The Mathematics of History

Decoding the 84- and 250-Year Cycles Were you forwarded this email? [Sign-up to The Daily Reckoning here.]( [Unsubscribe]( [Daily Reckoning] If there’s anything you’ve missed as part of your membership to The Daily Reckoning, make sure you check out our website where you can find archives, updates, and everything else that's included in your subscription. You can access it by [clicking here now](. The Mathematics of History - Is history really “just one damn thing happening after another?”… - “The cycles matter because fortunes are made and lost during these paradigm shifts”… - Then Mark Moss shows you the 84- and 250-year cycles that govern history, and how the world is at the beginning of a new cycle… Recommended Link [NEW: #1 Group of Tiny Cryptos To Buy For 2022]( [Read more here...]( Multimillionaire crypto investor James Altucher has just released an urgent buy alert on a [small group of tiny crypto.]( In the past, this special class of inexpensive cryptos have thrown off peak gains such as: - 9,000% in 18 months… - 22,000% in a year and a half… And… - 25,000% in almost 20 months… All of which begs the question… What makes these unique cryptos so explosive? [Click Here To Find Out]( Annapolis, Maryland February 10, 2022 [Brian Maher]Dear Reader, Is history “just one damn thing happening after another” — as supposedly argued famed historian Arnold Toynbee? That is: Is history merely a chaotic bedlam — what Wall Street men might call a random walk? Or does history run to cyclical, identifiable and predictable rhythms — as the seasons run to cyclical, identifiable and predictable rhythms? These past few days we have stroked our chin… and furrowed our brow… in search of answers. The topic has knocked us from our customary ruts. It has compelled us to think anew. To interrogate old assumptions. To take a sort of intellectual inventory (though the shelves are sparsely stocked, admittedly). Today the business continues. Assume that history does run to cyclical, identifiable and predictable rhythms. Assume that history is not a riot of irregular lines but a series of elegant circles. And lesser circles within grander circles. You may not believe it. You may believe the theory is hocus, you may believe the theory is pocus. But please suspend — for the moment — all disbelief, though defiant reason shrieks in protest. Can you identify the deeper patterns behind today’s hurly-burly of events? Can you pluck them from the chaotic swirls that surround you? Another question: Why should you even bother? You should bother because the answer has immense practical value. It is not merely a question for the eggheaded. As Addison Wiggin notes: “The cycles matter because fortunes are made and lost during these paradigm shifts.” But do not take the word of Mr. Wiggin. Take instead the word of Mr. Shakespeare — Mr. Billy Shakespeare: There is a tide in the affairs of men, Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune; Omitted, all the voyage of their life Is bound in shallows and in miseries. On such a full sea are we now afloat; And we must take the current when it serves, Or lose our ventures. Are the tidal affairs of men changing? And can they lead you on to fortune? Read on for the penetrating insights of investor and entrepreneur, Mr. Mark Moss. He shows you the larger cycles driving history, and why the world is exiting a 250-year mega-cycle. What will replace it? Regards, [Brian Maher] Brian Maher Managing Editor, The Daily Reckoning Editor’s note: Did you catch [Addison’s riveting interview with Mark today?]( They had an in-depth conversation about the major historical cycles that have resulted in depressions, revolutions and war. According to Mark’s research, [these political, economic and technological cycles follow set patterns.]( And more importantly, Mark shows you how to invest as these three major cycles converge, which they presently are. Mark is an entrepreneur and investor who has made and then lost a few million… then made a few more. Experience like this is critical when going through paradigm shifts like what we’re going through now. If you missed today’s interview, don’t worry. You can still catch it in its entirety. [Just go to this page.]( Recommended Link [URGENT: Your New Crypto Book Is Awaiting Shipment]( [Read more here...]( If you’ve kicked yourself for not investing in cryptocurrency… Watching Bitcoin go from $61… To $1,000… To over $60,000… Then pay close attention. Famous crypto millionaire James Altucher just released a brand-new book on crypto… [And he’s releasing a limited number of books to folks who click here now.]( We have a copy reserved in your name, and we just need to hear back from you. [Click Here To Claim Your Copy]( The Daily Reckoning Presents: “We're at peak centralization, and we're moving toward decentralization”… ****************************** The Mathematical Cycles of History By Mark Moss [Mark Moss]People think that progress is linear, a step-by-step process. In reality, it's not linear. It's actually exponential and cyclical. We have cycles that keep repeating within the overall pattern of progress. So even though things are changing, in one important sense, they're actually staying the same. There are also stages to the way these cycles work. They’re like a pendulum that swings back and forth. The pendulum swings from centralization to decentralization, then the process repeats. Cycles also have time periods. That’s pretty interesting because if you're into technical analysis, you understand everything is mathematical, which is a bit weird. And so we have these cycles within cycles. Roughly speaking, you have 28-year cycles, 84-year cycles and 250-year cycles. Look at the math. Three times 28 equals an 84-year cycle. Three times 84 equals a 250-year cycle. So the number three is important here. Not to get too technical (pun intended!), but it’s like what you would see in technical analysis with things such as triple bottoms. Let's start with the 84-year cycle. You might have heard of things like the Fourth Turning, which proposes an 80-year cycle. I like to call these cycles a regime change. I say about 84 years, but it could be 74, or it could be 90 years. But let’s just say regime change takes place about every 84 years. In the 1930s, we had regime change. What do I mean? In the United States, FDR's New Deal essentially took America from a capitalist to more of a centralized, socialist-type country. Roughly 84 years before that Karl Marx wrote The Communist Manifesto, which inspired the 1848 European Spring or the Springtime of the Peoples, which was the largest revolution in European history. So every 84 years we're seeing a popular uprising, which of course we're seeing today. Today you have people in the streets protesting mandates. But people around the world were protesting even before the pandemic. You could see it starting back with Brexit, which was a major blow to the globalist establishment. Trump’s election in the United States was also a rejection of the establishment. We’ve also had BLM and Antifa become a force in 2020, with massive unrest in many cities. And so you see a major swing about every 84 years (again, it could be more, it could be less). Right now, we’re at the end of an 84-year cycle, which was a centralizing cycle. But that’s only part of a larger cycle. As I said earlier, three times 84 equals 252. And every 250 years, we have a revolution. This is where we are today. About 250 years ago we had the American and French revolutions. In the American case, they were rebelling against British rule. They set up a decentralized government afterward. In the French case they were rebelling against the Old Regime of the crown and the Church. Two hundred fifty years before that was the Protestant Reformation. Leading up to the Protestant Reformation, the Church had amassed all the power. The Church was the only way to get to God. But once the printing press had decentralized information, the people could read the Bible themselves and discovered they didn’t need the Church after all. And the Church lost its power. When the Church lost its monopoly, we had an explosion of development. We went into the Renaissance age. And the Renaissance gave birth to science and technology, which then led to the Industrial Revolution. Then the Industrial Revolution, about 250 years later, brought us technology that started to centralize us again. People moved to the cities from the farms. We built giant factories. We built giant cities. Nation-states became heavily centralized. Recommended Link [George Gilder: “5G will soon be exposed as hype and hustle.”]( [Read more here...]( Gilder believes a radical paradigm change is taking place in the tech world – one that could disrupt the existing 5G industry. It isn’t the first time he’s shocked the tech world… Gilder predicted the smartphone in 1991… identified Amazon in 1998, before it rose 243,000% over 23 years… and helped his followers make 40x their money in less than four years on Qualcom in the late 1990s. Now he’s at it again… [Get His Full Prediction Here]( Now we’re at the end of that 250-year timeframe. We're entering the cycle where the pendulum is ready to swing away from centralization. We're at peak centralization, and we're moving toward decentralization. I don't believe any of this is random. These cycles of history tell us that the pendulum is beginning to swing back. The key piece to understand is that these revolutions were pushing against centralized establishments and toward decentralization. And they happen every 250 years or so on average. And if you look back through history, every 84 years, we have a revolution or a populist uprising and every 250 years we have a revolution. Incidentally, no empires really lasted more than 250 years. Some may have technically lasted longer, but their heydays were much less. No democracy has really lasted more than 250 years either. So there's something to the 250-year cycle. Technology is a major component of change. But revolutionary technology is technology that's disruptive. Technological revolutions build entire new economies and change the way humanity works. Just like the printing press was the technological piece that changed the way the Church had monopoly power over people, today we're witnessing another technology that's changing things as well. And just like the Church, no matter how many people they killed, no matter how hard they tried, they couldn't keep the change from happening. I believe we're in a situation today where no matter how hard establishments try, they can't stop decentralizing technology either. The technology that will decentralize the world is cryptocurrencies. Just like in the Protestant Reformation, we have a new technology that's decentralizing. What's interesting is that, at a time when the entire world is at peak centralization and is ready to move toward decentralization, we have a technology that gives us exactly what we need for decentralization. So now we have cryptocurrencies that are breaking that centralizing grip. And so no matter how much they want to try to maintain that power like the Church did in 1500, the mega politics have shifted. The world is going from a period of centralization, and now the world is decentralizing. The decentralized revolution is the biggest technological revolution. And technological revolutions drive all financial cycles. So a big overarching investment theme for the years ahead is in the decentralized revolution. That means Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, etc. If you look at Bitcoin to measure this, Bitcoin had reached a 10% adoption within a few years, by about 2019. Based on how revolutionary technologies are adopted, we should be at about 90% adoption by 2029. Now, new technologies typically have much faster adoption because they build on top of existing technologies. So for example, the internet was adopted much faster than the telephone because it used telephone lines to gain adoption. But decentralization is about more than cryptocurrencies. During the centralizing Industrial Revolution, if you wanted to make money, you had to be in the United States. And not just in the United States: You had to be in a city where the jobs were. And because of that centralizing nature, it made it very easy for the governments to squeeze everybody through taxes. During the pandemic, people found out they could work from home. And so now, people are moving to places like Wyoming, Idaho and Montana where taxes are much lower. They could never live there before because they couldn't work there before. They can also move to Mexico or Costa Rica and work from there. I have about 15 people that work for me. Everyone's decentralized all around the world. So there's going to be this great migration. That opens up plays for cash flow and real estate investing, as well as technologies that cater to them. And as people start decentralizing, the government starts losing its ability to squeeze people. This new cycle will be well underway by the end of this decade. It could potentially be the most profitable decade of your life if you position yourself accordingly. Regards, Mark Moss for The Daily Reckoning Ed. note: Did you catch [Addison’s riveting interview with Mark today?]( They had an in-depth conversation about the major historical cycles that have resulted in depressions, revolutions and war. According to Mark’s research, [these political, economic and technological cycles follow set patterns.]( And more importantly, Mark shows you how to invest as these three major cycles converge, which they presently are. Mark is an entrepreneur and investor who has made and then lost a few million… then made a few more. Experience like this is critical when going through paradigm shifts like what we’re going through now. If you missed today’s interview, don’t worry. You can still catch it in its entirety. [Just go to this page.]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you for reading The Daily Reckoning! We greatly value your questions and comments. Please send all feedback to [feedback@dailyreckoning.com.](mailto:dr@dailyreckoning.com) Mark Moss is an investor and entrepreneur with a passion to learn, improve daily and educate others. Mark has fixed, flipped and developed over $25mil in real estate, invested in private business, gold mines, oil fields and new technologies. And he’s accomplished all this through three different bear market cycles. Now, his passion is helping others prepare for the Great Reset — so they can thrive when most can only hope to survive. Add feedback@dailyreckoning.com to your address book: [Whitelist us]( Additional Articles & Commentary: [Daily Reckoning Website]( Join the conversation! Follow us on social media: [Facebook]( [LinkedIn]( [Twitter]( [RSS Feed]( [YouTube]( The Daily Reckoning is committed to protecting and respecting your privacy. We do not rent or share your email address. By submitting your email address, you consent to Paradigm Press delivering daily email issues and advertisements. To end your Daily Reckoning e-mail subscription and associated external offers sent from The Daily Reckoning, feel free to [unsubscribe here.]( Please read our [Privacy Statement](. 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