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Todayâs Agenda
- Trump was [right to walk]( away from North Korea talks, but [what comes next](Â is key.
- Cooler heads [seem scarce]( in the [India-Pakistan dispute](.
- Itâs totally fine if Trump signs a [pointless trade deal]( with China.
- Cohenâs testimony could [hit Trumpâs approval ratings](.
Trumpâs North Korea Hanoi-ance
At least President Donald Trump and North Koreaâs Kim Jong Un are still friends. Even after their summit in Hanoi collapsed early this morning, Trump called Un âquite a characterâ and said he believed he had nothing to do with American student Otto Warmbierâs death.
But it plainly takes more than camaraderie to work out a satisfactory nuclear deal, and [Trump was right to walk away]( from what his buddy Un was offering, Bloombergâs editorial board writes. Trump claimed Un wanted the U.S. to drop all sanctions against his country but also let it keep much of its nuclear program (North Korea later [denied]( the drop-all-sanctions part). There was [a risk Trump would take such a deal]( just to say he accomplished something, as Michael Schuman wrote before talks broke down. Itâs something of a relief Trump knew enough to walk away.
Talks will continue, but Trump should [let the seasoned diplomats handle it]( this time, Bloombergâs editors write. He also must realize [heâs never going to turn North Korea into a thriving economy]( as long as Kim keeps running it as a death camp, writes Eli Lake. Trump has much better odds of nation-rebuilding closer to home, in Venezuela.
Moving Through Kashmir
Tensions between nuclear-armed India and Pakistan are still high, after days of back-and-forth attacks on each otherâs territory in and near Kashmir; although Pakistan today said it would release a captured Indian pilot, which might help. Both sides could [do a better job of cooling this situation]( down, Bloombergâs editorial board writes. In the longer term, Pakistan must stop hosting terrorists, and India must treat Kashmiris better. So far, neither side has behaved responsibly enough.
The trouble is that Indian Prime Minister Narendra [Modi is motivated to stoke the bloodlust]( of Indian media and social media, writes Pankaj Mishra. Facing a tough reelection with little economically to show for his tenure, Modi wants to demonstrate what a tough guy he is, and Indians crave false reassurance, Pankaj writes. The result is everybody deceiving themselves into thinking this is a winning cause and not a recipe for disaster.
Stop Waiting for a Perfect China Deal
Perhaps anxious to sit at a deal-signing table with somebody, anybody, Trump is [reportedly close]( to inking a China trade deal. After months of huffing and puffing and tariffs and threats of tariffs, this agreement may do nothing much but restore the status quo. That will frustrate hardliners in the Trump administration and may not be the best thing for either country in the long run; but [it would be the best outcome right now](, argues David Fickling. Thereâs no sense in holding the global economy hostage for a more-comprehensive trade deal that may be impossible to achieve or enforce.
Further China Reading: Chinaâs regulators want to [encourage a bull market](, but not the runaway excesses of the previous one. Good luck with that. â Shuli RenÂ
The Cohen Fallout Begins
Michael Cohenâs House testimony yesterday probably did little to move partisans in one direction or another, though it did shine a light on more legal headaches [for the president]( and [his associates](. And it may have been noisy enough, and shown on enough TV networks, to [get the attention of low-information voters](, notes Jonathan Bernstein. That may be enough to push Trumpâs approval ratings deeper into the danger zone for reelection. Republicans, meanwhile, did little to really impugn Cohen, choosing instead to create satisfying chyrons and headlines for Fox and other conservative media, Jonathan writes.
Telltale Charts
Trump claims his regulatory rollback has boosted the economy. Thereâs [not much evidence of either](Â thing happening, writes Justin Fox.Â
If youâre looking for a tech bubble, Shira Ovide suggests you look not to the FAANG stocks, but to [cloud-computing companies](, which you might call the, uh, PUTINs?Â
Further Reading
As the Yellow Vest movement loses steam, Emmanuel Macron has a chance to [carefully revive his revolution](. France needs it. â Bloombergâs editorial boardÂ
Benjamin Netanyahu has been [riding the tiger of Israeli extremism]( since before the assassination of Yitzhak Rabin, and heâs riding it now to protect himself from [criminal conviction](. It's just as dangerous and cynical now as then . â Zev ChafetsÂ
Investors shouldnât take the Fedâs embrace of dovishness as a [signal to fill their boots]( with risk. â Mohamed El-ErianÂ
Starboard and Wellington [donât have a good case for opposing]( Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.âs purchase of Celgene Corp. â Max NisenÂ
Hereâs an argument for [eliminating the SALT deduction](. â Michael R. StrainÂ
Another reason to build high-speed rail: It can [help with the affordable-housing]( problem in big cities. â Matthew KahnÂ
Youâve got to hear the one about [Tellurideâs outlaw banker](, who robbed from the rich and gave to the poor. â Joe NoceraÂ
ICYMI
Justin Trudeau [is in trouble](. Americaâs cities run on [software from the â80s](. Weâre about to hit [Peak Car](.
Kickers
Is it really so wrong to [buy a robot to do your homework](Â or write your newsletter?
Migrating blue whales use memory to [guide them to feeding grounds](, though climate change is interfering. (h/t Scott Kominers for the previous two kickers)
Lack of sleep [can pack on the pounds](. â (h/t Mike Smedley)
A childrenâs treasury of [public-transit seat covers](Â around the world. (h/t Joel Brill)Â
The 50 [best movie soundtracks]( of all time.
Note: Please send robots and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.
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