want to bring up the latest result from my new trading service, [Jim Woods’ Crypto & Commodities Trader](. Two weeks ago, I recommended taking profits of 160% in a commodities position after launching the service just six days prior. That’s right, the first win of this brand-new service came in less than a week, and it was HUGE! Fortunately, however, starting off fast and continuing fast has become a bit of a banality in my trading services. Not to brag, but like Dizzy says, tain’t braggin’ if you kin really do it. You see, when I launch a new service, it’s a hit right from the start. Take my High Velocity Options trading service. It began trading in December 2021. Here are the first 10 trades… That’s eight winners out of the first 10 trades -- an 80% win-rate -- right out of the blocks. And five of those were triple-digit-percentage wins! Before that, there was the launch of my stock and options advisory service, Bullseye Stock Trader, in December 2018. Its track record, right from the start, was just as impressive. Here are the first 10 recommended stock trades… Again, eight out of 10 winning recommendations for another 80% win-rate. And here are the options associated with those trades, which deliver what I call a “force multiplier” alpha effect for traders. That’s right, another 80% win rate, with five huge, triple-digit-percentage options winners. So, the pattern here is clear -- these services have kicked ass right from the start (pardon my French)! As you can see, I’ve been pretty spot on with my picks, and I’ve been able to deliver serious alpha for my subscribers. That is just the truth, and it’s not bragging, because once again… tain’t braggin’ if you kin really do it. And in my new trading service, [Crypto & Commodities Trader](, it looks to be more of the same. So, how will this service do on its first 10 trades? Will we rack up another 80% win-rate and more triple-digit-percentage gains? My aim is to do just that, and then some. But, for you, there’s only one way to find out, and that’s to join me in our quest for big trading profits, and for big trading profits in one of the hottest alpha segments in the market today -- cryptocurrencies and commodities. To find out more, all you have to do [click here now]( for the details and discover how you can check out Crypto & Commodities Trader for the next 30 days to see just how much alpha I can deliver -- and to allow me the chance to prove to you that tain’t braggin’ if you kin really do it! ***************************************************************** When Washington Sleeps “When Washington sleeps, the economy grows.” --William Rees-Mogg Divided government is usually the best scenario for markets, because the less active lawmakers are, the more the real work of the American economy can proceed unencumbered. So, let’s hope for divided government this election season as well, as less is more when it comes to new rules and regulations handed down from on high. Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote that you’d like me to share with your fellow readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my newsletters, seminars or anything else. [Click here](mailto:askjim@successfuletfinvesting.com) to ask Jim. In the name of the best within us, [Jim Woods] Jim Woods Editor, Successful Investing, Bullseye Stock Trader, and Crypto & Commodities Trader About Jim Woods: [Jim Woods]Jim Woods has more than 25 years experience in the markets, as a stock broker, hedge fund money manager, author, speaker and independent analyst. Today Jim serves as editor and investment director of the long-running newsletters [Successful Investing](, [Bullseye Stock Trader](, [Crypto & Commodities Trader](, and a new Live Coaching service offered exclusively to his readers. 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