OCTOBER CAMPAIGN MEMO ON PA-SEN

Hi, folks. It's James Carville and Paul Begala. We know a thing or two about close elections, so take our word when we say we’re extremely concerned about what we’re seeing in Pennsylvania’s Senate race. If you don’t believe us, we prepared a brief memo highlighting the key factors of this race for you. [If you don’t need convincing, rush a donation to Bob Casey’s campaign now.]( [Donate ››]( OCTOBER CAMPAIGN MEMO ON PA-SEN FROM: James Carville and Paul Begala, Senior Democratic Strategists TO: Interested Parties We need to be clear with you about where things stand in this battleground Senate race. The Senate race in Pennsylvania is in a dead heat. - A number of polling agencies and political experts have released figures showing that Bob Casey’s race will be one of the closest on the map. - Trafalgar Poll: David McCormick 47.2% – Bob Casey 46.8% - Washington Post Poll: Bob Casey 48% – David McCormick 48% - CNN Poll: Bob Casey 46% – David McCormick 46% - RealClearPolitics: PA Senate race is a tossup. - Cook Political Report: PA Senate Race is a Toss Up - The numbers tell some clear signs. This is one of the closest Senate races in the country. McCormick and GOP billionaires are spending more than $150 million to flip this battleground. - With 10 days left until Election Day, this campaign is being outspent by tens of millions and is at risk of being drowned out on the airwaves. - Keystone Renewal, one of the largest single-candidate super PACs in history, is spending more than $56 million supporting David McCormick. That’s unheard of in Senate races this cycle. - The Senate Leadership Fund, a Mitch McConnell-linked super PAC, is spending $24 million to defeat Bob Casey. - David McCormick has continued to self-fund his campaign with millions from his personal fortune, and you can expect more opposition ad spending in the final weeks. - While Pennsylvanians are being inundated with GOP attack ads, Bob Casey’s campaign might have to go dark if they don’t have the resources to keep up. In a race this close, that could be the difference between winning and losing. Pennsylvania has historically been the tipping point for U.S. Elections. - We’ve been on both the winning and losing side of elections, and here’s what we know for sure: As PA goes, so goes the nation. - In 2016, 44,292 votes in PA propelled Donald Trump to his unexpected win. - In 2020, Joe Biden clinched Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes by a narrow 1.17% margin, helping him secure the White House. - Nate Silver’s model is predicting that whichever presidential candidate wins PA has over a 93% chance of winning. - When charting a path to a Democratic Senate majority, Pennsylvania is a must-win race. Bob Casey needs the resources to make his case. - In order to win, this campaign needs to make the case directly to voters about the threat David McCormick poses to Pennsylvanians' fundamental freedoms — and that takes organizing and advertising. Listen, after crunching the numbers, one thing is clear: Bob Casey needs your help. [So please, if you want to make sure Democrats win the Senate and White House this year, donate $5 or more to Bob’s re-election campaign right now. This may be the most important moment of this cycle.]( [Donate $5 ››]( Thank you for your support. — James Carville and Paul Begala --------------------------------------------------------------- [Text TEAM to 51041] This email was sent to [{EMAIL}](#). Email is a critical way we communicate with grassroots supporters like you. However, if you would like to change your subscription preferences, here are some options: - [Receive Fewer Emails]( - [Update Your Information]( - [Unsubscribe]( To give by check: Bob Casey for Senate PO Box 58746 Philadelphia, PA 19102 Email us: info@bobcasey.com PAID FOR BY BOB CASEY FOR SENATE INC. Â