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How I Avoid the Market's Weakest Sectors

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chaikinanalytics.com

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powerfeed@exct.chaikinanalytics.com

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Mon, Dec 2, 2024 01:47 PM

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Despite the massive gains we've already seen this year... the market is still soaring. In the past m

Despite the massive gains we've already seen this year... the market is still soaring. In the past month alone, the S&P 500 Index climbed another 5%. That's a massive jump for the broad market. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( How I Avoid the Market's Weakest Sectors By Vic Lederman, editorial director, Chaikin Analytics Despite the massive gains we've already seen this year... the market is still soaring. In the past month alone, the S&P 500 Index climbed another 5%. That's a massive jump for the broad market. Some sectors did even better over the same time frame... a lot better, in fact. For example, the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) soared about 11%. And the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) posted a roughly 10% gain. Folks, that's one month of gains. Not a half year, or a full year... just one month. And we're not talking about some hole-in-the-wall segments of the market, either. These are among the top-level sectors as defined by S&P. There are 11 top-level sectors. And the best of them have been soaring. But that doesn't mean all the sectors posted huge gains. So today, let's take a closer look at two that particularly struggled recently... Recommended Links: [On December 5: Meet Who We Call 'The Mar-A-Lago Man']( Seventeen years ago, one multimillionaire investor went broke. But the secret he used to build his second fortune gained him a billionaire network, including Kyle Bass and President-elect Donald Trump. Today, he says, "The real divide in America isn't between left and right – it's between rich and poor." And he has promised to show you ONE move that could set you up so you're never caught on the wrong side again. [Full details here](. [Is Gold Headed Above $3,000 per Ounce? Here's How to Play It...]( With so many strange events happening across the economy (the longest bear market for bonds since the Civil War... unprecedented bank closures... and soaring prices), it's no wonder the richest investors are loading up on gold. But what you might not realize is there's a much better way to profit from rising gold prices – WITHOUT ever touching an ETF, mining stock, or even bullion. [Click here for a new gold recommendation](. I'm talking about the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV). As their names imply, these exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") track the materials and health care sectors, respectively. Over the past month, XLB is up less than 2%. And XLV is down a bit less than 1%. Those numbers might seem small at first. But remember that the broad market and other top-level sectors soared over the same time frame. Put simply, overallocation to the wrong sectors at the wrong time will lead to lower returns. Fortunately, the Power Gauge makes spotting these "bearish" runs easy. Just consider XLV... Again, this ETF tracks the health care sector. The Power Gauge rates each of the individual stocks in XLV. And it also gives the ETF an overall rating. Take a look at the chart below... This is a six-month chart of XLV. And it shows the Power Gauge's ratings in the bottom panel. As you can see, our system turned "bearish" on XLV back in mid-October. That means the Power Gauge told us in advance that it saw rough waters ahead for this major market sector. And as we now know, that's exactly what played out. Looking closer, it's no surprise that this happened... XLV holds 61 stocks rated by the Power Gauge. And when we look at their individual ratings, it's obvious that the sector is struggling today. Only six stocks in XLV currently earn a "bullish" or "very bullish" rating right now. Meanwhile, 17 of the fund's holdings fall into the "bearish" or "very bearish" buckets. And like you'd expect, XLV currently earns a "very bearish" rating from the Power Gauge. Does this mean the end of health care stocks? Absolutely not. The market churns. And over the course of a year, some sectors will outperform others. The important part is making sure you're avoiding the weakest parts of the market. And when possible... you want to align yourself with the strongest parts, too. The Power Gauge isn't a crystal ball. But it helps point us in the right direction. Right now, it's telling us that health care stocks and materials stocks are struggling. So I know to focus my attention elsewhere. And I recommend you do the same. Good investing, Vic Lederman Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +0.5% 10 13 7 S&P 500 +0.62% 132 287 82 Nasdaq +0.87% 25 54 22 Small Caps +0.24% 591 1021 294 Bonds +0.99% Consumer Discretionary +1.12% 17 27 6 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are Bullish. Major indexes are all bullish. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Health Care +2.21% Real Estate +2.06% Discretionary +2.02% Utilities +1.82% Staples +1.78% Communication +1.57% Financial +1.2% Industrials +0.94% Materials +0.73% Information Technology +0.06% Energy -1.9% * * * * Industry Focus Aerospace & Defense Services 13 18 1 Over the past 6 months, the Aerospace & Defense subsector (XAR) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +11.34%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #5 of 21 subsectors. Top Stocks [rating] TGI Triumph Group, Inc. [rating] DCO Ducommun Incorporate [rating] DRS Leonardo DRS, Inc. * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] RL +3.92% [rating] TSLA +3.7% [rating] VST +3.51% [rating] LRCX +3.38% [rating] LVS +3.19% Losers [rating] SMCI -7.13% [rating] HSIC -3.14% [rating] GPN -2.7% [rating] RMD -2.55% [rating] VRSN -2.32% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close ZS No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises No significant Earnings Surprises in the Russell 3000. * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2024 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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